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Wales (Cymru) Winter Regional Discussion 07/01/14


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Posted
  • Location: Caerdydd/Cardiff 10m asl :(
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters and warm summers
  • Location: Caerdydd/Cardiff 10m asl :(

    gfs 18z - trying to give us something to smile about for next sunday - but a long way off and more improvements would be nice on this theme

     

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    only trying to give a little hope for us snow/winter starved Welsh folk - that's all

     

    still no major cold - but there's always tomorrows model runs - you never know it could be round the next corner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Posted Image

     

    Hurrah - Andymusic's back at his (near) best. "Risque de neige" - very enchante Andy, very enchante!

     

    I have a little song here, join in if you know the tune...

     

    Que sera sera, whatever will be will be, so long as it snows on me, que sera sera (repeat ad nauseum).

     

    I am convinced that if enough of us on the NW Cymru/Wales thread sing this song over and over, then snow, ice and all manner of cold weather will come our way.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    Hurrah - Andymusic's back at his (near) best. "Risque de neige" - very enchante Andy, very enchante!

     

    I have a little song here, join in if you know the tune...

     

    Que sera sera, whatever will be will be, so long as it snows on me, que sera sera (repeat ad nauseum).

     

    I am convinced that if enough of us on the NW Cymru/Wales thread sing this song over and over, then snow, ice and all manner of cold weather will come our way.

    Sounds a great idea - sing up everyone

     

    Joe B - trying to pattern match to the end of world war 1 would you believe - when they had a cold winter - as cold as it's been so far over in America - but - unfortunately the pattern matching ends this side of the water - where - in the UK we had some cold and snow through December 1917 and into January 1918 - up to about 17th/18th - then it became springlike - mmmmmmmmmmmmm - what to do!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    meto

     

     

    Yellow Warning of Ice for Wales : Monmouthshire, Newport, Blaenau Gwent, Bridgend, Caerphilly, Cardiff, Merthyr Tydfil, Neath Port Talbot, Powys, Rhonnda Cynon Taff, Torfaen, Vale of Glamorgan, Carmarthenshire, Ceredigion, Swansea, Wrexham, Conwy, Denbighshire, Flintshire, Gwynedd, Pembrokeshire & Isle of Anglesey valid from 1700 Mon 13 Jan to 1000 Tue 14 Jan
     
    below is beautiful piccy of northern lights over Norway!
     
    something to look forward to - Winter Olympics in Russia (cooling down just nicely now) Feb 7th - 23rd - plenty of snow/ice/cold beemed into living rooms - hopefully we'll have all had a taste of winter by then too

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    Edited by andymusic
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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    Dancing Derek's tweet for tonight - along with meto's ice warning

     

    A cold pool of air will cross #Wales tonight. Showers wintry on higher ground with a risk of snow e.g. parts of Powys pic.twitter.com/awXPkVbrwh

     

    nae showing cold pool of air out to sea but moving towards us

     

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    Latest from UK met Arctic plunge for the weekend Posted Image

     

    More an Atlantic W/SW flow than an Arctic one if follow the flow, uppers around -1 to 0c, only rain possible from that.

     

    Posted Image

    Edited by Bobby
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    Posted
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl

    Why should I? The weather will do what it will, a hard Winter would cause suffering and death for the elderly and infirm.

     

    And this "winter" has caused and still is causing suffering and death...your point being?

    Edited by Carl46Wrexham
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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    ooh

     

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    boat or mountain boots for the second one - mmmmmmmmmmmm! Posted Image

     

     

    gfs 12z - so so close - but no wintry cigar - flipping cold though with some flipping cold rain - but minute itsy bitsy changes could bring about a wintry scene - Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

     

    ECM trying to drag in some eastern promise (but is it leading us round the garden fence again(up the garden path)?)

     

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    Edited by andymusic
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    Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl

    Can this promising chart be there in a few days time Another good sign zonal flow slowing down in the stratosphere.Posted ImagePosted Image

    Edited by keithlucky
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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    ECM being very naughty if it's got this wrong again - teasing everyone like this

     

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    It's having a flipping good go you know - last one 240 is a bit muddled mind you

     

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    Ian Fergusson not discounting the run - like a naughty little meto elf

     

    here's a precautionary word of advice from a model thread contributor (thought it was real funny)

     

    "you all know what to do now?

     

    Don`t tell any friends that the cold spell is back on

     

    Tell yourself not to look at the 18z later but to have a sneaky look!

     

    And when you check back later and see 999 users try and not go BananasPosted Image"

    Edited by andymusic
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    203mm this month now, some heavy showers today but no thunder or hail, oh well.

     

    I got an offer from from Reading University to study meteorology later this year! Im that much closer to working for the Met Office!! 

     

    Cool, might get to visit the ECMWF as well as that's based in Reading.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    I got an offer from from Reading University to study meteorology later this year! Im that much closer to working for the Met Office!! 

    well done

     

    surprised no-one up in North Wales is reporting anything wintry tonight - as they are well under some expansive precip along with elevation right now

     

    North Wales please report!!!!!!!!!!!! lol

     

    already had reports of some sleet in Maesteg late this afternoon!

    Edited by andymusic
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    Posted
  • Location: Bwlchgwyn, NE Wales, 395m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold undercuts from East. Warm thundery in Summer.
  • Location: Bwlchgwyn, NE Wales, 395m asl.

    Been snowing in Bwlchgwyn, Wrexham for the last 15 mins. Settling also temp +0.3.

    Approx 1cm lying snow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

    The unexpected ones are always the bestPosted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni

    203mm this month now, some heavy showers today but no thunder or hail, oh well.

     

     

    Cool, might get to visit the ECMWF as well as that's based in Reading.

    Yes seen the HQ when on the way to the Uni for their open day.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bwlchgwyn, NE Wales, 395m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter cold undercuts from East. Warm thundery in Summer.
  • Location: Bwlchgwyn, NE Wales, 395m asl.

    First lying snow since the end of November 2013. Amazing for 395m asl.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl

    well done

     

    surprised no-one up in North Wales is reporting anything wintry tonight - as they are well under some expansive precip along with elevation right now

     

    North Wales please report!!!!!!!!!!!! lol

     

    already had reports of some sleet in Maesteg late this afternoon!

    Sleet in Wrexham as well...temp +2.5c and falling.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    here's a piccy from Grand Banks, Newfoundland

     

    Must have been back breaking to clear that lot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

     

    you never know - in the next few weeks - could be something like that here

     

    keep the faith - 1970s/80s - 63 and 47!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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    Edited by andymusic
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    Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.

    Got a covering of snow and a ground frost of 2c.

    No forecast of any snow on the news weather as I`ve seen they just said rain.

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    Posted
  • Location: Swansea
  • Location: Swansea

    Frosty here first thing. Many reports on my fb about black ice. Lots of hail again yesterday. Ive seen more hail in the past few weeks than in the previous 10 years im thinking!

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    Raining again, perhaps another inch or so by tomorrow in places. Could be some interesting convective weather after that with thundery and haily showers, could become slow moving later on in the week as well.

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    Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl

    well gfs 12z easterly now making a come back after the poor runs we had this morning

     

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    meanwhile - Wales already having snow anyway (Mid-Wales)

     

    just like the ecm yesterday - just about a week away - and can't be trusted yet (especially with the meto not going down that road)

    Edited by andymusic
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