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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 21/01/14


Jane Louise

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Posted
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL

well look at this short vid shot just outside Chicago of the lake effect snow where is currently falling at 3-4 inches per hour

http://instagram.com/p/jcoje9Ffo7/#

http://instagram.com/p/jcaOzvlfkH/#

 

now that is biblical snowfall

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Posted
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and ice days
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex

Cracking end to the "Pub" Run though been told it won't happen as it's FI.

 

Does make you wonder why the people that post these sorts of comments seem quite happy to watch every frame of every run!

 

Anyway, some very welcome eye candy if nothing else.Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

i can honestly say in all the time i have been here

 

working out the future is actually getting harder

 

anything may happen next week

 

fax updates soon but not in yet

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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

well look at this short vid shot just outside Chicago of the lake effect snow where is currently falling at 3-4 inches per hour

http://instagram.com/p/jcoje9Ffo7/#

http://instagram.com/p/jcaOzvlfkH/#

 

now that is biblical snowfall

Seems it does not like my version of java, still get the idea from the still image.  If you going to do a winter may as well do it right.

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Posted
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and ice days
  • Location: Hailsham, East Sussex

well look at this short vid shot just outside Chicago of the lake effect snow where is currently falling at 3-4 inches per hour

http://instagram.com/p/jcoje9Ffo7/#

http://instagram.com/p/jcaOzvlfkH/#

 

now that is biblical snowfall

Don't worry Tom, that's what we'll be getting in a couple of weeks as my mum said "what they get, we get".

 

Who needs Steve Murr and JP?Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Sydenham/Crystal Palace London
  • Location: Sydenham/Crystal Palace London

ha ha jax

 

Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

fi etc etc

 

but cannot rule that option out at present

 

cor and look at 348

Posted Image

 

 

Posted Image

 

 

Posted Image

 

Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

 

when gfs show something other than zonal its worth taking note

 

will it happen

 

ask me in a few days

 

 

No!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I fly out to Thailand on the 6th, no snow between me and Heathrow airport please. The slightest snow flake and it seems to cause chaos there.

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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

updated fax

 

this is surprising

 

Posted Image

a cold and strong north west wind

 

Posted Image

 

rain early

 

then dry most of the day

 

cold

 

528 dam air to our north

 

cold front incoming which may give some rain late pm but not too heavy

 

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

sunday

 

Posted Image

 

 

a very strong south west wind

 

rain

 

look fairly dry to lunchtime

 

then pm heavy rain comes in

 

will clear before midnight

 

now sunday night looks like this

 

Posted Image

 

could be a cold one

 

expect these to change by tomorrow or maybe not

 

who knows? Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

Been running 'warm' all this evening Posted Image feel fine and checked and room temp is no different than normal?

 

 

must be going through the change Posted ImagePosted Image

 

Appears to have stopped raining out here at the moment.

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Posted
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL

well JP going to have allot of ramping tonight as nearly all the ensembles have an easterly flow at 192 with plenty of potential  

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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

the 144 which i forgot

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

 

Posted Image

 

i still think snow here

 

but will update this tomorrow

 

rain first then some snow when heavy and the lower uppers get here

 

will show this on the fax tomorrow night

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

http://www.weathercast.co.uk/services/ensemble-forecast.html?eps=london

 

i will let you work that out yourself

 

the op at the end though on ecm went loopy

Didn't look right, that high just going bye bye so quick, lets hope these ensembles show it was wrong

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Posted
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL
  • Location: Nutley, East Sussex 120m ASL

just posted by fergie on mad thread  

fergieweather

fergieweather
  • [*]
Posted Image [*]Members [*]1,030 posts

  • [*]
Gender:Male [*]Location:Bristol, UK

Posted A minute ago

Not to be taken too literally (!!! Caution!!!) but here's modified UKMO-GM at T+144:Posted Image
  • [*]  [*]
Like This [*]Unlike

--------------------------
Ian K. Fergusson FRMetS
Twitter: @fergieweather
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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

Great posts guys Posted Image signs are all there for a potential shift to something colder, just need to play that good ole waiting game now.

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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

Eek, timer light just went off, means it is way past my bed time, see all you good people tomorrow, interesting to see the updates by the evening :)

 

night all .

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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

hi bjaykent

 

i was thinking the same earlier

 

but still confident

 

i knew the ecm run was out out of sync as soon as it came out

 

00z back to stella run ?

 

see that tomorrow but not staying up to find out this time

 

gfs 18z ensembles show this

 

Posted Image

 

 

seen worse

 

but the spread still there on the 25th

 

cold drop still there 27th

 

24th-27th the bit to see whether we get proper winter or not

 

anyway i expect the same again tomorrow

 

goodnight all Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

Edited by john pike
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Posted
  • Location: BA3 Midsomer Norton
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and no more than 25degC
  • Location: BA3 Midsomer Norton

Hi AllBeen a bit AWOL with job apps and sick piggies......so not been able to assimilate everything on the thread.........oooh apart from JennyJane1 - brill news about SM.......so pleased to hear this xxxerrrmmm....JP - can you give an idea how much rain over the next 24 hours please approx? Is it something my little stream should be worrying about....(again)?...we have had a couple of really nice dry days so really don;t want an "interim" before the next predicted onslaught at the weekendxxxx

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Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

At least widespread 10-15mm expected over the region up to this morning from the front moving east.

Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

the 144 which i forgot

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

 

Posted Image

 

i still think snow here

 

but will update this tomorrow

 

rain first then some snow when heavy and the lower uppers get here

 

will show this on the fax tomorrow night

Thanks John. Good to mix in some colorful charts especially when there's nice deep blues on them!!

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Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK

Morning all - early start here as it's volcano day .... Off to the Timanfaya national park to have a look down the crater of fire mountain, the vineyards of la Geria and the green lagoon at El Golfo on the way back :-)

Edited by MKsnowangel
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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

Morning. The rain has returned this morning. Still I can look forward to eating out tonight in Newmarket :)

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