South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 10/01/14

[Coast]

If just had this on my 'Clear Day' app..... Is it right???

 

Kind of Grace. There are some reasonably low temps in places over night tonight which could turn some of the water on the roads into ice.

 

Snow? - remind me, what's that again please?

[Tamara]

I know we have our own exceptional Strat thread but sometimes I get lost with the jargon. The image and description below sums up nice laymen term description. Also very excited about this.

 

 

Lower zonal strat. winds = weaker polar vortex = better chance of northern blocking and cold at the mid-latitudes. Potential SSW? Maybe...

 

We want to see those zonal winds forecasted to dip below the 0 level through the stratosphere on those charts ( positive numbers = zonal polar westerlies and negative numbers below the line  = easterly zonal winds) and then see those easterly winds pushed to our surface troposphere so that pressure builds to our north and increases the chance of cold and snow. It is the negative numbers we want to see in order to be looking at an SSW. 

 

Still too far out atm but signs continue to look promising for something hopefully significant as get into the start of February. Poleward EP flux is what we want to see also in association with predicted warming

[Jason T]

Kind of Grace. There are some reasonably low temps in places over night tonight which could turn some of the water on the roads into ice.

 

Snow? - remind me, what's that again please?

 

 

Isn't it that stuff they use in boxes for packing Coast.

[Heisenberg]

I know we have our own exceptional Strat thread but sometimes I get lost with the jargon. The image and description below sums up nice laymen term description. Also very excited about this.

 

 

Lower zonal strat. winds = weaker polar vortex = better chance of northern blocking and cold at the mid-latitudes. Potential SSW? Maybe...

Lets hope so Jason....I dont think any of us can take much more of this.....

[NO LONGER POSTING]

That is a serious on slaught of very heavy showers moving in.. I think the levels of the river going down today are going to be straight back up 

[Coast]

That is a serious on slaught of very heavy showers moving in.. I think the levels of the river going down today are going to be straight back up 

 

Look what else is coming into the straits of The English Channel:

 

 

Isn't it that stuff they use in boxes for packing Coast.

 

I wish it was, I'd cover the SE and EA with it!

Edited January 13, 2014 by Coast

[Jason T]

Right picture time. This one not really pleasing to the eye, But when you read why it shows what a crazy world we live in. Some may have seen this already, For those that are poorly hopefully a little giggle to yourself will help you feel that little bit better.

 

 

An elderly Chinese couple refused to sign an agreement allowing their house to be demolished for a new road  

[TechGuy28]

had a shower here on the island now the sun is back out lol

[Jason T]

Met warnings.

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html

 

[Sussex Jules]

Right feel slightly better today have had the lurgy otherwise known as "Man Flu". Nasty dose totally poleaxed me. Nice to see Jan back posting, welcome back Jan.

 

Err guys I think the lack of cold is my fault I have been waiting for my weather station to turn up and it arrived today, needs a bit of DIY to fix it up outside but should be ready to go at the weekend so the cold can arrive then. . Coast I'll have you on speed dial a the weekend in case I need help .

[Coast]

Coast I'll have you on speed dial a the weekend in case I need help .

 

I'm not putting that anemometer up on your roof though Jules! :ph34r:

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Local flooding already down my road from 1 shower! Shows the water literally has no where to go!

Edited January 13, 2014 by Surrey

[Snowangel-MK]

Yellow Warning of Ice for London & South East England :

 

Bracknell Forest, Buckinghamshire, Milton Keynes, Slough, Surrey, Windsor and Maidenhead, Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Oxfordshire, Reading, Southampton, West Berkshire & Wokingham

 

 

Yellow Warning of Ice for East of England :

 

 

Cambridgeshire, Peterborough, Bedford, Central Bedfordshire, Hertfordshire & Luton

 

A combination of clear spells and light winds will allow road temperatures to fall below freezing on Monday evening across northwestern parts of the UK, and then overnight and into Tuesday morning further south and east. This will allow icy stretches to form on untreated surfaces. The public are advised to take extra care and be aware of the risk of some minor travel disruption.

 

 

Issued at:

1052 on Mon 13 Jan 2014

 

Valid from:

1700 on Mon 13 Jan 2014

 

Valid to:

1000 on Tue 14 Jan 2014

 

Following rain or showers on Monday, clearing skies will allow road temperatures to fall below freezing quite widely on Monday evening and night, leading to icy stretches on untreated surfaces which will last well into Tuesday morning. In addition, further showers may affect parts of Scotland, northern England and North Wales overnight which may lead to wash-off of earlier road treatment, enhancing the risk of ice formation. These showers could also give some accumulations of snow on routes above about 300m.

 

There is some uncertainty over the timing of clearance of cloud and rain towards the south eastern boundary of the yellow area, and hence also the risk of ice, so this warning may be adjusted later Monday or overnight.

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?regionName=uk&from=rss&sn=D6088CF0-94E6-5984-7844-8B2BECCF4924_1_EE&tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1389571200

[Snowangel-MK]

Afternoon all,  Just catching up with stuff now after spending the morning sitting an exam (which I passed thankfully, not sure of my marks yet just that I got more than 85% which was the requirement) phew !!

 

Now for a few hours work before I can concentrate on other things like the weather here and more importantly digging out the summer clothes ready to pack the suitcases  

[Ruthie]

Hail here in brentford. Surfaces white temporarily and temperature dropped.

[Coast]

More flooding expected in south-east as persistent rainfall arrives tomorrow

 

Further flooding is expected in waterlogged southern England over the coming days. Around 640 homes and businesses have been flooded following persistent heavy rainfall since the beginning of 2014. Today, the Environment Agency's flood risk manager Katharine Evans warned: "There is a continued risk of flooding in southern England, especially Dorset, south Wiltshire, Somerset and the Thames valley, and we urge people to remain vigilant and prepared to take action. "Environment Agency teams continue to work to work around the clock, maintaining flood defences, clearing watercourses and deploying pumps and temporary defences to protect communities at risk."

 

More than 1,700 homes and businesses have been flooded in England since the beginning of the Christmas period and eight people have died. In most areas, river levels along the Thames have been stabilising or falling, although groundwater levels remain high. River levels also remain high in parts of Hampshire, Berkshire, Surrey, West Sussex, Hampshire, Worcestershire and Gloucestershire. At present, the Environment Agency has put in place 64 flood warnings - indicating expected flooding with immediate action required. Of these, 40 are in the south-east.

 

The agency has also issued 107 flood alerts, indicating a less severe threat, with 70 in the south-east. Met Office forecaster Helen Roberts warned of the threat of persistent rain on Tuesday and Wednesday. She added: "The rain is going to affect all parts of the UK but the places seeing problems are those which have already experienced problems, such as the south and south-east. "It's going to be very unwelcome rain there and that's where it's going to be the most persistent."

 

 

 

 http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-more-flooding-expected-3016766#ixzz2qI4tqtON 

 

*Sigh*

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Channel getting lively 

coast what you reckon on that mass of very heavy rain now coming into View on the Tip of France..

[Snowangel-MK]

had a shower here on the island now the sun is back out lol

 

Welcome to the regional thread TG28 

 

Also hope Luke and anyone else who is feeling under the weather at the moment makes a speedy recovery 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Welcome to the regional thread TG28 

 

Also hope Luke and anyone else who is feeling under the weather at the moment makes a speedy recovery 

 

Thank you Alison I went to the docs today about as helpful as a chocolate tea pot  

[geri2k]

Currently monsoon weather in County Kilburn! Lovely

[Jason T]

Hello all, I see the cloud is in Booo to the westerlies. Here we go 3 stunning goooey pics for this afternoon. More later.

 

Puuurfect

 

 

Wake us when dinner is ready.

 

Maroon Bells, Aspen, Colorado

[Coast]

Channel getting lively 

coast what you reckon on that mass of very heavy rain now coming into View on the Tip of France..

 

I reckon it will fall right over me, just as the millions of millions of litres of it seem to have done for the last few months  

[NO LONGER POSTING]

squall line! #busy

 

[Coast]

squall line! #busy

 

 

Just tried extrapolating the curved movement from the last few frames on Extra and this looks like the direction if it keeps up it's left turn:

 

Edited January 13, 2014 by Coast

[warrenb]

I can actually see the end of your red arrow over my house, could you please move it, as it is casting a shadow.

Edited January 13, 2014 by warrenb