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  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    120 fax chart

     

    Posted Image

     

    the 120 fax throws of the second low straight under the main low

     

    which is good as it dislodges the high pressure to our south east

     

    528 dam air closer from the north east

     

    southerly flow

     

    with precipitation

     

    high pressure looks to shoot up in the atlantic as well

     

    i have to hold on this as this is one seriously messy chart

     

    and this could go anyway after this

     

    if i am right we need tomorrow to see if the low in the atlantic goes south east which looks possible on this

     

    hate to say it but more runs neededPosted Image

    Edited by john pike
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    Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK

    Yes, I think they look fabulous. I might have to have a serious look at a holiday like that. A once in a lifetime thing. :)

    Another idea for a NW meet up maybe ? Certainly on the to do / bucket list for myself and Mr P - we have very similar lists luckily (except his omits the hot air balloon ride that's on mine lol) Crystal clear sky here but still above freezing at the moment - hopefully Jack Frost will be busy in the night to give us a nice white wake up in the morning , we will find out in a few hours mr P is on the early shift so off to bed - night all xx Edited by MKsnowangel
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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    Another idea for a NW meet up maybe ?Certainly on the to do / bucket list for myself and Mr P - we have very similar lists luckily (except his omits the hot air balloon ride that's on mine lol)Crystal clear sky here but still above freezing at the moment - hopefully Jack Frost will be busy in the night to give us a nice white wake up in the morning , we will find out in a few hours mr P is on the early shift so off to bed - night all xx

    Night Ali

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    ecm ensembles

     

     

    Posted Image

     

    fi on the 14th

     

    gfs and ecm main runs right at the warmer end of the ensembles

     

    still plenty of cold options there

     

    rain

     

    Posted Image

    uptake 13th 14th 15th

     

    wind

     

    Posted Image

     

    not much to speak about

     

    spread on the 14th

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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Feb 2018 Easterly
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    18z Control run Favours uk for Winter,  Hopefully Tomorrow better agreement will show.

     

    Posted Image

     

     

    Don't even go there with the image shape lol. Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Northwood. NW London. 68m asl
  • Location: Northwood. NW London. 68m asl

    A late good evening from me, and hoping Mr John Pike had a very happy Birthday Posted Image . Cheers John and thanks for all your posts.

     

    On a side note, I am far from convinced about the prospects for a spell of wintry weather in our region. I think a few days of colder temperatures are more than likely, but in the longer term it looks to me as though the Atlantic is reluctant to release it's grip.

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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    18z Control run Favours uk for Winter,  Hopefully Tomorrow better agreement will show.

     

    Posted Image

     

     

    Don't even go there with the image shape lol. Posted Image

    NE America gets shafted then.

    A late good evening from me, and hoping Mr John Pike had a very happy Birthday Posted Image . Cheers John and thanks for all your posts.

     

    On a side note, I am far from convinced about the prospects for a spell of wintry weather in our region. I think a few days of colder temperatures are more than likely, but in the longer term it looks to me as though the Atlantic is reluctant to release it's grip.

    Think you may be right

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    hi bb

     

    no problem and thankyou

     

    have a look at the 120 fax chart

     

    look west and north west

     

    i see a block forming there shutting off the atlantic

     

    however fi is probably 96 as we stand at present so anything may happen after

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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    Right I am away, night all and enjoy the rest of your evening (still no frost here but it is dry so that is a blessing)

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    Posted Image

     

     

    and now the ensembles look cold again

     

    fi on the 14th though

     

    and look how dry these look

     

    its safe to say

     

    model watching maybe mind numbing

     

    but it isnt boring

     

    lets see if the 00z shows a heatwave Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL
  • Location: Folkestone, Kent 101ft/30m ASL

    Still no cold nailed on the head then..ah well.

    You'd think the weather could have delivered you a birthday present John! Hope you had a good day..maybe the charts will deliver your present tomorrow :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Feb 2018 Easterly
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

    Good Night All, Cream Crackered. Its friday Already. Posted Image Posted Image

     

    Jason. 

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    thanks lottie

     

    still happy tonight with the runs

     

    this is typical chaos mode with them at present

     

    fax chart tomorrow night might show what happens but i bet the ukmo adjust that totally different tomorrow

     

    just to confuse us even more Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl

    I've got a funny gut feeling that cold and snow will come and that tomorrow's charts will get this forum buzzing.

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    Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

     

     

    this is typical chaos mode with them at present

    I agree john, it's what the models do when a change is on the cards. just have to wait and wait until they organize themselves and hopefully this weekend, with a better idea by Sunday I'd expect! saying this the extreme polar vortex the US freeze and our storms have completely disrupted the climate! not surprised the models can't get hold of next weeks set up!

    Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    hi electric

     

    i am not sure i trust the 120 fax chart either to be honest

     

    i suppose it keeps the interest going

     

    i see some rain but no huge amounts now for a while

     

    so at least while we chase the cold the flooding issue should ease greatly over the next week

     

    i posted on the mod thread again

     

    note to self

     

    stay here Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

    Yes I see your post there. At least we have the dry weather for a while. concern though is the ice and fog, actually a yellow warning has been issued by the Met Office for tonight for this. (this+link next post)

    -

     

    Another problem is such wet ground if and when a freeze comes the ground would freeze easier, bursts pipes and frozen ground would be a worry I think, but only if a freeze arrives of course. 

    Edited by ElectricSnowStorm
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    Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

     

     

    Issued at: 1552 on Thu 9 Jan 2014

    Valid from: 0005 on Fri 10 Jan 2014

    Valid to: 0900 on Fri 10 Jan 2014

    Surface temperatures will fall to around or just below freezing late on Thursday night into Friday morning across parts of England and Wales. With a lot of standing water present in many areas from the recent wet weather and flooding icy stretches are expected to form, particularly on untreated surfaces. The public should be aware of the potential for disruption to travel on the roads. With clearing skies and easing winds overnight Thursday temperatures will fall with surface temperatures dropping below freezing in places late on Thursday night and early on Friday morning. Large amounts of standing water remain on the ground in many places following recent wet weather and flooding. This will result in icy stretches forming in places, despite only small amounts of rainfall on Thursday.

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1389312000&regionName=se

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    going to bed now as brain is a tad fried now

     

    be back tomorrow for the next episode of what happens next Posted Image

     

    goodnight all

     

    Posted ImagePosted ImagePosted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Dartford Kent
  • Location: Dartford Kent

    Morning all, bad night sleep for some reason, don't think we got a frost, but its dark out so a bit hard to see. Well its POETS day today so let's hope its a good one.

    Been a bit busy with work so apologise for no musing this week, but unfortunately sometimes work has to come first, had training all day yesterday at our Peterborough office on Microsoft project 2013, funny how you can think software is very good then an expert comes along and suddenly you realise that you are only using 1% of the programme's capacity :-). Mind you it was nice that the Luddite what I is managed to catch the trainer out, always enjoy that. The flooding around Huntingdon was spectacular (if that the right thing to say), hopefully they where flood plains, but my, there was some water in the fields etc.

    Well everyone have a nice day, and let's hope for a dry weekend and cooler more seasonal weather.

    Edited by Charltonkerry
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    Posted
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards,Hot Thundery nights.
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL

    Morning all, bad night sleep for some reason, don't think we got a frost, but its dark out so a bit hard to see. Well its POETS day today so let's hope its a good one.Been a bit busy with work so apologise for no musing this week, but unfortunately sometimes work has to come first, had training all day yesterday at our Peterborough office on Microsoft project 2013, funny how you can think software is very good then an expert comes along and suddenly you realise that you are only using 1% of the programme's capacity :-). Mind you it was nice that the Luddite what I is managed to catch the trainer out, always enjoy that. The flooding around Huntingdon was spectacular (if that the right thing to say), hopefully they where flood plains, but my, there was some water in the fields etc. Well everyone have a nice day, and let's hope for a dry weekend and cooler more seasonal weather.

    You must have seen Port Holme flood meadow.Looks huge in full flood from the great Ouse.Many years ago, it has frozen thus turning to the biggest ice rink ever!
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    Posted
  • Location: Central Beds
  • Location: Central Beds

    I've got a funny gut feeling that cold and snow will come and that tomorrow's charts will get this forum buzzing.

     

    Its always the way in the winter - a rollercoaster ride!

     

    A trend over the last couple of years that 5-6 days out there is a big ramp to extreme weather. Gradually over the next couple of days there are downgrades, which then get upgraded again around 48 hours out.

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    Well there is a frost this morning, yay for small miracles.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dartford Kent
  • Location: Dartford Kent

    80's weather, not certain exactly where it was, it was nearer Huntingdon on the A14 and after the first little chef (early starter breakfast, very nice) on the left hand side from memory just before you can see the old bridge on the right, certainly if it froze then that would be a better ice rink than the ones I have designed.

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