South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14

[MrsB28]

Have broken down and waiting for AA, in this weather, how unlucky can I be!

[Isabellesnanny]

Mine is some kind of pine - quite a thick trunk - have to say that even in Wednesday's winds we didn't even have many branches down so hoping that bodes well.

[warrenb]

This might sound weird, but just been outside and it is muggy out there

[knightrider]

Wind picking up now and the dark cloud cover is starting to break up into more showery looking cloud with glimpses of blue sky in between maybe this is the hook/tail of the storm beginning to swing around next few hours we'll really start to feel things ramp up a gear wind wise I suspect.

This might sound weird, but just been outside and it is muggy out there

Not weird at all this LP system has come up from a mild warm location in the Azores.

[alexisj9]

It was an expression mate. If you look at the trailing front from us to just off Portugal, the clouds are moving like the clappers!

lol, yep I seen that. Moving pretty quick.

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yep wind picking up here to in Ascot now..

[knightrider]

Clouds are shooting across the sky very quickly which suggests that upper level winds are already increasing and that there are strong lower level to follow.

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Commence dramatic music..

[alexisj9]

This might sound weird, but just been outside and it is muggy out there

Yep been that way all day, probably some thunder storms after the main rain band, that's sort of how the air feels anyway.

[warrenb]

Landslip at Chelsfield so at present the main line between Sevenoaks and Orpington is blocked.

[Keraunic]

Well, that's me looking like a drowned rat. Went to look at flat, agent not there. Waited till three but had to go as me and the Nipper were soaked and she was not happy. Poor little soul. I've re scheduled anyway.

It is pouring down here and very gusty. Absolutely awful and not the kind of day for a nice stroll that's for sure. Goodness knows what the next few hours wil be like. :O

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http://www.southwesttrains.co.uk/

 

lol

[bobbydog]

main rain band passed through now, some nasty looking squalls on the radar heading this way, wind picking up in the south west now,

 

here she comes.......... http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

[Bovril]

Wind gusts are much lower than forecast on XC weather up to now for here, highest being 27 as opposed to 48 for 3-6pm on their site.

Does this mean there is a good chance it may not be half as bad later as well?

 

I am watching http://www.casa.ucl.ac.uk/weather/ for London, not sure how accurate this site is.

[k66yla]

A big military helicopter (not a chinook) has just made a quick pit stop at Kent Police HQ. Don't know whats occuring but I'm guessing its flooding/weather related.

[scotteboi]

Storm thread say the 12Z have downgraded this for the SE later max gusts inland now max of 50-60 mph, looks like not as bad as anticipated

 

EDIT - Although I think everyone is just waiting to see how it plays out...lets be honest until it happens...it is an estimate as always :-)

Edited February 14, 2014 by scotteboi

[coldfingers]

This might sound weird, but just been outside and it is muggy out there

That happened in '87. Went from very cold to warm in space of an hour. I stress this WONT be like '87 storm though, just a feature of low pressures coming from warmer latitudes.

[alexisj9]

Looks about right met office said 38mph here till 3, we've been in the 40's though, but that's normal really. For here anyway. From 3 till 6 it says 43, I think it will be higher.

[Tom Quintavalle]

Main rain area cleared through here in Croydon, around a half an hour or so.

Strongest winds for the south coast look to be around midnight and a little while after.

http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20140214/12/12/ukwind.png

Tom.

[Keraunic]

Ah.....here she is then.........

[Marie]

All calm here .im off for a while will be back later

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Them squalls heading up from the South Coast look quite intense on the radar. Also look to be hitting me within the next 45 minutes, should be interesting!

[EWS]

Landslip at Chelsfield so at present the main line between Sevenoaks and Orpington is blocked.

 

 

That's my station, thanks for the info. After a lull in the wind, it's getting breezy again now but nothing out of the ordinary yet.

Edited February 14, 2014 by EWS

[knightrider]

Sky has gone very dark again now, but up till now at least this has been a damp squib and not a storm.

 

Storm thread say the 12Z have downgraded this for the SE later max gusts inland now max of 50-60 mph, looks like not as bad as anticipated.

Depends on what models their getting their info from, Met Office's information is very unclear and confusing to some extent they've expanded their Amber warning area to cover more of SE and London area and are claiming inland gusts could reach 70mph yet all their computer runs on their website have gusts of 50-60mph and only barely 70 on the coast not 80 so depends on what you believe, either their not taking note of what their latest models are predicting and are broadcasting information that's about 12 hours out of date either that or their website graphs are out of date!

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Sky has gone very dark again now, but up till now at least this has been a damp squib and not a storm.

 

Depends on what models their getting their info from, Met Office's information is very unclear and confusing to some extent they've expanded their Amber warning area to cover more of SE and London area and are claiming inland gusts could reach 70mph yet all their computer runs on their website have gusts of 50-60mph and only barely 70 on the coast not 80 so depends on what you believe, either their not taking note of what their latest models are predicting and are broadcasting information that's about 12 hours out of date either that or their website graphs are out of date!

 

Dunno if the 12z is a wobble or not but there are some 80mph+ winds now getting close to the South west so could be a rouge run..