South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Regional Weather Chat

[Jax]

few spots of rain, nothing much though

[HammerJack]

Looking increasingly likely on a boom or bust scenario tomorrow night as very warm air pushes northwards and clips the South east

Trouble is this could easily miss us and hit Belgium and Holland instead.

Yes - and going on current form I would not bet against a Low Country storm again..... Atleast we have plenty of summer to come which will hopefully bring the storms.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Anyone read that met office report for London and the south east tomorrow night and Thursday

[Daniel*]

Gutted up north is stealing the limelight, this region has done dire. The MCS disintegrated then guess what it went Belgiuim We have had nothing at all this week, a average week so far. You cannot forecast storms it's totally by chance, we will get our 'bomb' when we least expect it It is depressing to see the continent having a fiesta meanwhile we are stuck under dark clouds, that do nothing at all

[Tom Jarvis]

Anyone read that met office report for London and the south east tomorrow night and Thursday

No what does it say

[dwalton]

Not even a drop of rain in my part of the world for the last 4 days. Doesn't look much for the rest of the week thunderstorm wise

[NO LONGER POSTING]

No what does it say

Wednesday:Bright spells are possible during the day, especially in north and west. Further showers or spells of rain at times, occasionally heavy, near southeast coast. Further heavy, thundery rain overnight. Maximum Temperature 19C.Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:Thursday cloudy with periods of heavy, thundery rain. Feeling cooler. Friday and Saturday will be unsettled with periods of rain, sometimes heavy and persistent.Issued at: 1600 on Tue 20 May 2014

[Jason T]

Evening all, still waiting for the apocalyptic storms to happen, no change there then. On another note for first time in months I go in model thread and the the last posts are about current set ups similar to 2007, I bloody hope not, I am cursed.....

Meanwhile quite muggy, with a slight breeze.

[> mark]

Ooooooops!

[Tom Jarvis]

Like the look of the latest bbc forcast looks like MCS scenario tomorrow possible go up my local hill and try to get som pics on my I phone

[Tom Jarvis]

Well the estforex for as is glum reading gives us nut hung and has it going all to the usual places

[Vince Coombes]

Well the old saying if anything can go wrong it usually does when it comes to thunderstorms in the se .something has happened in the last 15 years that prevents imports .I remember the 70's and 80's and the allnighters and the customary 4am wake up calls .thank god I have them memories coz I would of gone nuts by now........

[Jax]

all calm on the eastern front here

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

maybe a shower or 2

warm

 

not sure if i would stay up for them though

 

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tomorrow

a breezy east-south east flow

 

this chart above is for 8pm

 

rainfall

 

 

a chance of a few showers to our far east areas but looks dry elsewhere if not cloudy

 

by 2pm

 

 

still the odd shower around but overall still looks dry if not cloudy

 

by 8pm

 

 

some heavier showers moving into the south east and southern regions

 

these may be heavy and a thundery risk is there

 

look at the fax chart as this shows the warm from touching the far south east corner

 

now as we go on to midnight

 

a variable flow

 

now rainfall for 2am

 

that is linked to the triple front showing on the fax and a fair chance of some storms there

 

this is assuming the fax chart has located this right

 

however we do have some unstable air overnight and better conditions for us

 

 

 

 

 

 

looks interesting tomorrow night

 

however there looks like timing differences between ukmo and gfs on this

 

best advice is watch the radar and see what happens

 

thursday soon

[Jax]

YAY! JP!

 

 

All I am saying

[john pike]

thursday

 

a more southerly flow today

 

rainfall

 

 

overnight to morning the heavier showers have transferred more to our north buit still scattered showers around for most

 

 

as we get to the afternoon things should start to clear up for all

 

temps

 

could get quite warm

 

around 18-21 degrees and likely to feel humid

 

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thursday night

 

 

im holding on this until tomorrow

 

it looks good for us but will keep quiet on that for now

 

hope your all good

 

john

and hi jax

[Tom Jarvis]

Thanks JP bit worried about the estofex forcast not giving us anything and it all saying on the continent

[Jax]

thursday

 

a more southerly flow today

 

rainfall

 

 

overnight to morning the heavier showers have transferred more to our north buit still scattered showers around for most

 

 

as we get to the afternoon things should start to clear up for all

 

temps

 

could get quite warm

 

around 18-21 degrees and likely to feel humid

 

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thursday night

 

 

im holding on this until tomorrow

 

it looks good for us but will keep quiet on that for now

 

hope your all good

 

john

and hi jax

Your da man

[legrandefromage]

weekend looks naff

[Captain Shortwave]

Sunny start to the day here, will we get some thunderstorms tonight? That is the big question.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

http://www.sat24.com/en/eu

 

Wow.. 

[VillagePlank]

Estofex going for Level 2 in France,

 

 

Storms in France form in high theta-w environment that advects NE to the SE corner overnight,

 

 

DPs look high enough for any storms that form in the channel to survive the trip, and whilst no chance of home grown stuff, skew-t profile suggests a moderately convective atmosphere which also gives extra weight to French imports surviving at least into East Kent

 

 

It's certainly going to be very wet, with a very real chance of thunderstorms being imported. Main risk is Kent/Sussex late evening, into the early hours with, possibly, E Anglia into the early hours.

 

[legrandefromage]

yay! like a good overnight summer storm

 

last year there was a full moon giving the sky a Victorian/ Tuner look - I fell asleep before the storms arrived though.

[HammerJack]

Morning

Deep blue and sunny skies to start the day here.

Com'on storms make our night tonight....

[Jason T]

Morning all, well which forecasts do you believe, sons 18th tomorrow wants the family to go to Thorpe park on Saturday ,some forecasts stating sunny and warm and some heavy rain. Any ideas JP for the weekend. Many thanks.

Edited May 21, 2014 by Jason T