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Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2


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How is Eastern Europe into Russia cooling down compared to recent years? Has anyone taken a look? 

Quite similar to 2010 with Moscow having a mild October and even in November 2010 they only got properly cold in the last 3rd of November. So a similar pattern to this year. It will be interesting to see if Moscow get some extreme cold next 3 weeks. Charts are very similar to 2010 at present.

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Down for 2c max on Tuesday!!!

 

We're down for zero so could be our first ice-day, though if the sun peaks through at all before the snow arrives on the day then it might be a bit touch and go! 

Edited by NorthernRab
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Brain gaze, is renowned for fliping winter expectations/ forecasts, and does seem?! To have a slight bias regards mild outcomes. He must be respected,.However again he has been quite far off the mark regards winter predicts!! Previous.

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We're down for zero so could be our first ice-day, though if the sun peaks through at all before the snow arrives on the day then it might be a bit touch and go!

Gonna feel very cold. We may get an ice day if the showers are heavy and persistent. In the past thats how we got many of our ice days.
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How highly does everyone rate Brian Gaze from TWO? He is so biased towards mild and always like to put a dampener on all things cold. The man frustrates me!

 

He would annoy me then, maybe a bit like Gaz1985? one for the ignore list

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We're down for zero so could be our first ice-day, though if the sun peaks through at all before the snow arrives on the day then it might be a bit touch and go!

Gonna feel very cold. We may get an ice day if the showers are heavy and persistent. In the past thats how we got many of our ice days. Edited by smithyweather
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Gonna feel very cold. We may get an ice day if the showers are heavy and persistent. In the past thats how we got many of our ice days.

 

We get almost all of our ice days from freezing fog here, we're between two large bodies of water (Loch Ness and the Beauly Firth) and lie within the Great Glen.

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How highly does everyone rate Brian Gaze from TWO? He is so biased towards mild and always like to put a dampener on all things cold. The man frustrates me!

 

 If you read his thoughts on TWO in the Buzz section it is anything but mild he is calling it exactly what the models are showing

 

 Just imagine if he was screaming heavy snow and severe cold,he would be slated just like Madden

 

 C.S

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How highly does everyone rate Brian Gaze from TWO? He is so biased towards mild and always like to put a dampener on all things cold. The man frustrates me!

As far as forecasters go I think he's alright. Like all forecasters he's not always correct but he's certainly had success with some of his seasonal forecasts over the years. I don't think he has a bias towards mild either. He just calls it as he sees be it mild or cold. Edited by Don
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How bad would it be??

 

If we saw a chunk of the vortex, we would most likely see colder conditions and where deep cold uppers persist greater threat of convection- Wintry precipitation, I,E - Snow. 

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it can vary but i would expect minus double figures!!!!

Sounds good... I think Posted Image

If we saw a chunk of the vortex, we would most likely see colder conditions and where deep cold uppers persist greater threat of convection- Wintry precipitation, I,E - Snow. 

A lot of it I suspect!

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If we saw a chunk of the vortex, we would most likely see colder conditions and where deep cold uppers persist greater threat of convection- Wintry precipitation, I,E - Snow. 

We actually had a piece of the PV over the top of us in the winter of 2009/10 and December 2010.

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We actually had a piece of the PV over the top of us in the winter of 2009/10 and December 2010.

 

Which eventually lead to the coldest temperature I ever recorded here in SW Wales of -17c @10.30 in the morning on Xmas day.

 

post-2071-0-45465500-1384286146_thumb.gi

Edited by KTtom
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if the charts are correct, and that's a big if, going towards the end of the month the coldPosted Image  seems to be winning more and more, and yes I know its a long way out, but we can always hopePosted Image

Edited by irishlad69
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