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Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period

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Ross Andrew Hemphill Community Regular

Ross Andrew Hemphill

Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
Posted

Are the winds expected to funnel through the central belt of Scotland??Posted Image 

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

Thought I was in the wrong thread then - Can we please stick to discussing next weeks potential stormy weather. Plenty of threads on the go to talk about current conditions.

 

Thank you Posted Image

Edited by Liam J
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Ross Andrew Hemphill Community Regular

Ross Andrew Hemphill

Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
Posted
 

ouch !!!...

exactly!! so I'm guessing 90+mph for the central belt?? Am I right??Posted Image

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Cyclonic Enthusiast

Cyclonic

Posted
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
Posted

Not sure how we are going to be affected South side of IOW

All i know is i have to work xmas eve, xmas day, and boxing day and its not looking great

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rossco89 Explorer

rossco89

Posted
  • Location: Dalrymple, Ayrshire, Scotland
  • Location: Dalrymple, Ayrshire, Scotland
Posted

exactly!! so I'm guessing 90+mph for the central belt?? Am I right??Posted Image

I expect we'll get pretty hefty gusts all day Monday, stronger gusts on Tuesday morning and into the afternoon as the centre of the low heads up past the north west coast!

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

Not sure how we are going to be affected South side of IOW

All i know is i have to work xmas eve, xmas day, and boxing day and its not looking great

 

Some of tonights output would suggest to me, that the Needles station would record 100mph+, not only that, the duration of these winds is quite something. As it will be in daylight for some of the action, I will head out to my usual haunts to get some wind readings. I managed to get a 74mph gust at St Aldhelms head for the St Jude storm, I'm sure that can be surpassed! 

Exceptional period of weather we're going through..

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Cyclonic Enthusiast

Cyclonic

Posted
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
Posted (edited)

Have stolen Needles Weather Station as readings are invalid

 

Posted Image

 

On a serious note, everyone stay safe and have a great xmas guys..Lets hope it downgrades and wont be too bad, possiblilty is looking slim

Edited by Cyclonic
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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Not sure how we are going to be affected South side of IOW

All i know is i have to work xmas eve, xmas day, and boxing day and its not looking great

whatever the windspeed is and im sure we all feel the same PLEASE BE CAREFUL. There are some pretty exposed areas down there

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Cyclonic Enthusiast

Cyclonic

Posted
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, tornados
  • Location: Sandown, Isle of Wight
Posted

whatever the windspeed is and im sure we all feel the same PLEASE BE CAREFUL. There are some pretty exposed areas down there

I am right on the south side, 3 minute walk from beach, and i shall be staying indoors and safe. Its pretty rough on the seafront already, had a shed load of sand blow off from the beach past few days and the main road from Sandown to Yaverland is like an ice rink cuz of sand and rain.

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BurntFishTrousers Seasoned

BurntFishTrousers

Posted
  • Location: North of Falkirk
  • Weather Preferences: North Atlantic cyclogenesis
  • Location: North of Falkirk
Posted

Monday's low slowly forming over the Bay of St Lawrence / Newfoundland now (1012mb). Still difficult to know eventual path; 100-200 miles further north west of UK could really spare a few of us, or it could be worse than currently progged and come smashing through great swathes of the UK.

 

For the 27th, I'll stick my neck out for a sub-920mb low presure - almost a once in a lifetime reading the likes we won't see for another 80 years! Remember that 913mb is the record for a cold water north Atlantic depression, and at the moment the Atlantic is a conveyor belt for rapidly deepening depressions.

 

Posted Image

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Sussex Jules Community Regular

Sussex Jules

Posted
  • Location: East County Clare
  • Location: East County Clare
Posted

Anyone travelling by rail Monday, National Rail are advising some trains may be delayed or cancelled and some train operators may run an amended timetable. They are saying to check their website for updates.

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TwisterGirl81 Experienced

TwisterGirl81

Posted
  • Location: Devon
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Wind, Sunny, Warm, Thunderstorms, Snow
  • Location: Devon
Posted

Well it looks like the south will take a battering on Monday, I wonder if it'll be upgraded any more? Weather outlook.com have got Exeter down for 75mph gusts!

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

Many forecasts are going for 70mph gusts in London...blimey!

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Expect an amber warning if London is predicted to get 60-70mph gusts. Amber or red for those in the firing line for 80-90mph towards the NW, perhaps.

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Sussex Jules Community Regular

Sussex Jules

Posted
  • Location: East County Clare
  • Location: East County Clare
Posted

Expect an amber warning if London is predicted to get 60-70mph gusts. Amber or red for those in the firing line for 80-90mph towards the NW, perhaps.

That'll get rid of the naff Christmas decorations they have up in Oxford Street!Indeed though Liam would be really interesting to hear Fergieweather's take on the situation. Reckon they'll be some late night candles burning at Met O HQ tonight.
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Sainsbo Aficionado

Sainsbo

Posted
Posted

Expect an amber warning if London is predicted to get 60-70mph gusts. Amber or red for those in the firing line for 80-90mph towards the NW, perhaps.

 

I was thinking the same thing. Maybe Red for London/surrounding areas as more people will be out and about around the festive period? Just seems like there's a higher chance of injury. Guess we'll have to wait and see tomorrows outputs for more detail.

 

What are your guys' bets for minimum pressure from this low? I'm going for 927mb.

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

By tomorrow afternoon we'll have a clear picture on how things are going to unfold during Monday/Tuesday. All eyes on how deep the core of the storm will drop, once the initial cold front and severe gales have passed (which will cause disruption) it's the wind field around the depression centre which could be pretty serious towards the NW. 

Edited by Liam J
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TomIOW Rookie

TomIOW

Posted
  • Location: cowes, isle of wight
  • Location: cowes, isle of wight
Posted

Posted Image

 

i have my christmas works do on monday evening in newport on the isle of wight. I was going to get a taxi home but looking at this chart I might just flap my arms and get blown home. Posted Image

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ancientsolar Community Regular

ancientsolar

Posted
  • Location: Blackwood SE Wales
  • Location: Blackwood SE Wales
Posted

I can just imagine people coming to and from Ireland for Christmas shopping and getting caught in the wind storms.. getting people trapped. Rail services disrupted, Planes grounded. All of these things just being logistical. Power outages over Christmas? Flooded homes.. All these things pose a risk to life. People need to be warned more than we are. 

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