South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 10/01/14

[Crepuscular Ray]

Hi There SE Gang,

 

Hope you are all well.

 

I am very confident of much colder conditions setting in next week. Expect GFS to change output tomorrow to a much colder outlook and for the MetO to start hinting this colder theme also on Wed/Thurs.

 

Let's get the ramping mode going

House Snow Ramp.jpg

Ah, Yammers has arrived and is ramping. Let's expect temperatures in the mid teens next week.

[Jax]

Hi There SE Gang,

 

Hope you are all well.

 

I am very confident of much colder conditions setting in next week. Expect GFS to change output tomorrow to a much colder outlook and for the MetO to start hinting this colder theme also on Wed/Thurs.

 

Let's get the ramping mode going

House Snow Ramp.jpg

well you got the icons ~+

[ZONE 51]

Incredible images from the air of Surrey floods [Thames] 2014

http://www.getsurrey.co.uk/news/local-news/sky-high-snaps-show-scale-thames-6503197

 

Used to live in Weybridge, and I have seen the Thames very high, not been there recently to compare to what it is now. also so often went to the Walton Thames.

Some photos below from floods of Jan2008:

 

 

 

 

 

And here comparing the drought of 2006 and the floods during winter2008:

 

Edited January 13, 2014 by ElectricSnowStorm

[Jason T]

ecm ensembles

 

temps

 

 

the ecm op is not a cold outlier

 

infact it looks like a warmer option up to 21st

 

wind

 

 

nowt of note here

 

19th gfs looks an outlier

 

rain

 

 

quite clear this

 

ecm barring a bit of rain up to the 16th it looks very dry

 

gfs doesnt by a long way

 

 

Fingers crossed for tomorrow then JP. Very good news on ECM ensembles. Model thread be busy at 6am.  

[ZONE 51]

Didn't see the river getting into the gardens along the Thames back then! still was very high and fast though.

[john pike]

hi jason

 

stick to 12z ecm and fax or get ready for the madness which will ensue tomorrow morning

 

the fax is the important bit now

 

the fax tonight is very good

 

heres the short gfs pressure ensembles

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?x=319&y=149&run=18&runpara=0&col=1&type=1&ext=1

 

[TechGuy28]

my feet are already cold

[PiggiePalace]

Thanx as ever JP........every evening's report is much appreciated

 

Also to Electric Snow storm for your recent rain/flood maps...thank you!

 

.....And to Coast for the morning shift preparing us for the oncoming day

 

You;re all stars!!!!

 

Surrey - completely understand your concerns re the rising Thames.......hope it stabilises before too much further flooding damage is caused.  Believe me, if I had a magic wand - the first thing I would do is ensure no-one ever would have floodwater inside their home. Also sorry to hear you're feeling so poorly - there really is a nasty virus going around - see below.

 

JennieJane - I hope your recovery speeds up now. and glad you got treated in time ...you have been in my thoughts lots since you first posted your condition.  I have had a very painful viral chest infection for >12 weeks now and if it weren't for the fact I insisted on a chest Xray in mid december as a direct result of your post, I too would now be sitting in A & E.

 

To Terence the caterpillar.....hasta la vista!

 

To Bromley Jan - I don;t know you as I am a newbie but I am really pleased to see you back posting with your friends.

 

 

Sorry but Smileys not working for me tonight

 

Going to sign off now as have some really stinky cages to clean out otherwise the piggies will start to "express their displeasure"xxxx

Edited January 14, 2014 by PiggiePalace

[PiggiePalace]

Oh Pants.....just gone onto weather radar...direction has changed......something wicked this way comes!!!!xxxx

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

hi pp

 

should no last too long for you

 

some pretty heavy bursts on there for some though

[PiggiePalace]

Thanks JP

 

Looking good so far....Rain Shield appears to be working.....

 

Edit ....and so do the smilies!

xxxx

Edited January 14, 2014 by PiggiePalace

[ZONE 51]

Would like to share with readers a piece of my image design work, as we are in the floods with the Thames wanted to show what it could look like if London was in drought with a dry river.

(created a few years ago)

Edited January 14, 2014 by ElectricSnowStorm

[Flaked Queen]

Would like to share with readers a piece of my image design work, as we are in the floods with the Thames wanted to show what it could look like if London was in drought with a dry river.

(created a few years ago)

Drought-London-Thames-(what it could look like if river dried up) GG(ESS) ©.jpg

Looks cleaner

[ZONE 51]

Would have taken to long to edit in the 100000 bicycles, 500000 old dustbins, and 90000000000000 beer cans..  

 

 

[if you just logged on I'm referring to an image of a dried out Thames] (not possible this month)

Edited January 14, 2014 by ElectricSnowStorm

[blackprince]

Wet drive in to London this morning with the temperature dropping down to 3c and drying up near Docklands.

[Coast]

Morning all!

 

3°C consistently through Sussex this morning currently and we escaped the worst of any overnight ice on the roads here by the looks of things.

 

 

It might be a day without rain for some in our region today, but it returns at dusk and meanders about through tonight and into tomorrow morning again:

 

 

I have to say I'm not at all keen on this years fashion trends so far.....

 

 

Edited January 14, 2014 by Coast

[Captain Shortwave]

Morning, partly cloudy with no frost here.

Frustration with the models allowed me to to boil the kettle with my bare hands 

[Coast]

How about something a little more convective later this week?

 

 

 

 

 

If we can't be smothered in snow, let's be lit up by lightning! 

[Biggin]

V Frosty this morning here and still is.

[Steve C]

Morning all.

 

Overnight cloud clearing to the east, so expecting a pretty decent sunny day here.

 

Off to check the Model Thread. I suspect there will be wailing and teeth gnashing, if, as reported here, the ECM has backtracked from yesterday evening. :unsure:

 

Have a good day everyone!

[Keraunic]

Mornin each. Bright but cloudy here in Ippy. Had plenty of overnight rain by the looks of it out there. It's quite mild as well, and still. It was warm last night.....I had to throw the covers off.

Have a good day, folks.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Morning peeps,

 

Have been advised by work to take today of as well and go in tomorrow... Woke up with the worst aches ever! Having said that, after last nights thunderstorm I was feeling better.. A purple flash and deep rumbling thunder AMEN!

 

Not liking the look of yet more rain to come! Actually looks like we may get quite a lot over the next 48 hours 

[alexisj9]

Nice dry and sunny this morning, ashame it rains again tonight.

[Snowangel-MK]

Morning all,

 

A lovely frosty and sunny start to the day here...hopefully it will warm up a bit and stay dry until we get home from the cow shed tonight, I'll be wearing my thermals anyway but I really don't fancy getting wet !!

 

Have a fun day folks.....here is a ramp from me....

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Steve C]

I see the Model thread isn't too stressed; maybe it's an evening thing?

 

Quite pleasant out there. I'm just hoping that we don't have a notably mild winter, followed by a notably cold spring. I'd hate that. I like the seasons to follow their (albeit very romantic & somewhat mythical) expected patterns.

 

Crisp and snowy winters, with the odd spells of rain to keep aquifers / reservoirs topped up (and to keep water companies and the environment agency off our backs later) with the occasional windstorm to show the power of winter.

 

Sunny spring days to show the lengthening daylight and flora and fauna reacting to this in a colourful and joyous manner.

 

Warm, sunny days of summer, broken by occasional MCS thunderstorms. Barbecues and outside pub sessions to the fore, but wafting zephyrs to make sleeping comfortable.

 

Seasons of mists and mellow fruitfulness, Close bosom friend of the maturing sun and all that. 

 

Yeah, right!