South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/09/13 ------------>

[Croydondazz]

monday

 

dry and warm

 

temps around 20-24 degrees

 

all subject to cloudcover

 

 

seen worse

Thanks as always jp

[Crepuscular Ray]

Clearing here, but no dew yet. I don't imagine it will be long, though, given the RH.

Edited October 2, 2013 by Crepuscular Ray

[Tamara]

Acerbic, sarcastic and pseudo intellectualised comments aside about tomorrows weather , roll on the weekend and next weeks fine weather before the hours in the day succumb to minimal daylight (whatever the weather)

[Snowangel-MK]

It's looking to me we are going to miss quite a bit of the action tomorrow. Only the far West of the region catching something ' torrential ' again the low to our South West has been forcast too far East

 

We missed the action today as well.....you had to be in Ireland for that, they only went and got themselves a Tornado in Galway, tis the luck of the Irish for you  

 

 

Video https://www.facebook...&type=2

 

" I aint chasn no tornado "   

Edited October 2, 2013 by MKsnowangel

[Bluebreezer54]

That Galway video was a good find MK, it certainly looks as though it was more than just a funnel cloud

 

Well for the 2nd night in succesion I was rudely awoken  at 2am by the sound of railway maintenance work being carried out just yards from my bedroom window. Pneumatic drills, workmen shouting above the din, then engineering trains going back and forth. The amount of work being carried out on this section of track is ridiculous, it's been going on for 3 or 4 years now on and off, with no end in sight.

 

I consoled myself by watching this particular gem on BBC I - Player though. ' The Great British Year ', first episode was shown on BBC 1 last night

( Wednesday October 2nd ) at 9pm and covers winter. Whatever you may think of the BBC they are top notch when it comes to programmes like this and I'm sure it will appeal to a good many of you folk.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p01db15t/The_Great_British_Year_Winter/

 

 

Just to drag my post back on topic, it's another mild and humid night here, currently 14c with not a breath of wind. I see the main storm threat seems to have shifted further west, but our region may be in with a shout later in the day. Whatever your weather preference, have a good Thursday.

[ZONE 51]

If the main storm threat.. err no that is not treat...well for some... depends...I mean if it is more west then we complain when its more east so what is the problem? if the convective activity runs up the system then as it shift this way then more chance of catching something interesting or letting something up in front of it?

[Jason T]

Morning all. Rain inbound with quite a light show,Some very heavy precip in that lot. Take care and enjoy your day.

 

 

http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur&lightning=1

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Those are 2 very big cells! Direct hit if they stay on that path

[Mark Neal.]

Dry with thick cloud here. Tis foggy this morning in the shire, stormy later?

[chilly milly]

Morning all!  There is a certain brightness to the sky here this morning. Temp is 13.4c under cloudy skies.

 

Have a day y'all.

[Norfolk Sheep]

Morning all

 

Looks like yet another nice day here, the amount of gardening I've got through in the last 2 weks is astonishng   However, some rain wouldn't go amiss but I feel that it probably won't amount to very much...

[Coast]

Good morning all!

 

The irony of this is not lost on me:

 

 

National Poetry Day: 'Water, water everywhere'

 

‘Water’ is the subject of this year’s National Poetry Day, Thursday 3 October, inspired by Coleridge’s mariner’s famous cry: “Water, water, everywhereâ€. 

 

 

http://www.poetrysociety.org.uk/content/info/npd/

 

So here's a contribution for today:

 

How beautiful is the rain!

After the dust and heat,

In the broad and fiery street,

In the narrow lane,

How beautiful is the rain!

How it clatters along the roofs

Like the tramp of hoofs!

How it gushes and struggles out

From the throat of the overflowing spout!

Across the window-pane

It pours and pours;

And swift and wide,

With a muddy tide,

Like a river down the gutter roars

The rain, the welcome rain!

 

Henry Wadsworth Longfellow (1807-1882)

[Coast]

From the UKASF forecast for today:

 

Most models then simulate a second round of elevated showers/thunderstorms across southern counties towards evening, running northeast towards coastal parts of East Anglia and the southern North Sea during the late evening and early hours of Friday. Given strong ThetaE gradient/ridge and 600-800J/kg MLCAPE, this appears to have better potential for more widespread/frequent lightning activity, and it is possible we may consider to upgrade Kent and East Sussex to a MDT if conditions still look favourable during Thursday. These cells may produce hail up to 2.0cm in diameter, and strong, gusty winds. While the majority of showers/storms will be rooted above the boundary layer, if a surface-based storm could develop then it may benefit from sufficient DLS and LLS, with perhaps supercell-like characteristics and a potential for a tornado.

 

http://ukasf.co.uk/storm-forecasts/284

 

[RUSH]

morning alll

 

not to bad so far this morn not to cool,patchy sunshine, .getting ready for the rain later,and the rain must be on its way,the bird song in my garden have gone crazey.

 

From the UKASF forecast for today:

 

 

http://ukasf.co.uk/storm-forecasts/284

 

 

i wounder how far east the storms will come ,ill let you know when and if i get a flash and a cap.i do like stroms we shall see

[Coast]

i wounder how far east the storms will come ,ill let you know when and if i get a flash and a cap.i do like stroms we shall see

 

Well, if the NMM TT index is any indication:

 

[Captain Shortwave]

 

From the UKASF forecast for today:

 

 

http://ukasf.co.uk/storm-forecasts/284

 

 

So these storms are going to miss us east then as usual. 

[MP-R]

Even here could get a direct hit if that more easterly cell carries on in a straight line. Looks like a wet later-on coming up - I'm looking forward to it considering the rather uneventful weather that's going to follow.

[chionomaniac]

Looks like the first cell of the day has developed and is about to hit Bognor. Not thundery (yet).

[snow raven]

Top o' the mornin' to ya all  (yes yes, I know a terrible attempt of an Irish accent)

 

A lovely morning here - clear blue skies and sunshine - would be nice if it could stay like this all day!

[Paul Ashford]

Blue sky and sunny here, as snow raven mentioned 'it would be nice if it could stay like this' but alas...

[NO LONGER POSTING]

More cells firing!

 

[Sussex Jules]

Met Office updated warning can't link as am on phone.

[Tom Quintavalle]

Morning all,

 

The situation over France at the moment.

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/

 

http://www.meteox.co.uk/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur&lightning=1

 

KCZ.

[Methuselah]

Already 17.1, here in England's boring corner...

[Coast]

Met Office updated warning can't link as am on phone.

 

Here you go Jules:

 

 

Issued at - 03 Oct 2013, 08:45

Valid from - 03 Oct 2013, 09:00

Valid to - 04 Oct 2013, 08:00

 

Further outbreaks of heavy, thundery, rain will spread from the south during Thursday and overnight into Friday with the potential for some torrential downpours in places. 

 

The public should aware of the risk of localised flooding.

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html