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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 07/01/14


Snowangel-MK

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Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)

Especially when they fell off, haha

I notice about the old weather forecasts that it all seemed so much clearer and, as we see here (Mr Fish video) he points things out and you can actually see what he's on about. It was a lesson in weather map reading as well as a forecast. :)
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Posted
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme aside from heat. Pref cold and snow
  • Location: Live Hatfield Herts / Work - In the City

post-11316-0-11052400-1389205588_thumb.poohhh lets hope.....

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Posted
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny; chilly and sunny; thunderstorms; extreme
  • Location: West Barnes, London, 18m ASL

Just posted by Fergie in the MAD thread - let's see if anyone heeds the call for caution!"For the newbies - a note a caution that alongside variance in the timing and scope of onset of any colder easterly feed, much as the models currently portray, don;t take the cessation (e.g. as per 12z GFS) too literally either. History shows us that once established, such cold takes some shifting and inevitably, the models exhibit set tendency to sweep the blocking aside and take us back to mobility. Thus, whilst we are still at tentative stages re onset (and any initial consequences, e.g., snow perhaps from Midlands northwards early next week, as the system from west Sun-Mon quickly occludes-out), we are most certainly nowhere close to estimating wht on earth happens thereafter. So, please don't take the model 'closure' of the blocked signal for granted.... we've been round this circuit before in recent winters! "

Ah there's always a caveat isnt there... No doubt its going to be cold and its 'nailed on' in the Intellectuals' Thread. Must be. Said so in the Express.
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Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex

Anyone remeber John Bacon on About Anglia doing the weather with the stick on symbols and moving map thingy?

 

I take it you mean Jim Bacon? He presented national BBC forecasts for a fair while, while I was in high school in the 80's, before going to About Anglia and still presents occasionally on Look East.

 

The About Anglia forecasters I remember, were, firstly a squadron leader type, with a slightly unfortunate name, Michael Hunt.

 

post-11059-0-99408400-1389205434_thumb.j

 

There was also a guy called David Brooks, who unfortunately passed away fairly recently. He retired in the early '90s.

 

post-11059-0-57800100-1389205521_thumb.j

 

They had a 'forecast chart' with isobars etc. and something called a 'local chart' to finish off.

 

Those were the days. Posted Image

 

At least these guys seemed to know what they were talking about, even though their tools were way more primitive than now. We currently, on BBC Look East, have someone called Julie Reinger, who seems more of a presenter, than an enthusiast and who I suspect has less weather knowledge than most people on here... Posted Image

Edited by Steve C
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Posted
  • Location: Staplecross, East Sussex / Kent borders. 100m ASL.
  • Location: Staplecross, East Sussex / Kent borders. 100m ASL.

 

Ah, the gradual arrival of the blocking high. Also impressed by the drop in rainfall over the next few days before the temps start to drop.

 

Fingers crossed, eh?

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Posted
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, Storms and epic cold snowy winters
  • Location: Redbourn,Herts AL3. 122M ASL

Scrummy........Posted Image

 

Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms,Hot `n` sunny!
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.

Every day i expect a downgrade,but that scandi high looks like it wants to bog off to Greenland for a winter break! 

 

Certainly going to be chilly working next week,hopefully not too slippy. :D

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Posted
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms,Hot `n` sunny!
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.

When i mentioned an greeni high,i was kidding....i didn`t reallllly want one! 

 

Slightly epic charts tonight by my mega-newbi eyes,lol

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Posted
  • Location: Linslade, Beds
  • Weather Preferences: Deep cold
  • Location: Linslade, Beds

ECM & GEM both looking good tonight, next lets have the Azures high migrating north for amazing greeny high.

 

The vortex is on the move Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex

End of ECM run looks pretty poor to me (for deep cold), but it's FI... As others have said, get the cold in first and see what develops. Posted Image

Edited by Steve C
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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

not looking as good

 

but do not think these are warm

 

they are not

 

however a reload looks on but will take 2 more runs to see

 

fwiw

 

the low at 168-192 will cause model confusion

 

fax update tonight

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Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

not looking as good

 

but do not think these are warm

 

they are not

 

however a reload looks on but will take 2 more runs to see

 

fwiw

 

the low at 168-192 will cause model confusion

 

fax update tonight

Yes, at least the weather might be pretty pleasant at day 10. Possibly sunny and cool. :)

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Posted
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Blizzards,Hot Thundery nights.
  • Location: Cambourne Cambridge 70M ASL

Another day, and step closer to much colder weather arriving next week.

This set up has an uncanny resemblance to last winter.

Undercutting lows in the middle or January!

Finally something more interesting to watch unfold.

Remember, try not to get too hung up on any break downs shown, as we saw last year, these set ups can be stubborn to shift.

If we want widespread heavy snow, sometimes flirting with the Atlantic ain't so bad.

Edited by 80sWeather
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Posted
  • Location: Northwood. NW London. 68m asl
  • Location: Northwood. NW London. 68m asl

This seems to be the new ramping thread. I'll probably pop back in again when things quieten down a bit.

 

Best wishes to the all the regular regional folk.Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK

Can't beat the magnetic symbols......

 

 

I've got my own set for doing fridgecasts.....

 

 

post-10773-0-42550300-1389208290_thumb.j

 

 

 

Mr P brought them for me Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

Now who would've thought within a blink we would be seeing charts like this, especially after just experiencing one of the most powerful PV's and jet speeds on record. Its just a reminder that we should never get complacent with the weather. 

Now these charts look as good, if not better than last year! An awful lot of snow will be produced, given warmer than normal sea temperatures! So thundersnow may well be a possibility soon on top of the thunder showers that we have already seen so far !! 

I can honestly say, Ive never seen such a swift turn around from all this mild relentless muck so quickly to something that could well prove to be quite truly remarkable. Lets not get too excited just yet, although I cant help it by seeing these charts now Posted Image. But it is looking likely that what America has seen recently regarding brutal cold, that Europe's turn looks like it may well be just around the corner in this next coming week. 

To think that some folk were beginning to write this winter off too... !!

Edited by East_England_Stormchaser91
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Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

I take it you mean Jim Bacon? He presented national BBC forecasts for a fair while, while I was in high school in the 80's, before going to About Anglia and still presents occasionally on Look East.

 

The About Anglia forecasters I remember, were, firstly a squadron leader type, with a slightly unfortunate name, Michael Hunt.

 

Posted Imagemichael-hunt-large.jpg

 

There was also a guy called David Brooks, who unfortunately passed away fairly recently. He retired in the early '90s.

 

Posted Imagedavid-brooks-large.jpg

 

They had a 'forecast chart' with isobars etc. and something called a 'local chart' to finish off.

 

Those were the days. Posted Image

 

At least these guys seemed to know what they were talking about, even though their tools were way more primitive than now. We currently, on BBC Look East, have someone called Julie Reinger, who seems more of a presenter, than an enthusiast and who I suspect has less weather knowledge than most people on here... Posted Image

Yes Jim (I was just a weeee lad in them there days and memory is a bit dodgy now)

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