Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.


phil nw.

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea

!!!

 

Posted Image

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish Plumes, Blizzards, Severe Frosts :-)
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North

You could easily give Tony Hart s run for his money nice one

He passed away sadly :-(
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .

Wow blizzards at 168hrs as the cold air undercuts the precip! now you need to see that low quickly disrupt allowing the high to  ridge west over the top.

  • Like 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow blizzards at 168hrs as the cold air undercuts the precip! now you need to see that low quickly disrupt allowing the high to  ridge west over the top.

Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

Here we gooooooooooooooooooooooo Posted Image

Thats a lovely wedge of high pressure across the GIN.

Something at last for us long suffering coldies to get our teeth into ..

Edited by Cecil Hogmanay Melchett
  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Canary Wharf, Docklands, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heatwave, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Canary Wharf, Docklands, London

ECM is turning into a classic tbh

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

Sweet JMA

 

Posted Image

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Manhattan, USA
  • Location: Manhattan, USA

Wow blizzards at 168hrs as the cold air undercuts the precip! now you need to see that low quickly disrupt allowing the high to  ridge west over the top.

 

Just noticed that, very nice indeed. Although it looks extremely marginal for the south on that, but North would see snow.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

Wow blizzards at 168hrs as the cold air undercuts the precip! now you need to see that low quickly disrupt allowing the high to  ridge west over the top.

That low is surely going to plough through France and the Channel from there, with very cold air racing westwards along the northern flank, probably a heavy rain to snow event with the UK possibly going into the freezer.

I cursed the output again Posted Image

Edited by Captain shortwave
  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Nottingham
  • Location: Nottingham

It's because the GFS chart is 12 hours later. See time the chart is for top right. ECM/GEM 8th 00z, GFS 8th 12z.

If you take GFS back 12 hours or the Euros forward 12h you will see there is little discrepancy. Hope that helps.

It does, thanks Mucka

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL

Not very cold uppers at 168, am I missing as to where the blizzards will be. Apart from Northern hills...

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft
  • Location: North East London (E4) 147ft

Hmm, the other day you were saying the charts were very poor and you believed them over the Met Office's 16-13 forecast for potential cold in a few weeks time. Then you were championing the GFS stating that it was far more reliable than the ECM and probably had the pattern correct when the ECM was showing cold. Now the GFS is showing such solutions you've moved on to the BBC forecast. Where to next Terrier?

Tea leaves no doubt. I hear they reliably predict evil mildness if one arranges them in the correct manner.
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .

Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

Here we gooooooooooooooooooooooo Posted Image

Taken at face value heavy driving snow away from windward coasts north of England and inland East Anglia northwards. However at this range this could change so calm down!!!

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

Not very cold uppers at 168, am I missing as to where the blizzards will be. Apart from Northern hills...

 

FI still but yeah, that particular chart is snowy just for Scotland low levels as well, but long way off

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales

Not very cold uppers at 168, am I missing as to where the blizzards will be. Apart from Northern hills...

Click on UK map on ECM on meteociel, probably use the 0c/-1c 850 line as a rough guide.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .

Not very cold uppers at 168, am I missing as to where the blizzards will be. Apart from Northern hills...

You don't need deep cold 850's the surface flow is east/se lower dew points, however because of the warmish sea temps snow is unlikely at least at this stage right on the coasts facing that flow.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Canary Wharf, Docklands, London
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heatwave, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Canary Wharf, Docklands, London

mmmmm just need the high to stretch into Greenland stronger, then perfection

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Heavy rain and strong winds apart from briefly on high ground in Scotland at +168? A classic? Seems the same old picture, a block trying to develop to the NE but overwhelmed by the Atlantic

 

Posted Image     Posted Image

Edited by Bobby
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea

Posted Image

 

Slowly moving though -8 uppers by T240? Can we nail it?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Droylsden, Manchester, 94 metres/308 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Dry/mild/warm/sunny/high pressure/no snow/no rain
  • Location: Droylsden, Manchester, 94 metres/308 feet ASL

Not very cold uppers at 168, am I missing as to where the blizzards will be. Apart from Northern hills...

 

Looks like blizzards for Scotland esp highlands, only rain south of Newcastle. 850's too high across most of England and Wales.

 

Posted Image

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl

Interesting battleground between the mild Atlantic and cold Continental air at T168hrs on ECM.

Further signs of the strengthening block forcing the main jet energy se.

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Manhattan, USA
  • Location: Manhattan, USA

Heavy rain and strong winds apart from briefly on high ground in Scotland at +168? A classic? Seems the same old picture, a block trying to develop to the NE but overwhelmed by the Atlantic

 

Posted Image     Posted Image

 

With a few corrections your looking at battleground heavy snow UK wide. You are correct though, at the moment Scotland and far North of England will be happy.

Edited by Glenn W
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...