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Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period


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  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    NOAA surface plot showing hurricane force over land Xmas Eve!!

     

    NOAA @NWSOPC showing possibly strongest cyclone since Jan 1993 Braer Storm for the UK Christmas Eve.

    Posted Image52b71e0eec8d83977200003a.jpeg 924mb Posted Image

    Weather buoys in the region with identifiers of 44746 and 64043 were not designed to read pressures below 925.0 mb (27.32 inHg), so when their pressures dropped to that reading, they stayed there until the storm moved away.

    Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image 

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    Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford
  • Weather Preferences: snow, blizzards, thunder snow, thunder and lightning, heat waves, tornadoes
  • Location: Chelmsford

    Bets on southern and northern wind warnings to go Amber in the morning...

     

    Odds on favourite!

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    Posted
  • Location: Manhattan, USA
  • Location: Manhattan, USA

    NOAA surface plot showing hurricane force over land Xmas Eve!!

     

     
     

    NOAA @NWSOPC showing possibly strongest cyclone since Jan 1993 Braer Storm for the UK Christmas Eve.

    Posted Image52b71e0eec8d83977200003a.jpeg 924mb Posted Image

     

     

    Ouch... For those that don't remember...

     

    Posted Image

     

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braer_Storm_of_January_1993

    I would say we could expect the same, potentially...

     

     

    Wind gusts of over 190 km/h (120 mph) were measured across northwest Scotland.[3] The highest precipitation amount recorded with this system across Great Britain was 37.2 millimetres (1.46 in) at Cilfynydd in South Wales.

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    Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003

    NOAA surface plot showing hurricane force over land Xmas Eve!!

     

    NOAA @NWSOPC showing possibly strongest cyclone since Jan 1993 Braer Storm for the UK Christmas Eve.

    Posted Image52b71e0eec8d83977200003a.jpeg 924mb Posted Image

     

    Wow.

    Simply wow.

     

    924mb! ?

     

    brb gonna go nail some stuff down. Along with meteogroups warnings and graphics.... Damn skippy!

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    Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside

    I'm looking at a strong breeze here basing iff Metoffice forecasts.

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    Posted
  • Location: Washington - Tyne and Wear
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Washington - Tyne and Wear

    Not expecting anything out of the ordinary in these neck of the woods by the sound of it - keep safe fellow weather freaks and don't travel unless you have to if you are in a high risk area! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003

    post-182-0-11451500-1387733612_thumb.png

    Wow!

     

    Would not like to live on the west of Ireland!

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm dry summers
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich

    So metogroup going for 75-85mph now based on new output for the south east wow..

     

    The whole of East Anglia and SE England is under that colour coding, including areas a long way from the coast; seems unlikely to me.

     

    Not saying it won't happen, but I have found Meteogroup to be a little dramatic at times; their WeatherPro app on IoS gives me a warning that that the strongest winds (hurricane force as they put it) in the SE will be at about 0600 on Christmas Eve but the actual data on the app at that time has gusts of only 46mph, which is a pretty pathetic hurricane! I think midnight is likely to be the worst time in this neck of the woods and that's what the Met Office are going with.

     

    I've caught Meteogroup out before; their app sent me a snow and blizzard warning in August; therefore I am a little sceptical!

     

    Going to be pretty bad though nevertheless.......

    Edited by Chalk Serpent
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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    GFS shows London copping 65kph mean winds...or 40mph for 6 hours! Gusts could readily exceed 70mph with that type of figure. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall

    *** For those in Cornwall, Scilly Isles and the Channel Islands I have issued a weather warning for tomorrow: http://www.cciweather.co.uk/#/warnings/4573724904 ***

    Edited by Blizzards
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  • Location: Upminster, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe gales/storms, snow, thunder!
  • Location: Upminster, Essex

    GFS shows London copping 65kph mean winds...or 40mph for 6 hours! Gusts could readily exceed 70mph with that type of figure.

    Oh SUGAR! :-/
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    Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 would be nice :-)

    Posted ImageCapture.PNG

    Wow!

     

    Would not like to live on the west of Ireland!

    Do ya have a link.... Had a look via 'earth wind' with no look.

    With Thanks Dww.

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    Posted
  • Location: frogmore south devon
  • Location: frogmore south devon

    well i for one has to work tomorrow so the van will be rock and rolling should be an interesting day Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Hollywood, Worcestershire

    Not only is the wind going to be a factor but the rain looks just as concerning! Parts of Kent, Devon & Wales may see 80-90mm of rainfall up to midday Christmas Eve according to the latest NMM accumulation map. 

    Posted Image

    Edited by PerfectStorm
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    Posted
  • Location: @scotlandwx
  • Weather Preferences: Crystal Clear High Pressure & Blue Skies
  • Location: @scotlandwx

    LInk for the wind charts, click earth to see other levels of the atmosphere.

     

    http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/250hPa/orthographic=-25.78,47.23,512

     

    @cambecc

     

    http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/250hPa/orthographic=-25.78,55.32,1024

     

    353km/h jet.

     

    post-7292-0-77508700-1387738010_thumb.pn

     

    NB - these are a snapshot from GFS data i.e the weather does not move..

     

     

    Edited by lorenzo
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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Not only is the wind going to be a factor but the rain looks just as concerning! Parts of Kent, Devon & Wales may see 80-90mm of rainfall up to midday Christmas Eve according to the latest NMM accumulation map. Posted Image

    Netweather's NMM charts sum the detail up a bit better, truly dreadful rain totals for some.

    post-15177-0-76015900-1387738485_thumb.p post-15177-0-66147200-1387738496_thumb.p

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    Posted
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm dry summers
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich

    It's just been on the BBC1 news bulletin, I love how that reporter dismissed this storm as being as bad as St Jude when all the info we've been receiving suggests otherwise infact the combination of the torrential rain and the high winds lasting for a longer period of time make it potentially worse for some!

    Yes, a good point. The gusts are not likely to be as high as St Jude but that was just a few hours in most places as the system whizzed through the country. This is a good 12 hours of sustained wind and rain so not to be taken lightly. I will be glad when it's all over and am keeping fingers crossed that it won't be too damaging.
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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    It's just been on the BBC1 news bulletin, I love how that reporter dismissed this storm as being as bad as St Jude when all the info we've been receiving suggests otherwise infact the combination of the torrential rain and the high winds lasting for a longer period of time make it potentially worse for some!

    St Jude did not bring any strong winds here at all for me and much of the East Midlands wondered what all the fuss was about too!! This looks to be a countrywide threat for the equivalence of what St Jude brought, and lasting much longer too. 

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