Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Possible severe Atlantic storms over the Christmas period


Coast

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL

24th looks worse for us on the 18z. Gusts of 60-65mph from about 1 to 8pm.

 

Seriously Nick?  Well I know we up here are kinda used to those wind speeds relativity speaking but would that not warrant a yellow warning?  Suppose we just need to wait and see how hard this blows tomorrow Posted Image

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich
  • Weather Preferences: April!
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich

Can someone more knowledgeable please answer what kind of wind speeds are projected for the NE of England - I know this is an IMBY request and sorry for the question but, there are numerous sites which have the NE (and other areas) affected by severe gales - but the Meto are having none of it. Realistically speaking are we just looking at a normal winter storm here or something more?

Looks like the strongest winds will be with you during daylight hours on Xmas Eve; 50mph+ gusts possible, but not looking like the same intensity as South coasts tomorrow or North West UK on Tues.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: LEVEN, Fife
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms and extremes
  • Location: LEVEN, Fife

 

The Braer Storm of January 1993 is the most intense extratropical cyclone on record for the northern Atlantic ocean. Developing as a weak frontal wave on January 8, 1993, the system moved rapidly northeast, developing at a moderate pace. The combination of the absorption of a second low-pressure area to its southeast, a stronger than normal sea surface temperature differential along its path, and the presence of a strong jet stream aloft led to a rapid strengthening of the storm, with its central pressure falling to an estimated 914.0 mb (26.99 inHg) on January 10. Its strength was well predicted by forecasters in the United Kingdom, and warnings were issued before the low initially developed.

 

http://www.landforms.eu/shetland/braer%20storm.htm

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: North of Falkirk
  • Weather Preferences: North Atlantic cyclogenesis
  • Location: North of Falkirk

And for all you in NE/NW England (always wondering how the winds will affect you), then on this run your question is answered! Ouch!

 

Posted Image

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland

Two insanely deep areas of low pressure coming up, batten down the hatches and stay safe everyone. These ain't your regular wheelie bin topplers! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: North of Falkirk
  • Weather Preferences: North Atlantic cyclogenesis
  • Location: North of Falkirk

The Braer Storm of January 1993 is the most intense extratropical cyclone on record for the northern Atlantic ocean. Developing as a weak frontal wave on January 8, 1993, the system moved rapidly northeast, developing at a moderate pace. The combination of the absorption of a second low-pressure area to its southeast, a stronger than normal sea surface temperature differential along its path, and the presence of a strong jet stream aloft led to a rapid strengthening of the storm, with its central pressure falling to an estimated 914.0 mb (26.99 inHg) on January 10. Its strength was well predicted by forecasters in the United Kingdom, and warnings were issued before the low initially developed.

 

http://www.landforms.eu/shetland/braer%20storm.htm

Yes, it's also the only time in memory the Shipping Forecast famously announced "Hurricane Force 12 or more" for a few sea areas. Quite what is "more" I dunno :)

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL

And for all you in NE/NW England (always wondering how the winds will affect you), then on this run your question is answered! Ouch!

 

Posted Image

 

 

Are the strongest winds not on the southern flank of the system though?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Upminster, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe gales/storms, snow, thunder!
  • Location: Upminster, Essex

Jeez, the storm on 27th sees Ireland joining up with the Hebrides at this rate (if 18z comes true!)

 

Posted Image

What's it's most likely predicted track at this stage?.. Looks like the centre is quite far south compared with tomorrows low, would remain there meaning southern areas take the brunt or is it predicted to swing north?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

9am Xmas Eve and much of Central & Northern Britain & Ireland being blasted with gales or severe gales.

 

post-9615-0-78493500-1387750354_thumb.gi 9am

post-9615-0-32117400-1387750476_thumb.gi Midday (central Lowlands/Borders ouch)

Edited by Liam J
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich
  • Weather Preferences: April!
  • Location: Kesgrave, just East of Ipswich

The 18z GFS tends to show very intense Low Pressures; been lots of crazy UK-destroying runs from it recently. Thankfully, it tends to overdo them. It's not known as the pub run for nothing! :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Morley Leeds (West Yorkshire) 166m
  • Location: Morley Leeds (West Yorkshire) 166m

9am Xmas Eve and much of Central & Northern Britain & Ireland being blasted with gales or severe gales.

 

Posted Imagenaex12.gif

but no warnings been shown from the Met :S

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: dry sunny average summers and really cold snowy winters
  • Location: falkirk, scotland, 16.505m, 54.151ft above sea level

Scotland and northern England taking another pasting on the 28th light breeze in the south

 

post-18233-0-91962300-1387750521_thumb.p

 

 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Gilesgate Moor, Durham City
  • Location: Gilesgate Moor, Durham City

Seriously Nick?  Well I know we up here are kinda used to those wind speeds relativity speaking but would that not warrant a yellow warning?  Suppose we just need to wait and see how hard this blows tomorrow Posted Image

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2013122218/42-289UK.GIF?21-6

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2013122218/45-289UK.GIF?21-6

http://modeles2.meteociel.fr/modeles_gfs/runs/2013122218/48-289UK.GIF?21-6

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford
  • Weather Preferences: snow, blizzards, thunder snow, thunder and lightning, heat waves, tornadoes
  • Location: Chelmsford

Wow

 

Posted Image

That's an epic chart!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: North of Falkirk
  • Weather Preferences: North Atlantic cyclogenesis
  • Location: North of Falkirk

Are the strongest winds not on the southern flank of the system though?

They are (rule of thumb 200-300 miles south of the low) so as it drifts north, you get a pin head over the Hebrides, ironically, with the winds greatest over Northern England.

 

Posted Image

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
Posted
  • Location: Upminster, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe gales/storms, snow, thunder!
  • Location: Upminster, Essex

Scotland and northern England taking another pasting on the 28th light breeze in the south

 

Posted Imagegfs-0-132.png

985mb in the south, not quite sure we'll be having a light breeze even here we could get 40-50mph easily but I suppose relatively speaking to what looks like 80mph+ again in your neck of the woods then yes lol. I think that low is predicted to hit us hard on the 27th though unless I'm wrong or this is a completely separate low to the 1 the day before?...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

Wow

 

Posted Image

Violent...

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL

They are (rule of thumb 200-300 miles south of the low) so as it drifts north, you get a pin head over the Hebrides, ironically, with the winds greatest over Northern England.

 

Posted Image

 

 

Cheers BFT - one to watch!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

A closer look at the 27th... A picture speaks a 1000 words.

 

post-9615-0-00329600-1387751112_thumb.pn

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...