South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 26/10/13

[Essex Chelle]

My best friend is lovely but she isnt listening to me, She wants to travel to Deal tomorrow morning 6am from Wickford - thats if she even gets across to kent!!!!!!!! 

[Jason T]

Its getting really windy now,Trees really going for it out the back. 

[Croydondazz]

Can guarantee a deep depression moving from Charlton to Dartford around 5pm, if Charlton lose this afternoon.Any idea what I should wear, rain coat or tea shirt for sitting in the stand at the valley?

How about a red and blue scarf

[NO LONGER POSTING]

http://www.sat24.com/

 

looking more and more menacing

[yamkin]

Ah well, I was wrong about moving the amber but right about not issuing a red. Guess they are bearing 87 in mind and that last minute change in track which could still happen over night.

 

Red Alert can not be issued at present. This will be reviewed from midnight

[Chloe]

Wind has already picked up in the last few hours took a walk through the park but made a quick exit as some large branches already down not looking forward to when it hits hard.

[Wet'n'Dry]

driving to Southend for my dads 70th. driving back around 7ish....should be ok?

 

I'm going there later to sit on the seafront with my camera, your best off taking the A13, the A127 is likely to be a dangerous place with so many trees lining it, but saying that, 7pm may be ok!

[lottiekent]

Red Alert can not be issued at present. This will be reviewed from midnight

From midnight?! Everyone will be in bed! Well, everyone who is not us lot looking at every update, chart, weather recording that is

[Wet'n'Dry]

Wind gust here of 12mph, although I suspect it's more.

 

Any advances on that?

[Sidsnake]

Have moved all the sheep and the horse also.... Getting gusty at times down here.

[Team Jo]

You can check the gusts here .... http://www.xcweather.co.uk

Already windy here

[hernebaylooby]

Well thats me sorted for tonight

[london-snow]

Already very windy here in sw london.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

As posted in the storm thread.. the low is already 6mb lower than forecast for this time..

[anything-but]

As posted in the storm thread.. the low is already 6mb lower than forecast for this time..

 

Take it the lower actual pressure compared to the progged one would give it a little more tilt northwards?

[Snowangel-MK]

As I see it nothing has really changed then the Met O warnings and weather impact matrix remain the same as they were yesterday and we just need to be prepared and wait and see what happens.....

[john pike]

this is what i am looking at and again its annoying as its between runs

 

very strong winds for all probably excluding yarmouth area

 

although that at present would be where very heavy rain would be

 

now the next frame

 

monday lunchtime

 

has the low cleared

 

still windy but nothing like earlier

 

now look at the southern flank of the low on the above fax chart

 

you can see how very tight the isobars are

 

now from 06-12 run the low heads rapidly north east

 

the bit between we cannot see how tight these isobars will be when it hits

 

the far north east of our region

 

i hope we will see this on the late charts but there is a chance

 

this in the end could be a nowcast situation

[Charltonkerry]

How about a red and blue scarf

Good one, but don't think it would happen do you :-)

[Captain Shortwave]

As posted in the storm thread.. the low is already 6mb lower than forecast for this time..

Yep looks like the NAE might be on the money

the word fiddlesticks comes to mind

Ok a lot ruder word than fiddlesticks 

 

very strong winds for all probably excluding yarmouth area

        

Edited October 27, 2013 by Captain shortwave

[abruzzi spur]

Windy on Poppit Sands this morning, quite a big sea running, high tide, spray being blown backwards off the wavetops.  Sunshine and showers, beautiful light. Sand being whipped along in dry, twisting rivulets.  And this is just a normal blowy Welsh Autumn day!

 

AS

Edited October 27, 2013 by abruzzi spur

[john pike]

hi captain

 

only the first part

 

its when the storm shifts north east you may get

 

the worst of it

 

probably look different again on the next runs

[Captain Shortwave]

hi captain

 

only the first part

 

its when the storm shifts north east you may get

 

the worst of it

 

probably look different again on the next runs

Sorry I couldn't help myself. The main models look to be very wrong on the development of the low already with it much deeper than forecast. I think the NAE might be the closest at the moment, plus weatheronline have it in 3 hour steps

Surely the Dartford crossing would be closed with a severe gale cross wind

Edited October 27, 2013 by Captain shortwave

[loopydreamer]

Sorry I couldn't help myself. The main models look to be very wrong on the development of the low already with it much deeper than forecast. I think the NAE might be the closest at the moment, plus weatheronline have it in 3 hour steps

Surely the Dartford crossing would be closed with a severe gale cross wind

 

WOAH!!! ... This storm could end up being one to remember for us guys in the south. I've finished work so I'm here to stay glued to the models... absolutely fascinated at what could happen here

[john pike]

hi captain

 

i know your kidding

 

thanks for that

 

the last chart you having showing is the concerning one as it goes north est

 

lets see what the later ones show

 

surprised all the talk of downgrades etc

 

not looking much different for us at present

[legrandefromage]

the storm thread has descended into toy and pram throwing when perhaps they should be worrying more about toy & pram debris hitting off their thick heads...