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South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 05/02/14 16z -------------->


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Posted
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight

    Was awoken to thunder at 04.35 this morning and also a hailstorm, the rumbles where so deep my dog ran for it under the bed :(

    It is eerily quiet here this morning, calm before the storm as my mother would say.

     

    Morning stats

     

    998.8mb (falling 2.7mb/hr)

    Max gust last hour 28.2mph

    Rainfall 6.0mm (so far today)

    Rainfall monthly 74.6mm

    Temp 7.1c

    Windchill 4.1c

    Dew point 5.8c

    Humidity 92%

    Leaf wetness 15.0

    Soil moisture 255.0cb

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Forecast winds have strengthened a tad overnight though, with inland gusts in excess of 60mph now;

    post-12721-0-17695200-1392191425_thumb.jpost-12721-0-52321100-1392191436_thumb.jpost-12721-0-18277200-1392191447_thumb.jpost-12721-0-99980700-1392191456_thumb.j

    So not as wet as previously thought but the gales and locally severe gales still evident. The will be after the brief rainband passes through though.

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Then we have this for the weekend;

    post-12721-0-14423700-1392191906_thumb.jpost-12721-0-24138600-1392191944_thumb.j

    But we'll just leave that for now. ;)

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Latest EURO4 for midday today;

    post-12721-0-44294700-1392192540_thumb.j

    And latest radar now;

    post-12721-0-56100200-1392192562_thumb.j

    Not quite sure the EURO4 is going to be right here.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking low pressure in winter. Hot and thundery in the summer
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire

    Latest EURO4 for midday today;

    Posted Imageimage.jpg

    And latest radar now;

    Posted Imageimage.jpg

    Not quite sure the EURO4 is going to be right here.

    I think the intense strip to our southwest at the minute will grow in size as over the next few hours. Then as the band now across Ireland pushes north the band to our southwest will be the dominant band covering England
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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    I think the intense strip to our southwest at the minute will grow in size as over the next few hours. Then as the band now across Ireland pushes north the band to our southwest will be the dominant band covering England

    Yes I agree with that, it has been growing as it pushes east already. Either way, certainly looks like an intense rain band.Anyone seem the ECM teaser? I say BANK!!post-16760-0-39302300-1392193908_thumb.jpost-16760-0-84341000-1392193917_thumb.jProbably be cast as an outlier though, the mean doesn't really back it up......at allpost-16760-0-43209200-1392194124_thumb.j Edited by karlos1983
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    Posted
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Split between Wells and Bridgwater

    Ian said the rain would only last a couple of hours today. Heavy though.

    Seeing charts like that coming through... I would normally be excited, now I really couldn't be bothered. I'm sick to death of this weather. Looking for warmth and sun now.

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Met Office Amber warning now extended across more of the region (South coast area especially) for wind;

    post-12721-0-32929900-1392196035_thumb.j

    Not going to be a pleasent day!

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    Posted
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight

    Pressure dropping fast

     

    994.9mb (falling -4.4mb/hr)

    Max gust last hour 34.0mph

    Temp 8.1c

    Certainly much wilder outside now

    Stay safe guys, and dont be out in it unless absolutely necessary

    As for Friday, batten those hatches down veryyy tight guys, Fridays LP looking scary  Posted Image Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

    Edited by Cyclonic
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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Interesting from Ian;

    "W COUNTRY Heaviest rain, giving ca. 10mm/hour (risk hail/lightning), will cross E around 11am-noon on into early afternoon. V squally winds."

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Winds starting to become noticeable here now.

    A couple of very gusty gusts recently.

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    Posted
  • Location: Exeter, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Exeter, Devon

    Rain really heavy & a bit sleety and Big gusts of wind, fence panels are swaying quite a bit :(

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    The reason for the rain band growing/pepping up is that it's running in to a large area of strong PVA (positive vorticity advection) at VORTMAX.

    It shows up here as pinks surrounded by oranges. :)

    post-15177-0-31485400-1392199943_thumb.g

    Interesting night, had three separate instances of thunder, 4.4mm fell from those showers.

    Currently pretty gusty and 8.6C

    Edited by Mapantz
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    Posted
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL
  • Location: Cyprus and North east Swindon. 104 ASL

    BBC weather showing some wintery showers tonight for the SW....Not sure if like last night they will amount to much, or if they will be wintery at all!!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    BBC weather showing some wintery showers tonight for the SW....Not sure if like last night they will amount to much, or if they will be wintery at all!!!

    Agree. Highlighted by the EURO4 model too;post-12721-0-28158200-1392201334_thumb.j
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    Posted
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight

    High tide now, im sure it will be much more choppier later with next high tide

     

    http://www.camscape.com/view/33889

     

    http://driftwoodbeachbar.com/webcam/

     

    The driftwood webcam is at higher part of the beach, further down by Yaverland its crashing over the wall and its not really a high tide

    Edited by Cyclonic
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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    so is Friday going to be as bad as this one?

    Possibly yes, although different areas could be affected worst.Uncertainty for now. Let's just survive today first.
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    Posted
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight

    It is looking that way, and tracking more south then Storm Tini

    Just gotta wait for the models/runs to see really

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    Posted
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers and cold winters with snow.
  • Location: Pucklechurch near Bristol 113m ASL

    Met office have just issued a RED WARNING for North and West Wales and North West England for wind.

     

    Wind really picking up here now with some big gusts!

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    Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.

    Met office have just issued a RED WARNING for North and West Wales and North West England for wind.

     

    Wind really picking up here now with some big gusts!

     

    Indeed they have, its all over the news and its been dubbed WILD WEDNESDAY.

    Edited by gottolovethisweather
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