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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 31/12/13


Snowangel-MK

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Posted
  • Location: Northwood. NW London. 68m asl
  • Location: Northwood. NW London. 68m asl

Evening all, well just for a change it's lashing down here in outer London, a bit breezy as well. As Coast posted earlier, it's a case of rinse and repeat. Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)

Wind springing up here in Ippy and.......the clouds are scudding in pretty sharpish. And it's down right chilly.

It's been a horrendous day. Thank God for NW even though the outlook is grim re' weather. Storm clouds are gathering inside as well as out. :(

Ah well. Could be worse. At least we're not liable to flooding like some poor souls.

Take care, and stay safe folks.

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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

hi yamks

 

they should be prepared

 

the main problem i see is the south west

 

however with high tide and rain again it puts all rivers at risk

 

hopefully this will not effect anyone too bad

 

but keep watching the warnings

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Posted
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, squally fronts, snow, frost, very mild if no snow or frost
  • Location: Stanwell(south side of Heathrow Ap)

i will do this the best i can for now

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/radar/index.html

 

rain enroute from midnight on some heavier bursts but not persistant

 

should clear by morning rush hour

 

heres the current satellite pic

 

Posted Image

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/satpics/latest_uk_ir.html

 

i think we can all see the problem there

 

winds picking up overnight

 

tomorrow

 

Posted Image

 

winds by lunchtime around 30-40 mph gusts

 

maybe a shade higher south coastal regions and far south east

 

looks dry at present there

 

however

 

showers will rattle in quickly throughout the day

 

thankfully only heavy bursts not persistant

 

temps around 10 degrees

 

around 6pm

 

Posted Image

 

 

winds may get a slightly higher rate 40-50mph and still showers rattling in

 

south westerly

 

at present rainfall and wind should not be big issue here

 

water levels are a different issue

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

Posted Image

 

it looks like winds will veer more true south westerly

 

but will weaken down overnight

 

rainfall

 

Posted Image

 

looks like showers rather than heavy rain

 

at 7am

 

Posted Image

troughs to our south west driven in to set off some heavy rain and heavier the further south you are

 

temps

 

Posted Image

cold before rain arrives

 

then warming up to around 6-7 degrees

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

saturday

 

Posted Image

 

 

gusty south west winds early

 

with heavy rain

 

by lunchtime winds veering more westerly and rain clearing by early afternoon

 

temps

 

Posted Image

6-8 degrees

 

feeling colder when the wind swings westerly

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

saturday night

 

Posted Image

a real headache this one

 

low pressure incoming wrapped in 528 dam air

 

so

 

south westerly veering north easterly back to south westerly

 

this low is not showing on the ukmo or ecm so expect heavy showers overnight

 

temps

 

cold

 

a chance the north of the region may see something wintry but will quickly revert back to rain

 

temps cold before getting rain

 

then warmer when showers arrive except further north in the cooler air

 

wind not an issue

 

rainfall maybe if the low moves slowly

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

sunday

 

Posted Image

 

looks to start dry

 

but heavy rain not far way from lunchtime on

 

*** potential to see some thunderstorms between mid pm to midnight ****

 

Posted Image

 

 

winds weak south westerly am

 

gaining strength pm to 40-50 mph

 

Posted Image

 

 

Posted Image

 

rain still noticeable and heavy but slowly receeding before lunchtime

 

winds still gusty 40-50 mph

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

monday

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

although breezy not a real strong wind

 

rainfall at present looks to effect the far south although this may change

 

temps not cold

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

heres mon night and tuesday

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

these are subject to change

 

mon

 

wet far south and still gusty but not ott

 

tuesday

 

more widespread rain but winds easing

 

cooling down tuesday night on

 

hope this helps

 

john

Great post John Pike always informative. Thanks for the time you spend (where possible) on such long posts!

The Sunday storm looks big! looks like something from the day after tomorrow movie!, anyone on to the accelerated clomate change theory yet!! .. no hose pipe ban this spring.. one thing though I expect one big springtime bloom! ah depends if the snows set in end of this month quite possibe were in for 2 solid months of a freeze, really scary thought for some I'd expect especially after these incredible amount of storms

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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

hi electric

 

no problem

 

takes time but if people read it its worth doing

 

the change is coming in about a weeks time to more dryer conditions

 

the colder conditions are the tricky bit but they will come

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Posted
  • Location: Brentford, West London (from Wales originally)
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy, windy, cold.
  • Location: Brentford, West London (from Wales originally)

Hammering down here now, v technical term. Was gusty earlier. Gonna be getting some more rain water thru our hallway ceiling prob by tomorrow. Flat roofs eh ! Gah.

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Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London

hi yamks

 

they should be prepared

 

the main problem i see is the south west

 

however with high tide and rain again it puts all rivers at risk

 

hopefully this will not effect anyone too bad

 

but keep watching the warnings

 

Hi JP,

 

Also a significant storm surge risk is Ireland's coastal fringes.

 

Due to the wind speed and circulation of these storms, storm surges will be a very big threat to the South, South East & Eastern coastal fringes.

 

Energy levels will increase the intensity of these storms.

Edited by yamkin
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Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.

Okay so I've obvipusly had way too many beers... so we get showers tomorrow? I thought we were getting persistent rain all day? I'm getting confused now. I think I'll go watch the BBC Weather... havent seen it all day. ...

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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

Posted Image

 

down goes the ensembles from the 11th

 

18z but hey ho

 

lot of rain there 8th to 9th

 

then spikes dropping down

 

raining here as well now

 

out come the pans again Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.

Okay so I've obvipusly had way too many beers... so we get showers tomorrow? I thought we were getting persistent rain all day? I'm getting confused now. I think I'll go watch the BBC Weather... havent seen it all day. ...

Heavy rain now, light showers most of the day apart from round lunchtime/early afternoon when it could get bad again?

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Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.

Awww John. I wish i could get to your place and help you out...

Edited by loopydreamer
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Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.

Heavy rain now, light showers most of the day apart from round lunchtime/early afternoon when it could get bad again?

Thanku Crepuscular ;)
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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

hi loopy

 

no worries

 

the pan remix i am getting use to now

 

as ruthie said

 

flat roofs are a pain in the  &*%$

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Posted
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.
  • Location: Hughenden Valley, Buckinghamshire.

We're shopping at Maidstone tomorrow afternoon... will check oit Yalding while we're there. I hope everyone will be okay :(

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Posted
  • Location: West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Warm & Sunny
  • Location: West Sussex

John, thank you so much for posting all those charts!! I've learned more in one sitting than I have for days trying to pick the bones out of the 'Snowflake Watching' thread!!

Thank you!!

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Posted
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.
  • Location: Lower Brynamman, nr Ammanford, 160-170m a.s.l.

John, thank you so much for posting all those charts!! I've learned more in one sitting than I have for days trying to pick the bones out of the 'Snowflake Watching' thread!!Thank you!!

Don't take any notice of that lot. Very few of them actually seem to understand anything about meteorology.

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Posted
  • Location: East County Clare
  • Location: East County Clare

John, thank you so much for posting all those charts!! I've learned more in one sitting than I have for days trying to pick the bones out of the 'Snowflake Watching' thread!! Thank you!!

Ah another convert from the MAD thread. Stick to the regionals not saying we don't ramp but its pretty clear when we are ramping.
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Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

no worries duncan

 

thanks

 

the mad thread is very confusing this time of year

 

too many preference posters there

 

although you will get used to the ones that are worth following Posted Image

 

wait until we see snow coming

 

thats when the fun starts Posted Image

Ah another convert from the MAD thread. Stick to the regionals not saying we don't ramp but its pretty clear when we are ramping.

 

ramp

 

that reminds me Posted Image

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