Model Output Discussion 13/11/13 >

[Ian Brown]

ECM and UKMO side by side at t120

 

 

Yes, ECM looks like sending enough energy Northwards to be more like the UKMO come T144.

[Cheshire Freeze]

ECM and UKMO side by side at t120

 

 

Sadly it looks closer to UKMO than the GFS

[Allseasons-Si]

ECM and UKMO side by side at t120

 

The difference is,there is a shortwave on the ECM (nw iceland)that needs watching

Edited November 14, 2013 by allseasons-si

[radiohead]

ECM isn't sending the energy over the top this time.

 

[Snowy L]

Looks like it's going to make it based on t144...

[shaky]

Looks like a middle road here folks!!if the ecm dont shift tomorrow then thats that for now

edit:what the hell am I on about.the 144 hour chart looks way better than this mornings!!its sticking to fingers up to the ukmo!!game on peeps!!

Edited November 14, 2013 by shaky

[Cheshire Freeze]

Though looks better at 144 than the UKMO

 

 

Much better than its 0z run anyway (at day 6)

Edited November 14, 2013 by CreweCold

[Summer Sun]

t144 is here

 

 

ukmo

 

Edited November 14, 2013 by Summer Sun

[terrier]

So ecm backs the ukmo not great but still not bad for november i suppose i now expect the other models to come into line with the ukmo and ecm   

[Joe Levy]

ECM isn't sending the energy over the top this time.

 

Also the angle of the high is notably different to the same time frame on UKMO, even if it is roughly the same shape

[bluearmy]

held slightly further west than ukmo though tbh, the differences are small at this range. gonna be an interesting wait to see what the 00z do with the main features and we'll have to rely on the spreads to see where ecm ens send the energy as the postage stamps are no longer available. (unless matt or essex help out)

 

the WAA on the 12z is much better than the 00z so the rest of the run may well blossom in comparison.

Edited November 14, 2013 by bluearmy

[Met4Cast]

I think everyone needs to relax a little and perhaps wait until the run has actually come out before making presumptions.

 

144 looks like it's heading towards an Iclandic cutoff high to me

[radiohead]

ECM looks close to the GEM at 144.

[Snowy L]

Also good WAA towards Greenland on that 144 chart.

[Tom Jarvis]

nice -6 uppers for everyone

[Ian Brown]

It's knife edge at T144 you have to say, could go either way at T168.

[Barry12]

The ECM is not 'backing the UKMO' it's different...

[Snowy L]

ECM makes it, surrounded by lows to the south so it can't sink.

[Cheshire Freeze]

It's knife edge at T144 you have to say, could go either way at T168.

 

Much, much better than the 0z at 168 hours

 

 

Cold as well

 

Edited November 14, 2013 by CreweCold

[swfc]

Up she goes at 168 hrs!!!just need the whole thing propping up now from the south

Edited November 14, 2013 by swfc

[Met4Cast]

Boom.

 

 

Cut off high. Polar Vortex shredded.

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

Guys your all mad. Why not watch the model come out and then comment ?? Instead of panicking thinking one thing only to back track on the next frame?

Enjoy the charts by all means but just relax a bit before you give yourselves a heart attack !!

#madhouse#rollercoaster!!!

[Average Joe]

I think everyone needs to relax a little and perhaps wait until the run has actually come out before making presumptions.

And remember that it's still ONLY November. Another 3 months worth of this yet!!!

[radiohead]

T168

 

[terrier]

Boom thank god for that looks like my previous comment was perhaps slightly premature my apologise