Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2

[JK1]

 u.k will be like the tropics.

if only

[Gael_Force]

Gavin has provided the archive link for GFS runs for 2010 - here is the month of November as it actually happened (in the format of a chart run). Just click apres to get the second half of the month and into December.

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/archives/archives.php?day=1&month=11&hour=0&year=2010&map=4&mode=2

[Buriedundersnow]

heres 2010 and 2009 is further down the page

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77743-winter-20132014-forecastshopesdiscussion-thread/?p=2810458

[syed2878]

it can snow at a temps of 4c how ever it won't be setteling snow.

[Jax]

it can snow at a temps of 4c how ever it won't be setteling snow.

I may be wrong but that depends on the ground temp/dew point temp I thought?

[Buriedundersnow]

found this on twitter so its not only the Scottish highlands that has seen snow so far

 

DurhamCountyCouncil â€@DurhamCouncil 8h

We had our first recorded snowfall of the winter this morning at Lanehead in Weardale. pic.twitter.com/7VMQSgnmFD

 

 

[boywonder]

Teesdale country durham..Awesome view.

 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

it can snow at a temps of 4c how ever it won't be setteling snow.

 

Can only snow at 4c, from say late Feb to May, and can only be in a showery setup

[feb1991blizzard]

Some very decent GEFS members, some brief cold blasts as well as some pattern changers, met office not offering any conclusive predictions for end Nov as well, GEFS not necessarily pointing to cold as a whole suite but a real hotch potch, one consistent thing is the Aleutian ridge. Best suite this season anyway.

[boywonder]

Great dumping on cairngorms..they posted on facebook they are opening next weekend

 

Edited November 5, 2013 by boywonder

[feb1991blizzard]

ECM not playing ball YET though.

[Cheshire Freeze]

Some very decent GEFS members, some brief cold blasts as well as some pattern changers, met office not offering any conclusive predictions for end Nov as well, GEFS not necessarily pointing to cold as a whole suite but a real hotch potch, one consistent thing is the Aleutian ridge. Best suite this season anyway.

 

Still very much in the embryonic stages but I think a change may be on its way.

[feb1991blizzard]

Still very much in the embryonic stages but I think a change may be on its way.

 

Im nowhere near on board yet but that's the nature of this business, you have to start somewhere, the strat is the most concerning part of the recent output though.

[feb1991blizzard]

Quite like the end of the ECM the last 2 runs though.

[feb1991blizzard]

GEFS promising, showing decent signs as early as 180, not necessarily in this suite but, im certain within the next few days, some will start to dip below -10c 850mb temps. A few ecm ens go pretty cold on last nights 0z suite, as pointed out by someone on the model thread.

 

 

They just give you a glimmer then flatten everything again - *******  - ,  all about patience though.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited November 5, 2013 by feb1991blizzard

[Skullzrulerz]

Oh yes I have that! 

[Polar Maritime]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5jMftlGVx4k&feature=share

[smithyweather]

I don't even listen to Gibby's posts now. They are just so wrong for here now its not even funny. 

[Mark Neal.]

Express at it again!  

[Captain Shortwave]

 

 

 

 

6/10

Needs more purple   

[feb1991blizzard]

6/10

Needs more purple   

 

if we get purple over my area this winter on meteociel 850mb charts then I will be a very happy person.

 

As long as they verify.

Edited November 5, 2013 by feb1991blizzard

[Mark Neal.]

6/10

Needs more purple   

 

It ain't good enough need -8c uppers across the whole of the british isles! Otherwise just another dull northerly

[feb1991blizzard]

It ain't good enough need -8c uppers across the whole of the british isles! Otherwise just another dull northerly

 

Yes rubbish chart for 15th November, I bet you would turn that down if you could take verification now.  

[Mark Neal.]

Plenty more perturbations where that came from I bet

N.b sadly probably not as good as that one!

[feb1991blizzard]

Plenty more perturbations where that came from I bet

N.b sadly probably not as good as that one!

 

Yes, try this one.