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South West & Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/10/13 15z ------>


A.J

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

Am I right in thinking that the worst will be over for us by lunchtime Monday?

 

Hello all by the way, long time, no type Posted Image

it does seem to be getting pushed back by several hours and not pushing through quite as quickly.

 

so impact would be worse for obvious reasons, and rainfall would surely be higher?

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL

it does seem to be getting pushed back by several hours and not pushing through quite as quickly.

 

so impact would be worse for obvious reasons, and rainfall would surely be higher?

 

Has it a chance to deepen further if it is indeed slowed down?

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Posted
  • Location: North Somerset, UK
  • Location: North Somerset, UK

deepening quickly 36 on the GFS 18z

Posted Image

5mb deeper than the 12z at 60

Posted Image

and exiting at 66

Posted Image

is it just me or are we now talking monday morning rather than the small hours of monday?

Timing issues remain our current concern. 00Z suites critical.
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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

Has it a chance to deepen further if it is indeed slowed down?

logic to me would say yes, however I'm no expert and totally rely on the more experienced members of this wonderful forum community. I merely say what I see. 

 

however I predict 7 foot snow drifts in January for you Mulls Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL

logic to me would say yes, however I'm no expert and totally rely on the more experienced members of this wonderful forum community. I merely say what I see. 

 

however I predict 7 foot snow drifts in January for you Mulls Posted Image

 

Welcome to my Christmas card list.. Posted Image

 

I still think it looks like worst is going to be towards southern coasts and Kent way looking at it.

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

It's going to be bad enough through the night without adding rush hour concerns to it. 

 

I HAVE to go out to an appointment on Monday and I really don't fancy driving over the levels with that storm going on.

 

The only plus of it being during the day is that I will get sleep and not have to venture out in the dark to storm chase, I can set my alarm for 4am and head out!

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

Just a quick good luck to everyone! Best be prepared for the worst just incase! Ill be in the Garden tomorrow putting things away! Im worried about my Solar Panels though!

 

Yes, I'm packing all away that I can, I know my fence will fall over as I constructed it. Top tip, if you have a glass table, turn it upside down, putting it against a wall is not the answer, updraft will pick it up and fling it across your garden. 

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Just a quick good luck to everyone! Best be prepared for the worst just incase! Ill be in the Garden tomorrow putting things away! Im worried about my Solar Panels though!

May have been a better idea to invest in wind turbines Posted Image

 

In all seriousness though, stay safe everyone.

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

night all, im off to get some sleep while i can!

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Posted
  • Location: Louth, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Misty Autumn days and foggy nights
  • Location: Louth, Lincolnshire

As a side note, Monday Morning's high tide could see some impressive wave heights in places like Bournemouth or Lyme Regis.  Although we're in a period of neap tides, the longer cross-sea fetch, general low pressure and the wind speed on Monday morning could see wave heights of 5 metres or more somewhere along the south-west coast.  Possibly higher, depending on undersea topography.

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Posted
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Thornbury, South Glos

Ian Fergusson â€@fergieweather 6h

W COUNTRY #ukstorm Latest UKMO analysis consistent w previous broadcasts: 60-70mph gusts inland SW/W Country; & now adding 30% Prob 80-90mph

Batten down the hatches!!

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

@fergieweather: W COUNTRY: Morning all. Latest UKMO analysis still v similar for Sun-Mon. Strongest winds still expected Lyme Bay/Dorset/S Som (70-80+mph)..

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Posted
  • Location: Kilmersdon Radstock Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: None Really but a snow lover deep down
  • Location: Kilmersdon Radstock Somerset

SOMERSET & BANES 5 DAY FORECAST

 

5 DAY FORECAST ISSUED AT 08:00HRS ON SATURDAY OCTOBER 26TH 2013

 

Through Saturday fresh West or SW brings will bring a lot of dry and bright weather but there could be some showery rain in places at first and late in the day a spell of heavier and squally rain will cross East through the area followed by clear intervals and squally showers later this evening. Temperatures will reach 15C this afternoon before the rain arrives.

 

 Tonight will be very windy and showery with some of the showers heavy and thundery with hail but short-lived as they are blown along rapidly in the strong WSW wind. It will feel colder tonight with temperatures near 8C by dawn.

 

Sunday will be bright and very breezy with frequent squally and heavy showers with strong Westerly winds and just brief and fleeting bright or sunny intervals. It will feel chilly in the wind. Late in the day winds will increase to storm force and it will become very wet overnight.

 

Monday could potentially be very stormy as a vigorous Low tracks across Wales early in the day with the potential for storm force winds and very heavy rain for a time followed by squally showers. Some structural damage may occur to trees and vulnerable buildings especially over higher ground and transport may be disrupted. Winds will die down after lunch with sunshine and squally showers likely to end the day.

 

Tuesday will see the storms having long subsided but it will remain very windy with showers and sunny spells and rather cold weather.

 

Wednesday will see brisk Westerly winds and rather cloudy weather with the chance of some rain but there will be some drier spells and though breezy it will be far less windy than at the beginning of the week.

 

Compiled By Martin Gibbs

 

NEXT UPDATE AT 19:00 HRS ON SATURDAY OCTOBER 26TH 2013

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Guest William Grimsley

It was wet and mild with a strong wind yesterday, here. High Rainfall Rate Yesterday: 21.0 mm/hr 00:59 High Hourly Rainfall Yesterday: 6.4 mm 02:48 Rainfall Yesterday: 19.6 mm High Temperature Yesterday: 16.5°C 13:35 High Wind Gust Yesterday: 35 mph 13:50 High Wind Speed Yesterday: 16 mph 13:40.

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Posted
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton

Ok guys, how do I tie my trampoline down?!

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat Waves, Tornadoes.
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol

Ok guys, how do I tie my trampoline down?!

Turn it upside down?

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

Ok guys, how do I tie my trampoline down?!

 

most of my friends have trampolines, I'm not sure but I could bounce it past them if you like...................?  

 

I'll get my coat....Posted Image

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Posted
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton

Turn it upside down?

I can't.... It has the high sides on it. I'm thinking rock pegs and baler twine from the farm might do the trick!
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Posted
  • Location: Warminster (Wiltshire)
  • Weather Preferences: what's the bloody point when you live in Britain
  • Location: Warminster (Wiltshire)

One thing is for sure, there's going to be a lot of trees down, as the leaves haven't fallen yet

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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL

I can't.... It has the high sides on it. I'm thinking rock pegs and baler twine from the farm might do the trick!

 

Can you not just take the cover off?

 

Looks like worst is going south of us anyway.

 

Out of interest do you think it will be first time we could see a red warning on the warning matrix?

Edited by mullender83
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Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL

We've had red before (for rain: night of the Beaminster tunnel tragedy).

 

Was that upgraded to a red on the event though or just before it was taking place unlike this one?

 

This one would give people 24 hours or more notice ahead of the winds although I have to say even my workplace which is quite dangerous in windy weather, they would not pay any attention unless major destruction was occurring on site at the time.

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