South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/14

[PLANET THANET]

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many thanks for that , I will try and remember that

[john pike]

 

 

wet yes

 

still we keep cooler uppers

 

next run maybe interesting

[Jason T]

Evening all......Cold tonight. Early morning temperatures tomorrow

 

 

 

[Summer of 76]

John,

 

When you read the latest Met Office 30 day forecast it may not be below zero temperatures but down here in our part of England I don't see very mild temperatures.

[john pike]

hi chris

 

i actually see a south- north split coming

 

dryer and colder here

 

obviously we see some precipitation but with cooler uppers here it should help to kill them as they get here

 

wetter further north

 

well i hope i am right anyway

[john pike]

and at 240

 

 

 

 

winters over 

[Katiewombat]

It sure is Katie !!  I have fresh scars to prove it 

Hope the scars have healed. It's even worse in there tonight. I believe is IF's turn to be shot at.

Glad all you guys and gals are so lovely.

Katie

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Sadly, it seems than Ian's ignored my PM.

[Katiewombat]

and at 240

 

 

 

 

winters over 

Well even me that can barely read a chart can see that's far from true lol. Just using common sense. So why can't all the Modic-depressives in the MAD thread see that,

Katie

[john pike]

hi chris

 

i dont think he will realistically want to predict past 5 days

 

he will only say what the models are saying and i would

 

assume even he wont give absolute trust to them

 

keep watching up to 5 days ahead

 

me personally think we will miss most of the heavy rain

 

we will get some that i do not doubt

 

but nothing like we have seen previously

[JennyJane1]

Well even me that can barely read a chart can see that's far from true lol. Just using common sense. So why can't all the Modic-depressives in the MAD thread see that,Katie

I think some become fixated on something and then that's all they can see, a bit like those optical illusion things.

[john pike]

Well even me that can barely read a chart can see that's far from true lol. Just using common sense. So why can't all the Modic-depressives in the MAD thread see that,Katie

 

the problem is when the op run comes out from gfs

 

they see zonal in fi and believe it

 

then when they do see a freeze they say its fi and will not happen

 

keep your eye on the fax charts  they are far more reliable than any other model

Edited January 20, 2014 by john pike

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Perhaps, John, as Katiewombat is here at present, you could help me with her request for help from this thread last night, please?  (See page 29 of this thread).

Edited January 20, 2014 by chrisbell-nottheforecaster

[john pike]

hi chris i will try

 

sometimes i have to flick over to the volcanic-earthquake side

 

then do the fax update which takes quite a bit of time

 

i have a good link which explains how to read the charts

 

will post it up soon

 

regards

 

john

Edited January 20, 2014 by john pike

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

hi chris i will try

 

sometimes i have to flick over to the volcanic-earthquake side

 

then do the fax update which takes quite a bit of time

 

i have a good link which explains how to read the charts

 

will post it up soon

 

regards

 

john

Thanks.  I tried last night but only succeeded in generating further confusion, sadly.  I also don't trust my knowledge to state things with sufficient confidence.

[john pike]

hi chris

 

your description last night was fine

 

problem is its hard to word it in an easy way

 

heres the link

 

http://weatherfaqs.org.uk/book/export/html/214

 

warning though its long and will take a while to digest

 

best thing to do is look for what you need to know rather than read all of it

 

hope that helps

 

john

[tinybill]

there  must  be  wrist cutting in the  mod  thread  winter seems  to have  gone absent again  all i  can see from now and in to fantasy world  is  rain plenty  of  that  on  the  way!!

[john pike]

hi tiny

 

its a good job fi is really reliable then

[tinybill]

hi tiny

 

its a good job fi is really reliable then

hi  john i just look at these at  night i know they hate them in the  other thread  i find them a good idea if winter  is coming!!!

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=6

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=204

[john pike]

hi tiny

 

its alright i was only joking

 

you are a tease

[Katiewombat]

Thanks.  I tried last night but only succeeded in generating further confusion, sadly.  I also don't trust my knowledge to state things with sufficient confidence.

It wasn't you lol. It was me having a dumb brunette moment. if had of read it first thing this morning, it would of made total sense I am sure. Katie

[Katiewombat]

hi chris your description last night was fine problem is its hard to word it in an easy way heres the link http://weatherfaqs.org.uk/book/export/html/214 warning though its long and will take a while to digest best thing to do is look for what you need to know rather than read all of it hope that helps john

Thank you John and thank you again Chris. I think I will print it out and read it that way. Sometimes good old fashioned paper is far easier to learn from them an 8inch screen. Fingers crossed for me to finally start learning. Katie

[john pike]

goodluck katie

 

see you next year

 

fax update may be interesting tonight

 

more later

[Steve C]

hi chris i will try

 

sometimes i have to flick over to the volcanic-earthquake side

 

then do the fax update which takes quite a bit of time

 

i have a good link which explains how to read the charts

 

will post it up soon

 

regards

 

john

Are we about to have a 'seismic' weather shift then?

[john pike]

hi steve

 

i will keep quiet on that for now