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Angelici Magiovinium

South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 14/11/13

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Please continue your regional discussions here about your current conditions and the wintry weather that's forecast...

 

post-10773-0-47801700-1384469194_thumb.j

 

 

link to the previous one here....

 

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/78372-south-east-east-anglia-regional-weather-discussion-041113/page-40#entry2834323

Edited by MKsnowangel

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96hr fax chart. Troughs in a northerly flow, not overly exciting for is guys however 528 dam well clearing south coast. Troughs around.

post-15543-0-68771100-1384470271_thumb.j

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96hr fax chart. Troughs in a northerly flow, not overly exciting for is guys however 528 dam well clearing south coast. Troughs around.

Seen this sort of set up before, the last time thunder snow found it's way over to London from that corner between wales and england. Not saying that will happen this time mind.

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Posted Image

 

ukmo fax charts

 

a strong north east flow

 

very low dam air

 

low pressure nearby

 

that could be fun Posted Image

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Got a feeling there will be surprises next week embedded troughs in the flow and disturbances can spring out of no-where. Wintry precipitation could happen if this far south, evaporative cooling can play a key part aswell!

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Hi John

 

Are the fax charts similar to the UKMO output of this afternoon or are they more a la ECM? I'm sitting here trying to work it out but I have man flu at the moment and it all looks far too complicated to my eyes

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hi mark

 

tuesday late pm looks like the fun starts and the much colder air arrives

 

i would call snow showers on wednesday but just a tad too far out for now

 

this is where the fax charts become more fun to work out Posted Image


hi jules

 

ukmo and fax and ecm all looking the same up to 144

 

no point looking past that whatever model you use

 

unless for ramping purposes Posted Image

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I humbly apologise for stealing John's ramp earlier, luckily the GFS control for the pub run is throwing something special Posted Image

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I humbly apologise for stealing John's ramp earlier, luckily the GFS control for the pub run is throwing something special Posted Image

I look forward to some ensemble ramping soon then ;)

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John, I know this has been said plenty of times, but really enjoy your posts, easy to read, you never go to far out in to FI, and although you are a cold lover, you say it as you see it

The south east thread are lucky to have you and of course Steve Murr on our thread, keep up the good work

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Thanks John.

 

I had a punt earlier in the week that we would see a little bit of white stuff on Tuesday not much just a taster. Plenty of output to digest at the moment and watching the ups and downs in the MAD thread today has certainly provided entertainment. Whatever happens at least we have got rid of that mild mush coming in from the Atlantic long may it continue as far as I'm concerned.

 

Oh by the way John ramp away Posted Image

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ecm ensembles

 

temps

 

Posted Image

 

brrrrrrrrrrrrr

 

vaguely agrees except after the 23rd it goes loopy

 

wind

 

Posted Image

 

nothing of note there at present

 

rain

 

Posted Image

jump 18th and 22nd

 

but lots of scatter after the 21st so unreliable after that

 

 

gfs 18z

 

Posted Image

 

big scatter 22nd onwards

 

a bit warmer to the 19th

 

then cold

 

shows dry to the 18th then pretty wet

 

i think i will stay on fax patrol for now

 

johnPosted Image

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Posted Image

  Yes I know could be sleet, Nahhhh SNOW.

 

Posted Image

WOW,This early in the year.......................................................Bring it ON.

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mN7LW0Y00kE

 

Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

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Ooh!

I've put an extra blanket on the bed already. Picked OH from work an hour ago and it was cold - station reading 3c

Definitely an interesting few days of watching coming up, looking forward to the mayhem!

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Good night all, Speak tomorrow eves when............Further upgrades and detail hopefully appear, This could be a cold lovers (Dream) Winter, charts like these are very rare. Enjoy....Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

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goodnight jason

 

think i will cut off a tad earlier tonight

 

goodnight all Posted Image

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Hi John

 

Are the fax charts similar to the UKMO output of this afternoon or are they more a la ECM? I'm sitting here trying to work it out but I have man flu at the moment and it all looks far too complicated to my eyes.

 

Aha.... confirmation at last that there IS such a thing as man flu, get well soon Jules.Posted Image

 

It's a bit nippy this morning but still above zero in these parts, 3.8c to be precise. I can't say I am liking the forecasts for next week in our region, it seems as though we will just be stuck with some horribly cold temperatures and very little else of note. Have a good day folks.

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A chilly morning here, clear skies and light winds and we have a grass frost again . Have a good friday!

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Morning. Chilly but no frost here, had showers on a off throughout the night I believe.

Things are going to get a bit hairy from here. Models are struggling and options of prolonged cold to diddly squat are popping up.

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