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Looks like next week will be a case of overnight lows stopping the damage. Unless it's cloudier than expected overnight which will rock the apple cart a little. Could be some big ranges in temp again.

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 don't care what the cet says  It hasn't felt like an above average month here, far from it, and there have been many frosts, more than most of the winter,


Coldest night of the winter coming up

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A min today of -1.6C, while maxima look like reaching the mid 10s, so a drop to 7.4C is likely on tomorrows update.


After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at

7.4C to the 25th (5.7)

7.2C to the 26th (4.0)

7.1C to the 27th (3.8]

7.1C to the 28th (5.9)

7.1C to the 29th (9.2)

7.2C to the 30th (10.3)

7.4C to the 31st (10.7)


Anywhere from 6.6 to 7.6 still in with a shout at this stage I'd say.

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With a minimum of 2.3C and maxima likely to reach about the high 9s, we should remain on 7.3C on tomorrows update.


After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at

7.2C to the 28th (6.9)

7.4C to the 29th (10.8]

7.5C to the 30th (12.3)

7.7C to the 31st (12.3)


Anywhere from 7.1 to 7.8C after corrections I reckon. Which would mean anything from the 6th to the 12th mildest first 3 months of the year on record.

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Turning into a very warm start to the year overall.. Not sure how we compare with 2012 which despite the cold  week spell late Jan to mid Feb saw mild weather dominate but quickly came to an end in April.


Indeed we are seeing a very warm 12 month period overall compared to the preceding 12 month period. There has been very little in the way of below average temperatures relative to normal since June, with lengthy very mild periods. Had thought the tables were about to be turned, but alas the warmth continues. Lets hope the change doesn't come in time for summer, like it did in 2012.. but have a horrible feeling the warm period will break soon..

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