South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 07/01/14

[john pike]

i tweeted sceptic meg

 

i got

 

 

[Jax]

Nice to see this good story

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-northamptonshire-25642969

 

May even see that swan with all the others on the Embankment tomorrow

[Jason T]

The real polar vortex (found in the stratosphere) is still centered over the North Pole today, albeit a bit squished.

 

 

[Whether Idle]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

Could get interesting towards the Kent and Sussex coasts for intense rainfall after 10pm

[john pike]

oh well

 

heres a bit of a ramp

 

 

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=264&code=19&mode=0&carte=0

 

i have seen worse

[Eskimo]

Anyone for lake effect snow? Buffalo, New York could get up to 36 inches tonight. 36 inches, could possibly imagine 3 feet of snow!?

[Jax]

Looking at the radar I would say that rain is a lot further south and tracking more along the channel, far SE will not escape though, and that tail may yet clip a few too a bit later.

[SteveCoops]

Looking at the radar I would say that rain is a lot further south and tracking more along the channel, far SE will not escape though, and that tail may yet clip a few too a bit later.

Yeah definitely seems to be bending to the east a bit.

[tinybill]

oh well

 

heres a bit of a ramp

 

 

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=264&code=19&mode=0&carte=0

 

i have seen worse

[Jax]

Anyone for lake effect snow? Buffalo, New York could get up to 36 inches tonight. 36 inches, could possibly imagine 3 feet of snow!?

I would not want it but did see the mention of the next bout tracking over the water and that was my first thought too.

[tinybill]

i  know  people  are trying to see the American  weather  come here i cant  see it even  f1  if i am not right i put my hands up but at the moment the only days which we might see some  snow is  jan  17,18, 22  23 at  the  moment  and  that  is deep f1

http://www.meteociel...?mode=2&ech=204

[abruzzi spur]

Looking at the radar I would say that rain is a lot further south and tracking more along the channel, far SE will not escape though, and that tail may yet clip a few too a bit later.

I agree Jax, it looks from my latest glance at the Raintoday radar as though the bulk of the heavier stuff will be out to sea and along the coastal fringes of Hampshire, Sussex and Kent, with some bursts getting maybe about 20/30 miles inland?  Could be some lighter rain across a wider area though.  Should be better news for the Thames and its tributaries than it seemed a while back but of course not good for those in the areas that get it.

 

AS

[Reefseeker]

Chucking it down now, got soaked walking the dog. Yuk.

[Jax]

i  know  people  are trying to see the American  weather  come here i cant  see it even  f1  if i am not right i put my hands up but at the moment the only days which we might see some  snow is  jan  17,18, 22  23 at  the  moment  and  that  is deep f1

http://www.meteociel...?mode=2&ech=204

14-16 March

[abruzzi spur]

Chucking it down now, got soaked walking the dog. Yuk.

You could have let my forecast look right for more than 1 minute, Reef!

[john pike]

tonight

 

chilly north of our region and dry

 

fog maybe an issue anywhere north of london

 

rainfall south of the region

 

 

these look abouth right to me

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

after the morning rain clears which should be around rush hour

 

it looks mainly dry

 

temps

 

around 10-12 degrees

 

cor summers here

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

a weak south westerly flow

 

rainfall

 

via warm front and cold front

 

 

we will get rain tomorrow night and some will be heavy

 

however the heavier looks to be the north of our region northwards

 

temps

 

not cold  6-8 degrees

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------

thursday  my birthday

 

 

a breezy and chilly north west wind

 

after morning rain clears all

 

it looks dry and sunny

 

temps

 

 

around 6-8 degrees and feeling a lot cooler

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday night

 

a weak south west to west wind

 

rain

 

none

 

temps

 

cold and a fairly high chance of a frost in all areas

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

friday

 

a south west flow and maybe a tad breezy on the east coast

 

rainfall

 

none during the day

 

however there is a weather front incoming which looks to give us all some showers

 

although not too heavy

 

temps

 

around 8 degrees

 

poss frost on friday night but all depends how quick that weather front passes through here

 

overall not great but a lot better rainfall wise than of late

[Guest]

it definitely seems to have moved to the east which is a good thing for the Thames. Went to the river today in Kingston and it is very high, parts of the tow path i was on were submerged. 

[Crepuscular Ray]

i  know  people  are trying to see the American  weather  come here i cant  see it even  f1  if i am not right i put my hands up but at the moment the only days which we might see some  snow is  jan  17,18, 22  23 at  the  moment  and  that  is deep f1

http://www.meteociel...?mode=2&ech=204

The Atlantic's far too warm at the mo, so you're right in that.

[john pike]

just a point

 

we are looking for cold from a low dropping to our south east pulling cold air from an east - north east region

 

not america

[SteveCoops]

Looks like I'm sitting in the gap between the rain.

[Jax]

overall not great but a lot better rainfall wise than of late

Epic summary as always JP

 

 

Was looking at the output myself a while ago and came to similar conclusion, me being north expect the wet tomorrow night and a frost thursday night, damp fizzle at the end, then it is the weekend anyway and night temps tail off towards the end of the week. (I may get a full nights sleep )

[Average Joe]

oh well

 

heres a bit of a ramp

 

 

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=264&code=19&mode=0&carte=0

 

i have seen worse

With apologies for being a snow Grinch, but dare I ask if there's anything remotely dry or settled on the horizon? After all the recent disruption, the last thing some areas need is snow and ice. :-(

[john pike]

no problem jax

 

lets hope we can start to see the end of this extreme rain

 

i would forfeit the cold even to see dryer conditions

 

and you will not see me say that too often

With apologies for being a snow Grinch, but dare I ask if there's anything remotely dry or settled on the horizon? After all the recent disruption, the last thing some areas need is snow and ice. :-(

 

read my fax update

 

it says ramp chart and thats what it is

[Jason T]

One for JP this enjoy mate.    http://t.co/NnHf9lo6aX   sun spot

 

Two for JP LOL.  http://t.co/S8P1wTNQQY     volcano.

 

For anyone else with an interest Enjoy as well.

 

 

 

 

[Jax]

no problem jax

 

lets hope we can start to see the end of this extreme rain

 

i would forfeit the cold even to see dryer conditions

 

and you will not see me say that too often

 

With you on that too, I do not like it extreme cold and certainly not for a long time, just as this wet period seems to have dragged on and on.  I only heat the house downstairs (whats the point upstairs if your under a duvet anyway?) so like cool, just as I like warm, but not a moaner for any spurts of decent hot or cold weather to bring a little change every now and again

Edited January 7, 2014 by Jax