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Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period


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exactly!! so I'm guessing 90+mph for the central belt?? Am I right??Posted Image

I expect we'll get pretty hefty gusts all day Monday, stronger gusts on Tuesday morning and into the afternoon as the centre of the low heads up past the north west coast!

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Not sure how we are going to be affected South side of IOW

All i know is i have to work xmas eve, xmas day, and boxing day and its not looking great

 

Some of tonights output would suggest to me, that the Needles station would record 100mph+, not only that, the duration of these winds is quite something. As it will be in daylight for some of the action, I will head out to my usual haunts to get some wind readings. I managed to get a 74mph gust at St Aldhelms head for the St Jude storm, I'm sure that can be surpassed! 

Exceptional period of weather we're going through..

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Have stolen Needles Weather Station as readings are invalid

 

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On a serious note, everyone stay safe and have a great xmas guys..Lets hope it downgrades and wont be too bad, possiblilty is looking slim

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Not sure how we are going to be affected South side of IOW

All i know is i have to work xmas eve, xmas day, and boxing day and its not looking great

whatever the windspeed is and im sure we all feel the same PLEASE BE CAREFUL. There are some pretty exposed areas down there

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whatever the windspeed is and im sure we all feel the same PLEASE BE CAREFUL. There are some pretty exposed areas down there

I am right on the south side, 3 minute walk from beach, and i shall be staying indoors and safe. Its pretty rough on the seafront already, had a shed load of sand blow off from the beach past few days and the main road from Sandown to Yaverland is like an ice rink cuz of sand and rain.

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Monday's low slowly forming over the Bay of St Lawrence / Newfoundland now (1012mb). Still difficult to know eventual path; 100-200 miles further north west of UK could really spare a few of us, or it could be worse than currently progged and come smashing through great swathes of the UK.

 

For the 27th, I'll stick my neck out for a sub-920mb low presure - almost a once in a lifetime reading the likes we won't see for another 80 years! Remember that 913mb is the record for a cold water north Atlantic depression, and at the moment the Atlantic is a conveyor belt for rapidly deepening depressions.

 

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Expect an amber warning if London is predicted to get 60-70mph gusts. Amber or red for those in the firing line for 80-90mph towards the NW, perhaps.

That'll get rid of the naff Christmas decorations they have up in Oxford Street!Indeed though Liam would be really interesting to hear Fergieweather's take on the situation. Reckon they'll be some late night candles burning at Met O HQ tonight.
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Expect an amber warning if London is predicted to get 60-70mph gusts. Amber or red for those in the firing line for 80-90mph towards the NW, perhaps.

 

I was thinking the same thing. Maybe Red for London/surrounding areas as more people will be out and about around the festive period? Just seems like there's a higher chance of injury. Guess we'll have to wait and see tomorrows outputs for more detail.

 

What are your guys' bets for minimum pressure from this low? I'm going for 927mb.

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By tomorrow afternoon we'll have a clear picture on how things are going to unfold during Monday/Tuesday. All eyes on how deep the core of the storm will drop, once the initial cold front and severe gales have passed (which will cause disruption) it's the wind field around the depression centre which could be pretty serious towards the NW. 

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i have my christmas works do on monday evening in newport on the isle of wight. I was going to get a taxi home but looking at this chart I might just flap my arms and get blown home. Posted Image

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I can just imagine people coming to and from Ireland for Christmas shopping and getting caught in the wind storms.. getting people trapped. Rail services disrupted, Planes grounded. All of these things just being logistical. Power outages over Christmas? Flooded homes.. All these things pose a risk to life. People need to be warned more than we are. 

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18z GFS has the low slightly shallower, but not by much. Still showing a 930mb low. Isobars look extremely close near Scotland, and only 66 hours away now.

 

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The HR still showing some damaging gusts across most of England.

 

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