Ireland Regional Discussion - 29/11/2013 ----->

[smithyweather]

Becuase its bloody boring... Just up on the mountain and it is foggy and dirzzly. Tbh today was just like a june day. You would never know its november.

[skywatcher]

Doesn't look good but there's still volatility in the situation. Not yet clear cut.

[smithyweather]

It always gets me how it can go from -11c uppers to 7c uppers in one run. It just always seems over the top with the gfs

[Sparky72]

It's worse than not good. It's bad! Looking at precipitation the snow just floats past a few hundred miles north!

[smithyweather]

But thats always the case for us.

Or else its dry

Edited November 30, 2013 by smithyweather

[gary1365]

it's early days yet lads don't be throwing the toys out of the pram yet.

[smithyweather]

Well the ECM is still onboard so we are not out of the woods yet; ECM is still a bit east of what it is so we want that to come back west so we can get affected by it better. I think perhaps the 18z will come back on board, just wait to see.

 

They posted this message by the NOAA on the forum about the GFS but I have no idea what it means.

Edited November 30, 2013 by smithyweather

[smithyweather]

Oh and I have some good news. The seas have cooled further and it is now 10.6c at Castlerock which is the mean sea temp for this time of the year. Less chance of sleet compared to the last cold spell. 

[gary1365]

hmm i have no idea about local sea temps i probably should considering i'm doing marine science at uni lol.

[smithyweather]

Well thats what they are so which is normal for this time of the year. It means less sleet and more lying snow.

Remember the last cold spell was potent but all we got was hail and wet snow. Well that is exactly why; the sea was above average. Think it was about 12.5c actually.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

hmm i have no idea about local sea temps i probably should considering i'm doing marine science at uni lol.

Hang your head in shame gary1365 its all about manitees with you sea science dudes

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Right thats the christmas tree up, fire on, wine poured - now as our scottish cousins would say all we need is the snaw

[smithyweather]

I know why do they say that? Scottish people don't even say 'snaw', its more like 'snae'

[ronan]

Says it all really! Crap!!!! This changes all the time on Metcheck every 6 hours but this is a massive difference compared to yesterday!!

[smithyweather]

Ronan the ECM and UKMO are still on board.

 

And you need to wait till the 18z because i've seen it change dramatically back the other way like that before.

[gary1365]

Hang your head in shame gary1365 its all about manitees with you sea science dudes

 

nah it's all about all the tiny things with unpronounceable names it's marine biology your thinking of they love all the cuddly sea creatures lol.

[smithyweather]

I think he is doing oceanography and they probably learn about like underwater features like dykes and the elevation of the sea floor.

Edited November 30, 2013 by smithyweather

[sundog]

Well the models today are not as good as yesterday regarding the possible cold snap later next week,certainly from the gfs. The ecm still hanging in there but the main thrust of the arctic plunge seems to by pass ireland looking at these two charts, definatley not as good as yesterday. Still cold for 2 or 3 days though of course.

 

Anyway we will see what tomorrow will bring.  Started off nice and clear today but by mid afternoon the cloud was back, this weather is doing my head in and so are the models.

[gary1365]

i do marine science which combines lots of stuff marine biology, oceanic and atmospheric systems, environmental sciences, geography, mapping underwater and terrestrial topography all that sort of stuff really. 

 

http://uumarine.weebly.com/

Edited November 30, 2013 by gary1365

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Says it all really! Crap!!!! This changes all the time on Metcheck every 6 hours but this is a massive difference compared to yesterday!!

Metcheck Ronan?? Nah just Nah

[cheshire snow]

Metcheck Ronan?? Nah just Nah

 

 Generated by the GFS I believe...Tells you everything you need to know about that model really.... 

 

 C.S

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

i do marine science which combines lots of stuff marine biology, oceanic and atmospheric systems, environmental sciences, geography, mapping underwater and terrestrial topography all that sort of stuff really. 

 

http://uumarine.weebly.com/

Dude fair play puts my hotel and tourism degree in the shade some what!!

[ronan]

Metcheck Ronan?? Nah just Nah

It was just to state what the GFS is showing today! As far as I'm aware it updates on GFS data every 6 hours. I know things will change again but it was just to emphasise how S H I T today's model outputs wee! No doubt the Pub Run will be on the double vodkas! Lol

[smithyweather]

Snow now back on 18z

[Sparky72]

Snows not really back is it?! Only coldish with sleet then back to norm ?