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Severe Atlantic Storms Over The Christmas Period #2


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Posted
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex

    11:08 update on xcweather showing South Wales being hardest hit at the moment. I bet Porthcawl harbour is impressive at the moment.

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    Posted
  • Location: Cornwall
  • Location: Cornwall

    AMBER WARNING FOR WIND ON TUESDAY!

    FOR LONDON & SOUTH EAST ENGLAND.

     

    Southwesterly gales and locally severe gales will continue across southern and eastern parts of England during Monday night, but are expected to strengthen further across parts of southeast England, in the Amber warning area, during the early hours of Tuesday, with gusts of 65-75 mph inland and 75-85 mph along exposed coasts. The winds will ease from the west by morning.

     
    The public should be prepared for disruption, particularly to travel and for interruptions to power supplies.
     
    Winds will strengthen further across southeast England during the early hours of Tuesday, with the potential for damaging gusts inland as well as along the coast. The winds will ease quickly from the west before dawn.
    Edited by Skulltheruler
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    Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

    I'm talking about the actual center of the low, not readings I've taken.

     

    http://meteocentre.com/analyses/map.php?map=NEurope&date=2013122310&size=standard〈=en&area=eur This updates hourly, and shows how much it has deepened.

    Oops sorry!

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    Posted
  • Location: Huddersfield, 145m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Lots of snow, lots of hot sun
  • Location: Huddersfield, 145m ASL

    top gust I've recorded so far this morning - 71 mph. Wtaching the slates on the garage roof lifting up and down, which isn't very pleasant. Quite surprised as it wasn't supposed to be quite that strong for this location today.

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    Posted
  • Location: Cornwall
  • Location: Cornwall

    11:19

    The AA's Special Response Team tweets: "Terrible driving conditions. Slow down & look out for surface water & debris on the road #BePrepared #ThinkDontSink #FloodAware #UKStorm."

    Edited by Skulltheruler
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    Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford
  • Weather Preferences: snow, blizzards, thunder snow, thunder and lightning, heat waves, tornadoes
  • Location: Chelmsford

    About time the Met Office gave us an amber for wind in the SE.  I was amazed they didn't put it to amber yesterday.  Bit belated if you ask me, although I appreciate they're having their work cut out down in Exeter at the moment.

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    Posted
  • Location: Malton, North Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather - any kind!
  • Location: Malton, North Yorkshire

    Amber warning for wind issued for London, SE England & East of England now (not SW England where amber warning for rain and yellow for wind remain in place). Warnings look very confusing on Met Office website!

     

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&regionName=sw&fcTime=1387843200&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50

    Edited by Cold Winter
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    Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.

     

    Do you know if it is developing to expectations right now Sainsbo? I remember hearing Peter Gibbs yesterday suggesting it would be at its deepest over the sea, so other than via buoy readings they might not get an official reading as to whether the record gets broken. Nonetheless, by his projections I firmly believe we have approximately another twelve hours of deepening possible yet.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dalrymple, Ayrshire, Scotland
  • Location: Dalrymple, Ayrshire, Scotland

    Hmm, given that the whole country is going to see similar wind speeds today and tomorrow, shouldn't we all be under the same level of warnings? Met office are still saying up to 90mph for Western Scotland, yet we're only at Amber warning levels.....

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    Posted
  • Location: Orpington
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Orpington

    Amber for SE now for Wind

     

    Valid from: 
    0005 on Tue 24 Dec 2013

    Valid to: 
    0600 on Tue 24 Dec 2013

    Southwesterly gales and locally severe gales will continue across southern and eastern parts of England during Monday night, but are expected to strengthen further across parts of southeast England, in the Amber warning area, during the early hours of Tuesday, with gusts of 65-75 mph inland and 75-85 mph along exposed coasts. The winds will ease from the west by morning.

    The public should be prepared for disruption, particularly to travel and for interruptions to power supplies. Winds will strengthen further across southeast England during the early hours of Tuesday, with the potential for damaging gusts inland as well as along the coast. The winds will ease quickly from the west before dawn.
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    Posted
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex
  • Location: Rayleigh, Essex

    I'm not sure, but I think there may be an Amber warning out there Posted Image

     

    Does the Met OFfice not have any webcams of their own? I'm guessing it's not very nice down there!

    Edited by SteveCoops
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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Here's the NMM 6 for later this evening, secondary wave of winds looks to be the strongest across the south east coast.

    post-15177-0-95978600-1387797284_thumb.p post-15177-0-82658400-1387797307_thumb.p post-15177-0-42714600-1387797318_thumb.p

    Quite consistent modelling of the rainfall projections..

    NMM 6 day 1 & 2..

    post-15177-0-66994000-1387797425_thumb.p post-15177-0-40321300-1387797456_thumb.p

    NMM 18 day 1 & 2..

    post-15177-0-49592000-1387797500_thumb.p post-15177-0-10490200-1387797525_thumb.p

    WRF is still going for 928mb tomorrow! :O

    post-15177-0-25608300-1387797874_thumb.p

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    Posted
  • Location: Woolton, Liverpool
  • Location: Woolton, Liverpool

    Do you know if it is developing to expectations right now Sainsbo? I remember hearing Peter Gibbs yesterday suggesting it would be at its deepest over the sea, so other than via buoy readings they might not get an official reading as to whether the record gets broken. Nonetheless, by his projections I firmly believe we have approximately another twelve hours of deepening possible yet.

    What is the record? I thought it was about 925mb - got quite a way to go to beat that, maybe more chance in tomorrows effort?

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    MetOffice warnings are certainly a lot more confusing than the old system. I liked it when my county was coloured in. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Swindon/Reading
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Swindon/Reading

    Do you know if it is developing to expectations right now Sainsbo? I remember hearing Peter Gibbs yesterday suggesting it would be at its deepest over the sea, so other than via buoy readings they might not get an official reading as to whether the record gets broken. Nonetheless, by his projections I firmly believe we have approximately another twelve hours of deepening possible yet.

     

    Agreed, possibly more IMO

     

    It does like like it is deepening as it is expected to. The GFS has it at 955mb at 12, so 957mb at 11 and dropping at a rate of 3-4mb/hr looks like it's keeping up just fine Posted Image

     

     

    What is the record? I thought it was about 925mb - got quite a way to go to beat that, maybe more chance in tomorrows effort?

     

    I don't think there is much chance, if any, of that record being broken. Even though it may deepen to 925 (NOAA still predict it going to 924mb!), it'l likely be north and not over land by then.

     

    My guess is gonna be 932mb near Stornoway sometime tomorrow

    Edited by Sainsbo
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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Thats odd, when I look at the warnings map for Uk it shows south east and east under amber for wind and south west under yellow for wind http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings show

    Take a peek at my previous post. ;)
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    Posted
  • Location: Ingbirchworth 255M ASL
  • Location: Ingbirchworth 255M ASL

    10 39am John Curtin, who is head of incident management at the Environment Agency, tweets: "#ukstorm being described as an 'explosively deepening' low - its not as alarming as it sounds but follow our warnings."

    LMAO There will be quite a few people pooing their pants reading that one !

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    Posted
  • Location: Huddersfield 139M ASL
  • Location: Huddersfield 139M ASL

    top gust I've recorded so far this morning - 71 mph. Wtaching the slates on the garage roof lifting up and down, which isn't very pleasant. Quite surprised as it wasn't supposed to be quite that strong for this location today.

     

    Surprised as well, we're only meant to be getting 50-60 mph gusts up north. Then again you are quite high up, nothing special down in the town centre.

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    Posted
  • Location: Upminster, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe gales/storms, snow, thunder!
  • Location: Upminster, Essex

    Certainly looks like it's going to get pretty serious later this evening into the early hours of tomorrow for SE including London but hopefully by then most people will be settling down and going to bed.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dublin
  • Location: Dublin

    Low centre is probably near 955hPa now, waiting for k4 to update but at 10am it still had 30mph easterlies and a pressure of 960hPa suggesting centre was somewhere to its south and not too close to it.-

     

     Edit....

     

    K4 buoy now to 956.7 mb

     

    With 20mph easterlies, suggesting centre is near 950hPa @ 11am. Around 10hPa deeper than progged by EURO4 model for midday.

     

    Posted Image

     

     

    Edited by Matty M
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    Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.

    What is the record? I thought it was about 925mb - got quite a way to go to beat that, maybe more chance in tomorrows effort?

     

    Indeed, but I never say never.

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