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Severe Atlantic Storms over the Christmas & New Year period

stubbys

By stubbys
in Storms & Severe Weather

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mike Meehan Maestro

mike Meehan

Posted
  • Location: Mostly Watford but 3 months of the year at Capestang 34310, France
  • Weather Preferences: Continental type climate with lots of sunshine with occasional storm
  • Location: Mostly Watford but 3 months of the year at Capestang 34310, France
Posted

Posted Image

 

Am I reading this right? Or have I got the wrong chart... I rarely use these..

My understanding of it is that the colours relate to kph at 950 millibars and the arrows with the fleches, or barbules, relate to knots - these normally denote 5 knots for a half fleche, 10 knots for a full one and 50 knots for a triangular fleche.

 

Noeuds is knots in French.

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

Going by the latest NMM output, I think the MO have it spot on, I'm not seeing a warrant for an amber warning (not to say there won't be) but if one is issued, it's likely to be a more localised one.

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Cold Winter Aficionado

Cold Winter

Posted
  • Location: Malton, North Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather - any kind!
  • Location: Malton, North Yorkshire
Posted (edited)

Going by the latest NMM output, I think the MO have it spot on, I'm not seeing a warrant for an amber warning (not to say there won't be) but if one is issued, it's likely to be a more localised one.

 

Yes, perhaps just Irish Sea coasts, so maybe NW England coast? Yellow elsewhere with current warning area extended slightly further south would be my guess.

Edited by Cold Winter
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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

Posted Image

 

Am I reading this right? Or have I got the wrong chart... I rarely use these..

I think folks post these because it makes it look worse than it is, those colours catch the eye.

It is however, the wind speeds at 2500ft. :)

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted

Yes, perhaps just Irish Sea coasts, so maybe NW England coast? Yellow elsewhere with current warning area extended slightly further south would be my guess.

I agree with your thoughts and the BBC are downplaying this storm somewhat but the isobars look incredibly close together across Northern England on Friday morning and with the westerly direction it will certainly make travel on the North South roads A1 M6 etc interesting.Sea front at Blackpool will be bracing.
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Tim M Apprentice

Tim M

Posted
  • Location: Mansfield
  • Location: Mansfield
Posted (edited)

METO update now includes my area. Let's hope for a more northerly track. Although bizarrely predicted wind speeds and gusts marginally less than yesterday's forecast.

Edited by Tim M
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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted

The METO haven't as yet updated and I'll be surprised if they up it. Strong winds for Ireland and the north as already stated

just been updated.still yellow but area has been extended southwards slightly.
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picog Aficionado

picog

Posted
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow
Posted

All ferries cancelled between Ireland and the UK tomorrow. Trying to rearrange my trip home, along with 1200 other passengers, so it's a long wait on the phone. Pity these companies haven't cottoned on to changing booking on the web!

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

My concern is rain here, rivers have burst their banks, plenty of flooded areas etc.. I Have damage to my chimney which was caused by the recent storms but it can't be fixed until the new year, more rainfall will cause more damage inside. :(

After yesterday's deluges, I'm at 153mm for the month, another 20 to 30mm possibly tomorrow, and more on Sunday/Monday. My wettest month was last year, at 195mm, the flooding was horrendous then.. :mellow:

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Amber warnings now in force for parts of NW ENgland and N Wales.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1388102400&regionName=nw

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
Yes rough day coming up across much of Northern England tomorrow looking at the charts.IMBY we missed most of the damaging winds experienced by others but unless it tracks further north, this looks like our turn.
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NL Aficionado

NL

Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Posted (edited)

Amber warnings also for wind in the North East, Darlington, Durham, Gateshead, Hartlepool, Middlesbrough, Newcastle upon Tyne, North Tyneside, Northumberland, Redcar and Cleveland, South Tyneside, Stockton-on-Tees, Sunderland

Edited by NL
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P-M Seasoned

P-M

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
Posted (edited)

Amber warnings also for wind in the North East, Darlington, Durham, Gateshead, Hartlepool, Middlesbrough, Newcastle upon Tyne, North Tyneside, Northumberland, Redcar and Cleveland, South Tyneside, Stockton-on-Tees, Sunderland

 

 

Cheers NL - ITV news has completely missed the north out and only mentioned Wales, Southern England and Scotland in their bulletin for tomorrow .....

Edited by P-M
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NL Aficionado

NL

Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Posted

ESTOFEX http://www.estofex.org/ Level 1 for Northern Ireland and Western Scotland.

mention the possibility of a few storms this evening into Ireland and the chance of a tornado can't be ruled out. Bowing lines are possible over Northern BI with strong LL vertical wind shear forecasted.

 

Northern British IslesA new storm will affect the northern British Isles late in the period. Along the cold front, rather stable conditions are expected, and severe thunderstorms are rather unlikely. The best potential of a few embedded thunderstorms exost across northern Irleland on Thursday evening. These storms, however, may be capable of producing severe wind gusts given the strong background wind field. Additionally, a tornado is not ruled out.In the wake of the cold front, a well mixed maritime air mass will enter the northern British Isles. Especially near the base of the trough, thunderstorms are possible. Given strong low-level vertical wind shear, some bowing lines are forecast to enhance the wind potential and a level 1 is warranted.

 

post-5386-0-62025000-1388063359_thumb.pn

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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

Amber warning for strong winds

 

Issued at: 1211 on Thu 26 Dec 2013

 

Valid from: 0600 on Fri 27 Dec 2013

 

Valid to: 1800 on Fri 27 Dec 2013

 

Widespread gales are likely to develop across the area late on Thursday evening and last much of Friday. The worst of the winds are likely to transfer across northwest Wales and much of northern England during the day on Friday bringing gusts of 60 to 70 mph widely with locally 80 mph gusts affecting west coasts and high ground for a time. The public should be prepared for disruption to transport and power supplies.

 

Chief Forecaster's assessment

 

Another deep area of low pressure now developing over the Atlantic will bring another spell of very windy weather across the UK as it tracks northeastwards, crossing northern Scotland during the second half of Friday. To the south of the low pressure centre, a swathe of severe gales is likely to cross northwest Wales and much of northern England. The worst of the winds should ease on Friday evening.

 

Areas affected

 

Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey

 

Blackpool, Cumbria, Lancashire

 

Darlington, Durham, Gateshead, Hartlepool, Middlesbrough, Newcastle upon Tyne, North Tyneside, Northumberland, Redcar and Cleveland, South Tyneside, Stockton-on-Tees, Sunderland

 

North Yorkshire

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Ahh tomorrow is looking very interesting one more should nail it. Will we see another 70mph gust??

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Chris W Contributor

Chris W

Posted
  • Location: Christchurch, NZ
  • Weather Preferences: Many
  • Location: Christchurch, NZ
Posted (edited)

Gosh, the north east is right in the firing line this time.  Surprised to see the impacts of the winds here projected to be worse than for western Scotland and Northern Ireland.

 

post-17125-0-27918400-1388064823_thumb.j

Edited by Chris W
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Tim M Apprentice

Tim M

Posted
  • Location: Mansfield
  • Location: Mansfield
Posted

Ahh tomorrow is looking very interesting one more should nail it. Will we see another 70mph gust??

Any chance of a more northerly track Pit? Not far from you and don't really enjoy very strong gusts. Like a decent breeze but not violent damaging gusts.
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ChezWeather Experienced

ChezWeather

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
Posted

Ahh tomorrow is looking very interesting one more should nail it. Will we see another 70mph gust??

Keeping my hopes up! Just wish the peaks wouldn't shelter us so much here! 

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Keeping my hopes up! Just wish the peaks wouldn't shelter us so much here! 

South Westerlies so will hit us. South easterly we won't even notice. So soon as the winds swing it will get interesting.

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laserguy Seasoned

laserguy

Posted
  • Location: South Yorkshire
  • Location: South Yorkshire
Posted

Ahh tomorrow is looking very interesting one more should nail it. Will we see another 70mph gust??

 

Don'tcha mean  a 7mph gust? That's about the best I got out of the last farce.

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