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Possible severe storm Monday 28th October 2013 Part 2


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Posted
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL

    Short of taking a chainsaw to them tomorrow, not a lot. If you want to avoid the netting getting damaged, could you take it down temporarily?

    It has been nailed to a fence below it so it isn't an option, thanks for the reply.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yeovil, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Severe t/ storms, rain, snow, wind!
  • Location: Yeovil, Somerset

    Think I'm just in the purple zone...stay safe all x

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    Posted
  • Location: Ireland
  • Location: Ireland

    18Z GFS quite...different. Seems to develop double lows with energy shared between them? Looks a little unlikely, maybe the model struggling a bit?

    Edited by radiohead
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  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL

    Front cover of sunday express tomorrow:

    post-18097-0-13829800-1382823446_thumb.j

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  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level

    Oh dear, don't say it's going to downgrade massively!! ><

     

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

    18z GFS says, 'Storm? What storm?'

     

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    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    Yep, quite a shift south on the latest GFS! Although this may alter next run again, a slight change could make a huge difference with this system. Really is going to go down to the wire.

    The hilarious thing is that if this solution is right, my poached Monday morning egg would be smeared and tarnished across the whole media network!!

    Edited by East_England_Stormchaser91
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  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire

    Oh dear, don't say it's going to downgrade massively!! ><

     

     

     

    Posted Image

     

    Entirely possible. I said a couple of days ago it could just be a wave feature with the strongest winds over N France and far S coastal counties.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level

    Anyone else want to throw their toys out too? Ready? All of us at once? 1.......2........3... :-D

     

    If this update is right, the Met office are going to be massively discredited :-(

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

    Oh dear, don't say it's going to downgrade massively!! ><

     

     

     

    Posted Image

     

    Yeah, looks worse on this run much wetter, downgrade

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    Posted
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL

    12Z:post-18097-0-05213000-1382823728_thumb.p

     

    18Z: post-18097-0-28659000-1382823747_thumb.p

     

    Isobars in 18Z are nowhere near as tight as the 12Z.

     

    While to the SW/W/NW the isobars are actually quite spaced out, what's going on?

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  • Location: Weardale 300m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Weardale 300m asl

    Indeed, yes we have no control over Mother Nature and I guess, with climate change, the reality of more severe weather having an impact is increasing.

     

    So you've not heard of the Great Storm of 26th November 1703 — right in the middle of the Little Ice Age?

     

    http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/climate/1700_1749.htm

     

    Just like now, the lead up to the storm was unseasonably warm and humid.

     

    Climate changes all the time — we're currently in an interglacial epoch.

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  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

    Anyone else want to throw their toys out too? Ready? All of us at once? 1.......2........3... :-D

     

    If this update is right, the Met office are going to be massively discredited :-(

     

    Mainly good news really for people wanting to get to work on Monday morning.

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    Posted
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Study: University of Reading - Home: Keynsham, Bristol 40m ASL

    I can almost say that's a dodgy run, comparing them to other models.

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    Posted
  • Location: Braintree, Essex. 150 feet (46 m) above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: T/Storms, Snow, Extreme Rain, Anything out of the ordinary!
  • Location: Braintree, Essex. 150 feet (46 m) above sea level

    Front cover of sunday express tomorrow:

    Posted Image1379793_525939287495492_896910645_n.jpg

     

    Thats the way...nice and calming headline as usual from the Sunday "Panic Attack" Express.....sadly not a surprise

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    Posted
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms,Hot `n` sunny!
  • Location: Cuxton,Kent.

    Would that be a "double yolker"? Could it be the 2 lows of equal progged strength or diluted between the 2?

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    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE

    Anyone else want to throw their toys out too? Ready? All of us at once? 1.......2........3... :-D If this update is right, the Met office are going to be massively discredited :-(

    Why? This low was always going to be a nightmare to forecast, what are the UKMO supposed to do when all the models progged a storm? They had no choice but to put up warnings, anyway I'd wait till tomorrow because you can see the volatility with this if you get this much difference between outputs.
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    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

    for anyone who would like to learn a bit about meteorology as it happens go to the wetter or Net Wx equivalent and toggle between the surface chart and the 300mb wind flow, the purple show where the jet is, move it out to T+48 and notice how the surface low moves from the south side of the jet to the north, notice also when and where the major deepening occurs. You may see some of us talking about right entrance and left exit of jet streams being where surface systems deepen most rapridly. This is an instance where you can actually see it happening. See also the link below which is the infra red movie of the cloud systems over the Atlantic from Newfoundland into Europe. Not at about 2100 hours today the bright white strip south or about 50N running in from the far west. That is the jet.

     

    http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level

    Mainly good news really for people wanting to get to work on Monday morning.

    True but can you imagine the backlash??!!

     

    The Met Office wouldn't put out such definite alerts if they didn't think something was going to happen?

     

    Then again, the 18z might have been on the ale again.

     

    Let's just see what happens in FI, if there's either a super storm or a brutal north easterly, we can take it with a pinch of salt. :-D

     

    I'm actually laughing right now :-P

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