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Severe Atlantic Storms over the Christmas & New Year period


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Squall line went through Derby about 11am, i was driving in it. Very intense rain, wind and a bit of hail for about 5-10 minutes before back to steady rain, which we still have now.

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why do people drive into floods like that. i've never understood that

Me neither, ive come across enough flooded roads on IOW recently and everyone ive avoided and gone a different route, i refuse to drive threw flood water.

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The tides for Friday the 3rd look like causing a few problems... This is at a very high tide at 12pm.

 

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and then again on the 5th-6th the UK gets swallowed by a hungry black hole monster, which will alos coincide with 2 very high tides.

 

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Could be some record breaking wave heights off Ireland and exacerbated problems with the river tides being pushed even higher with torrential rain in places making for a nasty cocktail.

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Well we could do without any record-breaking rainfall here after recording 32mm for yesterday's deluge. Even though we're on the Hills and it runs off, it's still a horrid sludgy mess on the Malvern paths and of course the Severn will rise with high totals over north Wales. Not good.

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Pit puts the shield on full as they approach lol

 

Can we have one of these shields please? Ill do a swap for our thunder shield..

 

I dont think we can handle any more water here!

Even places miles and miles away from rivers up hills are flooded. the ground round here simply cant take any more water. Im shocked the drains are still working.

 

Lucky, My dad owns a boat. Bad thing is that its on its trailer on a small hill surrounded by water. So erm... May need to get my swimming trunks on.

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post-6667-0-74412100-1388660622_thumb.pn

 

Storm Forecast
Valid: Thu 02 Jan 2014 06:00 to Fri 03 Jan 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Wed 01 Jan 2014 23:41
Forecaster: GATZEN
SYNOPSIS / DISCUSSION
 
Across western Europe, a new intensification of the northern Atlantic cyclonic activity is increasingly affecting the flow. A short-wave trough will move east across Germany during the day. In its wake, a strong mid-level jet streak will spread into the British Isles and an intense low pressure system will move to a position to the north of Ireland. The cold front of the storm will be located ahead of the following jet streak and reaches the North Sea soon after midnight. Therefore, only shallow instability is expected in the warm air mass of the low-level jet ahead of the cold front, and thunderstorms are not likely. A weak tornado is not ruled out in the range of the narrow cold frontal rain band due to the strong low-level vertical wind shear. In the wake of the cold front, rather dry air masses will limit the potential of thunderstorms. A few storms may develop, but the contribution of deep moist convection to the occurrence of severe wind gusts is expected to be weak

 

 

http://www.estofex.org/

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06 oz downgrades Mondays storm somewhat although the storm stalls out to the west. I think this one is going to upgraded and downgraded and we won't know until Saturday evening whats going to happen.

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