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  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    02JUN2021 - Niño 3: -0.2, Niño 3.4: -0.2, Niño 4: -0.2

    March-April-May ONI was -0.7.

    May ONI was -0.3.

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    See http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2155-z Huge uncertainty however, re scope of any teleconnection for UK winter 16-17 (models still yet to confidently resolve re ENSO neutra

    Indeed it did. Essentially it runs an consistent story through N-D-J-F of +ve GPH/MSLP anomalies to NW/N of UK; -ve ones to S/SW. 

    The reasons why these three key strong El Nino years, 1972/73, 1982/83 and 1997/98 differed so much in their atmospheric responses is very interesting.   Purely on ocean surface / subsurface data, a

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    Hard to say where we go at least at scale but it looks like we may be getting a new upwelling trying to develop.

    image.thumb.gif.0e8e1a0413e13ba66787564fb0551f69.gif
     

    image.thumb.gif.edac3bdfed1206df8230c1b6978068c2.gif

    That blue patch is a development in the past week or two being fed from the deep to the west at depth.

    image.thumb.gif.a0f15546d37e877c1fc4ad24b5fa772f.gif
     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
    3 hours ago, summer blizzard said:

    Hard to say where we go at least at scale but it looks like we may be getting a new upwelling trying to develop.

    image.thumb.gif.0e8e1a0413e13ba66787564fb0551f69.gif
     

    image.thumb.gif.edac3bdfed1206df8230c1b6978068c2.gif

    That blue patch is a development in the past week or two being fed from the deep to the west at depth.

    image.thumb.gif.a0f15546d37e877c1fc4ad24b5fa772f.gif
     

     

    Please explain what this means?

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    02JUN2021 - Niño 3: 0.0, Niño 3.4: 0.0, Niño 4: 0.0

    This month is likely as warm as it gets, sub-surface is about to go net negative again.

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester

    Big drop in regions 3.4 and 4 in the last week! The SSTs anomaly went from 0.0 to -0.5c

    What caused such a sudden drop? It goes against the models forecasts for June.

    Edited by karyo
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