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Angelici Magiovinium

South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 28/03/14

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I just failed to hit 20c too, 19.5C north of the river.

We hit 19.3c respectable for the time of year, It is when we get proper heat. We do well, due to my location; proximity to Central London.

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Hi all, 

 

Anyone got an idea for Saturdays weather for London? Its my 21st and seeing Wimbledon play my beloved Bristol Rovers...thanks! 

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Tomorrow looks quite similar to today, although the further east you are the more sunshine you are gunna get, apart from right on the coast.  Posted Image

Edited by BarnetBlizzard

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Evening all

What a corker today has been. Beautiful sunshine and plenty of warmth. Not sure what temp we reached but it must of been at least 17 / 18 degrees. Very warm on tonight's run and I must make a note to myself to not run with my mouth open.... Flies/gnats are not what I really want for dinner :-D

Sun starting to set now, and it starting to turn slightly misty.

Have a good one guys, Laters LD

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hi all

 

tonight

 

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

according to the fax charts we should have a warm from cross us overnight-early tomorrow morning

 

will be warm with poss mist in places

 

might be worth keeping an eye on the radar to see what happens

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

Posted Image

 

still under a southerly flow

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

looks like there will still be the odd shower around but most places should stay mainly dry if not a bit cloudy

 

Posted Image

Posted Image

if we can get the sun for long enough we may see some thundery showers develop in the afternoon

 

again its a radar watch to see what happens

 

temps

 

Posted Image

temps around 17-18 degrees

 

locally a 20 will be achieved somewhere today

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

Posted Image

a slightly breezier south-south east flow

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

should stay dry

 

watch to the south for incoming showers from the south which look to hit on thursday morning

 

temps

 

Posted Image

around 10-12 degrees

 

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thursday

 

Posted Image

a more westerly flow

 

weak but may get windy on east facing coastlines

 

rainfall (note the troughs on the fax charts)

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

looks likely showers moving up from the south will effect all by around 2pm

 

if we get some sun before hand storms will certainly be likely

 

temps

 

Posted Image

around 16-18 degrees

 

but will feel humid

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday night

 

Posted Image

a weak south westerly flow

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

starts dry but rain will move in overnight

 

more likely rain rather than storms

 

after the cold front moves through things will feel a shade fresher

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

friday

 

Posted Image

a weak west-south west flow

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

should stay mainly dry but a risk of a light shower late pm is possible

 

temps

 

Posted Image

cooler today

 

12-14 degrees locally a 16 possible

 

looks likely we will see a lot of sun today Posted Image

 

thats it for now

 

back later

 

johnPosted Image

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Great forecast as always JP :good:

 

shame to see the temps taper off as the weekend closes in though.

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Nice forecast, JP. Hope we do get some thunder action. :)

It's been a lovely day here and as the sun went down, the sky looked like mother-of-pearl. Stunning. Hope we get many more days like today. :)

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hi jax and k

 

thanks

 

lets say i hope ukmo is wrong

 

at 96

 

uppers

 

Posted Image

120

 

Posted Image

 

144

Posted Image

 

although not really cold

 

temps of 10-12 saturday and sunday

 

and 8-10 on monday would feel cold

 

however i make fi on friday for now until the fax charts come out

 

and even then i might wait until tomorrow re the weekend Posted Image

 

i think ukmo may be overdoing them uppers

Edited by john pike
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hi jax and k

 

thanks

 

lets say i hope ukmo is wrong

 

at 96

 

uppers

 

Posted Image

120

 

Posted Image

 

144

Posted Image

 

although not really cold

 

temps of 10-12 saturday and sunday

 

and 8-10 on monday would feel cold

 

however i make fi on friday for now until the fax charts come out

 

and even then i might wait until tomorrow re the weekend Posted Image

 

i think ukmo may be overdoing them uppers

I Shivered just then looking at those charts Posted Image

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hi jax and k

 

thanks

 

lets say i hope ukmo is wrong

 

at 96

 

uppers

 

Posted Image

120

 

Posted Image

 

144

Posted Image

 

although not really cold

 

temps of 10-12 saturday and sunday

 

and 8-10 on monday would feel cold

 

however i make fi on friday for now until the fax charts come out

 

and even then i might wait until tomorrow re the weekend Posted Image

 

i think ukmo may be overdoing them uppers

I think something has gone wrong with those 850s charts from the UKMO, The other models seem to agree with a mild air mass overhead with the UKMO looking similar in the pressure pattern.

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hi captain

 

will wait until tomorrow on this

 

 

i think they may be overdoing these but the problem is i dont trust the others at present

 

note the nao

 

typical it goes negative when we dont want it to Posted ImagePosted Image

 

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

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Hello all.

Sorry I am still here and do look in every day, just very busy at the moment. Very pleasant day today after this morning's heavy fog. Very mild out tonight - sorry still not got the weather station sorted so no proper readings. It will probably go up when we have the tiles hung on the side of the house which suffered the worst weather.

 

Hope all of you are well and thank you JP as usual for your charts.

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Hello all.

Sorry I am still here and do look in every day, just very busy at the moment. Very pleasant day today after this morning's heavy fog. Very mild out tonight - sorry still not got the weather station sorted so no proper readings. It will probably go up when we have the tiles hung on the side of the house which suffered the worst weather.

 

Hope all of you are well and thank you JP as usual for your charts.

As long as your alive, well (and here) I cannot see a problem :)

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hi storme

 

good to see your still floating

 

typical

 

when i want the fax charts there are no updates at present Posted Image

 

i will do them if they are not too latePosted ImagePosted Image

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as soon as i said the above the fax charts came out

 

just going to show them for now

 

Posted Image

 

120

 

Posted Image

 

 

 

saturday and sunday are both wet

 

sunday is also pretty windy

 

not convinced at present with these

 

more tomorrow

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ecm ensembles

 

temps

 

Posted Image

 

wind

 

Posted Image

 

rain

 

Posted Image

 

 

i will let you work that out Posted Image

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might be warm, may be cold, might be windy then not and may be wet but dry

 

 

yeah, that will do it :)

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From The Times

 

Forecasters crack formula to predict long-range weather

Extreme winters will be predicted with greater reliability than before after the world’s best long-term weather forecast model was developed by British scientists, the Met Office said.

The breakthrough may have a substantial impact on the economy, allowing power companies and wind farms to anticipate energy demands while airports and councils can estimate how much grit and anti-freeze is likely to be required.

 

Wait a minute............April foolsPosted Image  ............but it's April the 2nd, you mean that this is truePosted Image

Edited by lassie23
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From The Times

 

 

Heat is on as Met Office is accused of a ‘warm bias’ in annual forecasts

The Met Office’s method of predicting the annual increase in global average temperature may have a “warm biasâ€, according to a BBC weather forecaster.

Paul Hudson said that the yearly headline predictions made by the Met Office had been “too warm†for 13 of the 14 years so far this century.

 

April Fo............... you get the gist!

Edited by lassie23
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Morning, a gloomy and chilly start in Essex, 12C when I left the house in west London at 6am but only 7.5C here near Southend. Sun doing it's best to break through now but very misty/hazy so far this morning

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Morning all,

 

Murky but mild sums up the weather this morning.

 

Did anyone fall for any April Fools day stories yesterday?  I am ashamed to say I fell for the one about the square eggs Posted Image .  In my defence I only heard the story on Day Break and didn't see the footage, but figured that anything is probably possible with nature and the chicken could have had a faulty gene or something... Posted Image

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Morning all. :)

 

Quite murky here too at the moment; a big change from yesterday, albeit the sunshine then was hazy.

 

I'm actually looking forward to the rain late tomorrow, to clear this crappy air, even though a temperature fall will be the downside.

 

Looking at JP's ensembles, it seems to me that temperatures will only drop to average levels anyway - 13C or so for mid April. :)

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Just looking at Philip Eden's CET stats, what an amazing contrast for March 2013 - 2.91C & March 2014 - 7.64C, that's the British weather for you and what makes it so interesting.

 

http://www.climate-uk.com/provisional.htm

 

Have a nice dayPosted Image

Quite a contrast all right, shorts and t shirt weather yesterday yet just over a year ago I was sitting in a plane in Belfast for three hours with two foot of snow on the runway! Hopefully no late surprises this year
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Morning all,

 

Murky but mild sums up the weather this morning.

 

Did anyone fall for any April Fools day stories yesterday?  I am ashamed to say I fell for the one about the square eggs Posted Image .  In my defence I only heard the story on Day Break and didn't see the footage, but figured that anything is probably possible with nature and the chicken could have had a faulty gene or something... Posted Image

 

I haven't fallen for one for many years (probably early 90's) - there was an article on Countryfile about an animal called a 'stink toad' which was on the verge of extinction, I think due to its breeding habits (there were practically none of them left and they might have only been able to breed on one day of the year) I watched the whole article with interest and the penny only dropped when John Craven mentioned the breeding date... To be honest, my brain is too hardwired to fall for anything on April 1st now.

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