The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 26/10/13 16z----->

[Summer of 95]

Still raining, got heavier last hour, is that front stuck? No dry day for Tuesday either, 34 days and counting...

[Bishop Brennan]

Still raining, got heavier last hour, is that front stuck? No dry day for Tuesday either, 34 days and counting...

 

Do you know if 34 consecutive rain days is a record for your area yet? If not, must be getting pretty close.

 

Bish

[TonyH]

Still raining, got heavier last hour, is that front stuck? No dry day for Tuesday either, 34 days and counting...

Was Sunday Not dry there?

[Summer of 95]

Was Sunday Not dry there?

Not until midnight, no- bear in mind I am talking calendar days (although 0900-0900 Sun/Mon didnt manage it either). Not sure what Shawbury will show, last Monday might have been dry there as we were plagued by localised showers in a very narrow band. About 3 or 4 days would only show 0 point something mm as all we got was drizzle.

 

It's certainly the longest run I can remember, we have had months with 25+ days but I can't remember more than 20 or so in a row before.

[Dancerwithwings]

Not to bad here plenty of bubbly cloud around but also the sun is showing its face from time to time with a stiff breeze i must add.

 

We've all had enough of this rain by now but regarding the N/W of our region and especially 'Summer of 95'

34 days is bloody outrageous all i can say is you've certainly got the Charlie Brown thing going on up there

[I remember Atlantic 252]

I am still expecting Thursday to be an absolute washout for the north, north west, and NE of the region, that pressure chart looks vile

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Very squelchy, and after Thursday's rain, will be even squelchier

[Midlands Ice Age]

First airfrost comin up??

Down to 1.9C here close to central Solihull.

Surely cant miss this time!

Oh yes and the squelchiness is turning hard>>>>>>

 

MIA

[Wadey]

Anybody else feel like we're actually having seasons this year or just me ?

[Adzyy]

Anybody else feel like we're actually having seasons this year or just me ?

I was actually discussing this with someone earlier strangely enough. I do feel that we are. Which has to be a good thing.

[Summer of 95]

Clear skies since dusk, no cloud near us on the Sat pics, surely an air frost tonight????

 

Temperatures on the MO site still seem reluctant to fall, with most of the Midlands around 3C still at 2200.

[Bishop Brennan]

First airfrost comin up??

Down to 1.9C here close to central Solihull.

Surely cant miss this time!

Oh yes and the squelchiness is turning hard>>>>>>

 

MIA

 

Yes our first frost of the season here, we got down to -1.1C eventually 

 

Bish

[Dancerwithwings]

GOT DOWN  TO   0.6C ... Last night .....My First....Frost

 

Next week is starting to look very interesting, Could be having the start of winter....

Sod it....I'm not keeping it in any longer

Edited November 13, 2013 by Dancerwithwings

[I remember Atlantic 252]

looks colder next week, at least some of it, ECMWF not too great though -4 uppers will not produce snow here

 

just want tomorrow's north Midlands washout out of the way

[Gord]

Yep, first frost here last night.

 

Another Autumn box ticked from the things I'd expect from this season.

 

In fact, think i've got the full Autumn set ticked now.

 

Warm early Autumn days...tick

Crisp bright days...tick

Stormy weather....tick

Autumnal thunderstorm...tick (although saw that in the Lake District!)

Stupid amounts of rain on one day/night...tick

Thick fog....tick

and now...

Frosty night...tick

 

That'll do...

 

...you may start winter now.

[BlueHedgehog074]

Just need a tick for snow now (if it's the kind of weather you're after). (Edit: and also that other tick triple_x1 mentioned above if you haven't had an Autumnal thunderstorm yet).

 

Next week could produce something wintry for the Midlands, particularly for higher areas of the region, although whether it will be cold enough and whether their will be much precipitation around is still to be decided. I suppose the exact type of flow we get will be crucial as well (but it looks like we could get a flow between the North-West - could be good for a Cheshire gap shower setup - and a flow to the North-East).

Edited November 13, 2013 by DiagonalRedLine

[conor123]

A day of two halves today, lovely crisp sunny morning (surprisingly almost no frost here for some reason despite a 0.3c low) followed by a miserable grey afternoon.

[Dancerwithwings]

With the 12z ECM showing -6 850hpa and the 12z GFS even lower at -9 there's some very cold air in the forecast for next week, Especially for this time of the year

When you look at these charts, You have to pinch yourself

 

 

 

Regarding precipitation well we won't really know much about that till we are nearer the time, Looking forward to keeping an eye on the FAX CHARTS

But with the cold air in place anything can happen   Anyway some very interesting times ahead.

[Ian Brown]

looks colder next week, at least some of it, ECMWF not too great though -4 uppers will not produce snow here

 

just want tomorrow's north Midlands washout out of the way

 

 

Yes, looks pretty grim for us tomorrow especially in the morning.

[Dancerwithwings]

Nice one ^

Big shower currently sittng mid Wales, approaching borders..I mean big!

Storm chasers head for Wales......  ((((alert)))) a tornado is imminent

[Summer of 95]

Just light/moderate showers here this evening, clear now but still the wait for a rain-free day goes on.

[Bishop Brennan]

Moderate rain shower alert.

 

lol that made me chuckle..............not exactly the most urgent alert we've ever been issued with! 

 

Some beefy looking showers heading into the north of the region right now.

 

Bish

[Wadey]

Horrible morning in wombourne not a good morning to be working outdoors

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Horrible morning in wombourne not a good morning to be working outdoors

 

Going to be horrendous for the north west of the region today, worst is to come yet, south of the region though dry

[TonyH]

I enjoy these sunny intervals and hefty showers days with their hail and cumulonimbi. Classic Cheshire Gap for the West Midlands.

Edited November 14, 2013 by TonyH