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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 26/10/13 16z----->


A.J

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Posted
  • Location: Springhill, Wolverhampton
  • Location: Springhill, Wolverhampton

Going to be horrendous for the north west of the region today, worst is to come yet, south of the region though dry

Meant to be like this for the rest of the day then ?
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Posted
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)

Ahhh what a surprise, the most ideal wind direction to get the heavy stuff hitting us through the Cheshire Gap comes when it's to mild to be of any excitement.

Frequent heavy showers coupled with a strong and very gusty NW wind, rather chilly at 6.8c, if only it was 6 degrees or so colder!!!

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Posted
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow

Lovely clear air here today, sun and sky very sparkly. Bit blowy for me, but it's dry so far, so I'm not complaining. Discussions on the MO thread looking very interesting. Could we be getting our first few flakes next week?

Edited by picog
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Posted
  • Location: South Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: South Staffordshire

Afternoon guys, 

 

Just popping in to say - I'm back for the winter ride here in the Midlands thread! 

 

Looking forward to another winter of prozac and last minute shields. 

 

How is everyone? 

 

Next week looks decent for the time of year - I fancy some chilly days and hopefully some nice frosts, snow? I doubt it here, but if we can keep the cold who knows. 

 

Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL

Looking forward to another winter of prozac and last minute shields. 

 

How is everyone? 

 

Good to have you back again, Radders Posted Image

 

Bish

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Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands

I wonder if the latest gfs models will come true if so, we might be in with a chance of some of the wite stuff, and i know it will change but still nice to see in November, bring on the winter.Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level

Well, let's face it, we are usually the last region to join in with the party, so I'm not expecting much in the way of snow as yet, although no-one can ever say.

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Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL

Good to have you back again, Radders Posted Image

 

Bish

See - I'm not the only one crawling out of summer hibernation now there's a sniff of frost in the air! :)

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Posted
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)

Despite the clear skies there's not been much of a drop in temperature through the evening yet, here's hoping we get our first proper frost of the Autumn!!!

 

The pub run up to it's usual tricks for next week bringing in snowmageden for Tuesday Night :lol: if only!

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Posted
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level

Despite the clear skies there's not been much of a drop in temperature through the evening yet, here's hoping we get our first proper frost of the Autumn!!!

 

The pub run up to it's usual tricks for next week bringing in snowmageden for Tuesday Night Posted Image if only!

one of these days ay?

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Posted
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)

A Cheshire Gap flow like today's with Tuesday's uppers would be perfect, my cynical hat says the most likely setup is still a slack wishbone effect with a few sunny days and frosty nights followed by an easterly of some sorts with uppers to mild to be of use aka ECM & 18z low resolution, here's hoping i'm wrong though as this has been the best year for snow events in quite some time.

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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

A Cheshire Gap flow like today's with Tuesday's uppers would be perfect, my cynical hat says the most likely setup is still a slack wishbone effect with a few sunny days and frosty nights followed by an easterly of some sorts with uppers to mild to be of use aka ECM & 18z low resolution, here's hoping i'm wrong though as this has been the best year for snow events in quite some time.

 

Winds likely too westerly, with the snow showers going through Stockport into Derbyshire

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Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl

Winds likely too westerly, with the snow showers going through Stockport into Derbyshire

Thats what i like to hear...... Would like my first snow since i moved to glossop.....
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Posted
  • Location: Near Keele, North Staffs
  • Location: Near Keele, North Staffs

Winds likely too westerly, with the snow showers going through Stockport into Derbyshire

Even that now looks unlikely, quite a dramatic downgrading of the northerly.

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Posted
  • Location: stourport on severn, worcestershire 27m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: stourport on severn, worcestershire 27m asl

It is still autumn, got a good 3 months of winter left yet............

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Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands

So we finally get cross model agreement sods law its the greenland high disapearing and it setting up shop over the uk instead, Anymore downgrades and even the cold snap next week will be in danger but its only November lots more drama yet to be had.

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Posted
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)

No shocks really, ECM and UKMO jumped on board the downgrade train to, if this cold spell fails then this will go down as the most bland Autumn in my living memory.

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Posted
  • Location: Springhill, Wolverhampton
  • Location: Springhill, Wolverhampton

Still time for change folks...the odd wobble is always likely at this stage :) and let's face it...it could be a helluva lot worse!

Looks ok to me going to be chilly :) but I don't know who to listen to on the model thread all different posts
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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

I prefer the GFS 12Z, high pressure in FI (Wed onwards) not that wet/drizzly low pressure easterly on yesterdays runs, if the high centres over us, could be foggy/frosty and sunny

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Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands

Yep lets hope for some upgrades instead, I think the form horse is now for very cold with widespread frosts and dry but it can change. And if we dont get any snow from this cold snap we still have plenty of time and I sense this winter could be special the PV looks battered.

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Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl

Same old thing again really when it comes to cold spells (and before you stop reading, I mean that in a positive context!).

 

As with past cold spells, they look like they're going to be dry ones but as the cold air sinks in, little features and unknowns creep in that actually end up making it a decent cold spell. January 2010 springs to mind.

 

January 2013 was different, we knew we had a good chance of a lot snow then. There seemed to be a lot to potentially lose in that one (and we didn't lose here, it ended up pretty good!). Situations like this we can only gain, particularly in November. And if all else fails, this won't be one of years when we're having to wait until December for the first frost. That unpopular statistic has been thwarted already!

 

2013 is already a good weather year with a cold 2nd half of Winter and Spring, warm Summer and stormy Autumn. And now even before the 1st December there's forecasts to interest us!

Edited by Gord
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Posted
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)
  • Location: Madrid, Spain (Formerly Telford)

Bleurgh yet ANOTHER overcast grim miserable day to add to the countless number there's been since August, the downgrades to the cold spell don't come as a surprise, everything of remote excitement this Autumn has turned into stratocumulus and drizzle.

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