South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Regional Weather Chat

[Jax]

Today's weather report: grey, wet, dull, grey, dull, wet, dull, grey, wet, slightly drier, slightly brighter, dull, grey, wet, wet, wet, grey, dull and wet.

On the beach in the sun here

 

 

 

OK, mayby I am indoors hiding from the rain.

[john pike]

tomorrow

 

a breezy north east flow

 

 

drizzly rain early clearing all by around lunchtime

 

a slim chance of the odd shower being driven in from the north sea but it is slim

 

temps

 

 

around 12-14 degrees

 

lower if you keep cloud

 

locally a shade higher if you dont

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

a very weak north east flow

 

no rain

 

temps cold

 

 

reckon these are too high

 

0-4 degrees

 

frost and fog likely

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------

 

saturday

 

still a weak north easterly

 

rain = nil

 

temps

 

 

 

between 12-14 degrees

 

maybe a shade lower east coastal regions

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

saturday night

 

 

a variable flow

 

 

but east-north east likely

 

rain = nil

 

temps

 

 

around 3-5 degrees and a local frost is still possible

 

sunday

 

 

not doing for now

 

that front to our north is getting a little close for comfort

 

so will do that tomorrow

Edited May 1, 2014 by john pike

[Jax]

finger hurts from having to use the scroll wheel so much now JP is back :lol:

[john pike]

hi jax

 

:rofl:

 

wait until i do my summer forecast

[Jax]

hi jax

 

:rofl:

 

wait until i do my summer forecast

 

might hire a student to be a scroll groupy for me then

[john pike]

monday

 

 

 

 

 

DRY SUNNY AND WARM

 

NICE :)

[Crepuscular Ray]

monday

 

 

 

 

 

DRY SUNNY AND WARM

 

NICE :)

Excellent. I have gardening to do at my parents'.

[Keraunic]

monday

 

 

 

 

 

DRY SUNNY AND WARM

 

NICE :)

Blimus! A decent bank holiday!! Good oh. Cheers, John.

[john pike]

TUESDAY

 

 

 

still warm and sunny

 

tuesday night- wednesday may be interesting though

 

 

[john pike]

now lets hope the bank holiday charts stay like that

 

ecm ensembles

 

temps

 

 

barring a couple of cold nights

 

temps look pleasant if nothing hot showing

 

ignore gfs 12th on as a warm outlier

 

wind

 

 

breezy 6th onwards

 

but nothing of note

 

rain

 

 

rain being picked up on the 6th on

 

the 7th ecm is the outlier although would make sense with what the fax shows

 

overall not bad but looking wet from wednesday next week although that is fi for now

[Steve C]

Prospects for the Bank Holiday itself throughout our region look quite clear cut with plenty of fine dry weather to be had with pleasantly warm sunshine by day and chilly night-times and some very early morning frosts likely most especially on Friday and Saturday. By Sunday, as the ridge responsible for the fine weather settles across us and then just to the east of the region as we head towards Monday, overnight temperatures will be less cold with frost much less likely and also day time temperatures rising a little further as the cooler upper temperatures that arrive tomorrow (the chilliest day of all) continue to moderate upwards.

 

Its the return from the Bank Holiday where the next changes become apparent as High pressure by this time is blocking to the east and north east of the UK and an upper trough sits just to the west of Iceland. There is very good agreement in the ECM EPS ensemble maps for this overall atlantic and european pressure pattern as just described.

 

 

 

Attempted inroads from the atlantic clearly has support, but what defines how changeable and rather more unsettled our region becomes is the orientation of the airstream between the two main features to our NW and E/NE.  If verified, the positively tilted trough solutions shown on some of the maps indicate that fronts would arrive more progressively eastwards through Tuesday and into Wednesday, whilst the more negative solutions with the fronts undercutting the reidging to the NE would advance slower as the troughing disrupts SE'wards. Much as many of us would be hoping in winter for snow potential in this set-up where a block exists to the NE

 

I think at this stage the consensus bet is for any rain band not to arrive till late on Tuesday and indeed many southern and eastern-most parts of the region could well get away with another completely dry and fine day.

 

Thereafter, a probable NW/SW split across the UK means that our region is likely to see the best of drier weather interludes and spells of sunshine and with the best temperatures as well. So, not completely settled and we best expect at least some rain and showers at times, although we could get lucky here anyway with the rain bands arriving overnight and giving us some decent days outdoors.

 

Fairly traditionally average UK Spring fare sums it up all in all

 

Recent days have seen some more picture taking during the best of the weather. Monday provided this in NW Kent and the ducks on the pond at Chislehurst Common seemed to agree as well. However, much as the case in the New Forest last week, there was no wildlife food available on offer from me, even though this feathered variety were happy to (very subtely) dry dock themselves right in front of me

 

 

Then, almost immediately afterwards, the main family artilleries arrived with their lovely little offspring   Harder still not to be able to offer these little cuties anything.

 

 

 

Then it was farewell to the ducks    

 

A quick tree hug      

 

and then a (resisted) temptation to risk strolling across a very busy and posh golf course 

 

 

 

I really like seeing your postings. You're a talented person, Tamara, and you're one of  the people that makes reading this thread more than worthwhile - not disparaging other contributors, but Tamara helps elevate this thread to a much higher level than much on this site (and any other regional thread)

 

JP is good too!  We are blessed here!

Edited May 2, 2014 by Steve C

[Bluebreezer54]

On topic:  Currently 8.6c, overcast but the weekend is not looking too bad.

 

Have a good weekend folks.

 

 

 

 

I

Edited May 2, 2014 by ajpoolshark

[Coopsy]

now lets hope the bank holiday charts stay like that

 

ecm ensembles

 

temps

 

 

barring a couple of cold nights

 

temps look pleasant if nothing hot showing

 

ignore gfs 12th on as a warm outlier

 

wind

 

 

breezy 6th onwards

 

but nothing of note

 

rain

 

 

rain being picked up on the 6th on

 

the 7th ecm is the outlier although would make sense with what the fax shows

 

overall not bad but looking wet from wednesday next week although that is fi for now

JP its good to have you back to full strength after being away. I sometimes have no idea what u have posted but it forces me to learn so thank you but often you post in a great, easy to read way....a very valuable asset  - thank you :-)

 

As the SE turns colder, so it does here. I will post in the North American thread if we do get the 2 feet of snow forecast. Meanwhile enjoy the cold weather in the SE and keep the pictures coming..... :-)

Edited May 2, 2014 by canadiancoops

[Charltonkerry]

In derby this morning so won't post what its like out, other than the East Midlands airport is a busy place with planes taking off very early, must remind the secretary about that :-), have a great POETS day everyone.

[Bluebreezer54]

Anyways.....a decent weekend of weather for our region is something to look forward to.

[Captain Shortwave]

Morning all.

Well yesterday was just cloudy and damp in the end, no thunder to speak of here. Somehow areas north and south of here got hit. Must have secret teleporting abilities to miss here 

This morning we have a thick layer of stratus (standard for north easterlies) so I'm expecting a pretty dull day to day with limited brightness. But it's Friday and almost another 3 day weekend. So have a great day

[Keraunic]

Mornin each. Very dull,gloomy and chilly this morning and some very dark skies over yonder. (North West I think. I'm geographically challenged ).Mr Pikes weather updates are very welcome on here. I, and many others appreciate his hard work.Back to the weather......no storms today by the look of it. Never mind....it's early days yet.Have a good day, everyone.

Edited May 2, 2014 by ajpoolshark

[A.J]

A couple of posts pruned this morning folks.

 

Please hit the report button for any questionable posts and let the site team deal with it

 

cheers all, and have a good weekend

[Tom Quintavalle]

Great photos btw Tams but where's the photographer's fee! (wink).Tom.

Edited May 2, 2014 by Paul

[EWS]

Overcast and cool at work in Dartford.

 

Very much looking forward to the possibility of a warm and sunny bank holiday, although we're going to stay on the Sussex coast for a couple of days next week to celebrate our wedding anniversary and of course, all signs point to rain on Wednesday / Thursday when I had visions of walking hand-in-hand on a deserted beach, the sun warming our faces, love in our hearts.....

 

I shall pack the waterproofs. 

 

Have a lovely day all.

[Biggin]

Dull Dank and Dingy  Is there still a chance of frost tonight here ??

[john pike]

Hi all

Hope your all well

Short one for now :-)

What a miserable day

Thanks for the kind comments

Back later

John

[Jax]

Afternoon all

 

Was surprised by how much cooler today turned out to be, but weekend is not looking as bad as it did a week ago, handy as I have a few outdoor activities planned, one involves a beer tent

 

remained dull all day here too, dry after last nights rain though and currently 11.5oC with a bit of a breeze about.

 

Have a great day all and more importantly an even better weekend

[Daniel*]

Afternoon allWas surprised by how much cooler today turned out to be, but weekend is not looking as bad as it did a week ago, handy as I have a few outdoor activities planned, one involves a beer tent :drunk:remained dull all day here too, dry after last nights rain though and currently 11.5oC with a bit of a breeze about.Have a great day all and more importantly an even better weekend

A chilly day the nagging wind, had a bite to it. Gloomy and overcast today.Have a good Bank Holiday weekend Edited May 2, 2014 by Daniel*

[john pike]

http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm

 

still looks fine

 

sunday has a warm front over us which should be cancelled out by high pressure

 

probably attract more cloud though

 

monday still looks fine too

 

but

 

 

maybe worth keeping an eye on these fronts for the far north of our region

 

looks warm too