South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 04/11/13

[Snowangel-MK]

Afternoon all,

Nothing but constant rain here so far today. What a crap day!

 

Hopefully it's only the weather that's crap and your having a very happy birthday Leeanne 

 

Afternoon all,

 

Busy busy here so not much time to look at the weather (but I can tell it's cool and damp out there) thankfully I've got a lovely evening snuggled up with Mr P too look forward to and hopefully we will be going on a nice dry walk tomorrow, at least there will be a warm welcome at the cafe afterwards, I think it will be a hot drink not an ice cream though ..

 

http://www.salceyforestcafe.com/

 

...have a lovely weekend folks 

[snow raven]

Hopefully it's only the weather that's crap and your having a very happy birthday Leeanne 

 

Thanks Ali, not got a lot planned to celebrate - although I am going out for dinner with Mr Raven later, and going round my mum and dads tomorrow for a birthday lunch  

 

On the plus side with the weather - it's finally stopped raining!  

[chilly milly]

morning all don't know if any of you r fans of the doctor but the trailer for the next episode is out.

http://www.buzzfeed.com/donnad/first-real-trailer-for-doctor-who-50th-anniversary-special-j

 

just watched it

oh my god it looks so good

 

 

Me! Me! Me!  I can't wait.  Thanks Tom.

 

 

Oh and happy birthday Snow Raven.  Enjoy your day.

Edited November 9, 2013 by chilly milly

[Snowangel-MK]

Me! Me! Me!  I can't wait.  Thanks Tom.

 

 

Off topic I know but as there are quite a few of us Dr Who fans on here this Fan-Made “Doctor Who†50th Anniversary special trailer is AMAZING a crazy talented DW fan created a trailer for the show’s 50th Anniversary Special and it’s pretty much the greatest thing ever, seriously......

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HZXP9FMm9w4&src_vid=YD997i_89RM&feature=iv&annotation_id=annotation_412369

 

Oh, and just so there is something weather related in my post it's stopped raining here too  

Edited November 9, 2013 by MKsnowangel

[Reefseeker]

Very soggy and wet on Arbrook Common this afternoon - one very deep part of the track saw us both up to our ankles in wet mud, and the dog managed to cover his entire underbelly with the stuff to spread it all over the rear seats of the car on the journey home. 7 degree according to the car temperature. Let's hope some of the positive signs starting to appear on the models of a dry-out and then the elusive winter stuff keep showing right up to +0hrs:)

[Captain Shortwave]

CFS Christmas time again 

 

Precipitation - (-1) Dry until the New year approaches, then Atlantic domination

Temperature - (-2) South easterly winds would be pretty cold despite modest 850's (1-3C), turning milder as the Atlantic pushes in.

[john pike]

Hi all

Will update shortly

I can feel a bit of a ramp coming as well :-)

[JennyJane1]

rain was so icy i didn't go to town after all, maybe tomorrow

[shotski]

Hi all,

 

I have a good feeling about this winter and think we could see a cold end to November and possibly

going on into December.

 

although the pattern may look very zonal there is def a change on the way, the azures high keeps ridging

up towards greenland but at the moment is getting pushed back by the cold polar vortex. What we need

is for pressure to drop over iberia and southern europe and that in turn will support a rise in pressure to

the north of the uk ( flip flop)

 

JMA long range anomalies charts are showing this could happen in about 10 days time.

 

Happy sledging .

[Captain Shortwave]

Hi all

Will update shortly

I can feel a bit of a ramp coming as well :-)

I will let you show the GFS control run then 

[Neilsouth]

I was in Canterbury today and at about 2pm it looked like 5pm, dark and VERY VERY wet. It rained so much that it started to flood in some areas

[Bluebreezer54]

Good evening everyone. Happy Birthday Snow Raven , don't mind if I do.

 

Edging ever closer to the first frost of the season here in the outer suburbs with a minimum of 1.2c this morning, only climbing to 7.4c eventually. That was a nice little bonus for those of you further south who like a bit of thunder and lightning ( sorry Tamara ) but all we had here was rain. Hve a great weekend folks.

[john pike]

hi captain

 

you read my mind

 

 

messy ensembles

 

the blue line is the control run

 

its somewhere buried amongst the very cold runs after the 19th

[Ruthie]

Evening all, quite Parkie and a bit of mist started to develop here in the field. Time for steak n Chips. Cheers all!

[john pike]

heres the fax charts

 

tonight

 

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

rain on the way

 

temps

 

due to the rain temps should hold up

 

still around 5 degrees and locally a shade lower

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

after early morning rain clears it looks dry and sunny

 

temps

 

cold though

 

around 7-9 degrees

 

a very weak north westerly flow

 

possible fog am

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

sunday night

 

a windy south west flow

 

temps

 

starts cold but warms up overnight

 

rain

 

on the way but should stay dry until rush hour

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

monday

 

a breezy north westerly flow

 

temps

 

still calling 14-16 degrees

 

rainfall

 

heavy and slow moving

 

watch for possible flood warnings

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

monday night

 

a weak north westerly flow

 

temps

 

staying around 8-10 degrees but cooling down overnight

 

rainfall

 

still raining but looks to clear early morning as the colder air arrives

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tuesday

 

a weak north westerly flow

 

temps

 

cooler again

 

around 8-10 degrees

 

rainfall

 

 

shows rain in the far south east

 

i disagree here as the fax charts show dry

 

so thats my call

 

again watch to mist and fog patches being a problem

[greenhithe]

i have just has a look at metcheck forecast for the 20th and 21st november they are forcasting snow anybody here belive that....?

[john pike]

heres a cheeky ramp

 

 

[greenhithe]

heres a cheeky ramp

 

 

so they could be right then?

[john pike]

hi greenhithe

 

its possible

 

but would wait until the charts get into the reliable timeframe

 

preferably the fax range

 

makes the model runs interesting anyway

 

john

[tinybill]

evening all just had a quick look at  the  radar  rain heading  our way  again!!

[john pike]

wednesday

 

a light south westerly flow

 

looks dry

 

temps

 

around 14-16 again

[SHM040519]

I was in Canterbury today and at about 2pm it looked like 5pm, dark and VERY VERY wet. It rained so much that it started to flood in some areas

 

Whitefriars was flooded earlier - massive puddles and flooding. Very heavy rain, was heavy for a good 90 mins or so. Very bad conditions there were on road too! Wincheap bridge underneath was flooded! 

[ihatecoldweather]

i have just has a look at metcheck forecast for the 20th and 21st november they are forcasting snow anybody here belive that....?

That would be great   

[bluearmy]

i have just has a look at metcheck forecast for the 20th and 21st november they are forcasting snow anybody here belive that....?

 

metcheck's charts are derived from the gefs control run. that was a peach of a run on the 12z from a  coldie perspective.

[john pike]

 

thursday

 

a cold north west wind

 

temps

 

cold  7-9 degrees

 

there is some showers likely am as the trough showing runs across us

 

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

ukmo raw

 

 

bottom right

 

a very weak flow

 

temps around 14 degrees

 

looks dry but expect plenty of cloud with this set up