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Severe Atlantic Storms over the Christmas & New Year period

stubbys

By stubbys
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

After seeing the risk for Scotland earlier today/ yesterday, I'm surprised to see a shift southward a today! Metoffice have my location for 50+mph gusts, for an inland location, pretty high.Looks like this is going to be a rough ride for N England especially.Merry Christmas by the way!

 

I'm not even sure the 18z GFS is far enough S yet. Probably another 20-30 miles shift S to bring it in line with the 18z NAE, UKMO, ECM and EURO4 runs from earlier.

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Roger J Smith Maestro

Roger J Smith

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted

On current guidance, wind damage potential in all exposed locations of Ireland and the southern and central UK (including NI and southwest Scotland). Probably at its maximum across south and central Ireland, Wales, north-central England. Maximum gusts to 105 mph cannot be ruled out as this is a very dynamic and fast-moving low perfectly aligned to a very strong jet. It should in theory be every bit as bad as say 12-26-1998 locally.

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Gaz1985 Community Regular

Gaz1985

Posted
  • Location: Droylsden, Manchester, 94 metres/308 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Dry/mild/warm/sunny/high pressure/no snow/no rain
  • Location: Droylsden, Manchester, 94 metres/308 feet ASL
Posted (edited)

Wonder if the storm will be as bad as the one in January 2007, the wind reached 75 mph here

 

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/6272193.stm

 

http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/EGCC/2007/1/18/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA

Edited by Gaz1985
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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Boxing day 1998! 15 year anniversary! Posted Image

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Ross Andrew Hemphill Community Regular

Ross Andrew Hemphill

Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
Posted

didn't see that coming!!

On current guidance, wind damage potential in all exposed locations of Ireland and the southern and central UK (including NI and southwest Scotland). Probably at its maximum across south and central Ireland, Wales, north-central England. Maximum gusts to 105 mph cannot be ruled out as this is a very dynamic and fast-moving low perfectly aligned to a very strong jet. It should in theory be every bit as bad as say 12-26-1998 locally.

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

 

I remember that day! On a bus coming back from uni with trees virtually bent horizontal all around me. Strongest winds since 27th Oct 2002 here.

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted (edited)

Just found this on twitter

That's the storm motion and does not reflect wind speed. Posted Image

Edited by PerfectStorm
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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Bin it. Too far south, not going to happen.

It shouldn't be ignored though, who's to say it won't end up more south than projected?
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Mark Bayley Community Regular

Mark Bayley

Posted
  • Location: Leeds (Roundhay) 135m
  • Location: Leeds (Roundhay) 135m
Posted

It shouldn't be ignored though, who's to say it won't end up more south than projected?

I think he thought the chart was displaying wind gusts, which it isn't. Here they are >Posted Image

Strongest winds further north and west

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martinj2 Apprentice

martinj2

Posted
  • Location: Woolton, Liverpool
  • Location: Woolton, Liverpool
Posted

I think he thought the chart was displaying wind gusts, which it isn't. Here they are >Posted Image

Strongest winds further north and west

 

Still pretty scary-I'm hoping the good ol Clwydians and Snowdonia will shelter my location a bit

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aggy Rising Star

aggy

Posted
  • Location: Cumbernauld
  • Location: Cumbernauld
Posted

Boxing day 1998! 15 year anniversary! Posted Image

I will never in my life forget the night 105mph recorded at predtwick no roof tiles fences or trees seen lol that storm was one thing that spurred me in my weather obsession
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stubbys Apprentice

stubbys

Posted
  • Location: Ramsgate, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, to a point .....
  • Location: Ramsgate, Kent
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Have to expect plenty more tree's to topple, certainly in my area there has been no respite in rainfall. The ground all over Britain must be absolutely saturated, probably wouldn't need 80mph gusts to fell a few more. Not to mention the flood situation.....

Edited by stubbys
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Luton Weather Rookie

Luton Weather

Posted
  • Location: Luton, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer & Snowy Winter
  • Location: Luton, Bedfordshire
Posted (edited)

Storm will hit Ireland in the evening and the rest of the UK on Friday

post-10471-0-25367000-1388025217_thumb.j

post-10471-0-42295300-1388025348_thumb.j

post-10471-0-42367700-1388025354_thumb.j

post-10471-0-36049000-1388025360_thumb.j

post-10471-0-57347400-1388025367_thumb.j

post-10471-0-00593700-1388025375_thumb.j

post-10471-0-93875700-1388025380_thumb.j

post-10471-0-54108500-1388025387_thumb.j

post-10471-0-03481400-1388025394_thumb.j

post-10471-0-10558900-1388025401_thumb.j

post-10471-0-43304200-1388025408_thumb.j

post-10471-0-15943700-1388025415_thumb.j

Edited by Luton Weather
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knocker Maestro

knocker

Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
Posted (edited)

Have to expect plenty more tree's to topple, certainly in my area there has been no respite in rainfall. The ground all over Britain must be absolutely saturated, probably wouldn't need 80mph gusts to fell a few more. Not to mention the flood situation.....

 

You will get another belt of rain I'm afraid but winds shouldn't be that bad.

post-12275-0-70106100-1388030284_thumb.j

post-12275-0-46990300-1388030297_thumb.j

post-12275-0-41855700-1388030307_thumb.j

post-12275-0-01615800-1388030317_thumb.j

Edited by knocker
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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

GFS moves it back south again so Sheffield back in the firing line. Wrong direction for the first batch of winds again but the second batch should effect us. Gusting to mid sixties so it should be interesting. Again everything can change by tonight.

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted

GFS moves it back south again so Sheffield back in the firing line. Wrong direction for the first batch of winds again but the second batch should effect us. Gusting to mid sixties so it should be interesting. Again everything can change by tonight.

Yes the chart shows an incredible tightness on the isobars across Southern Scotland, Nothern England and North Midlands.It could be quite nasty overnight and tomorrow.
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Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted

Hi Surrey, it's the 10m here. Click on http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/vent-rafales/3h.htm

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

12+ hours of winds gusting 70-80mph in the worst affected areas (Ireland, SW Scotland, Wales, N England) 60-70mph inland. Wouldn't be surprised to see some amber warnings being issued later today. 

Edited by Liam J
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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted

12+ hours of winds gusting 70-80mph in the worst affected areas (Ireland, SW Scotland, Wales, N England) 60-70mph inland. Wouldn't be surprised to see some amber warnings being issued later today. 

 

There are no warnings for my area nevermind Amber.

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

There are no warnings for my area nevermind Amber.

 

Currently yellow wind warnings for parts of the UK which were issued yesterday, expect these to be amended some time today to perhaps include some amber level warnings. The matrix was one step down from amber. 

 

post-9615-0-87005300-1388054362.jpeg

Edited by Liam J
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