South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 17/09/13 ------------>

[80sWeather]

Drizzle, has to be the most pointless weather avaliable.

[chilly milly]

40...

 

 

40!

 

The grey cloud matches my mood 

 

Happy 40th!

 

Have a sparkling day.

[abruzzi spur]

Uniformly grey in Brighton now.  Quite a breeze as we hacked around the Roedean cafe pitch and putt, followed by unhealthy and delicious bacon/sausage/egg* sarnies (*delete as appropriate). 

 

AS

Edited September 21, 2013 by abruzzi spur

[Mark Neal.]

Cloudy, Murky day here with the wind picking up now.A far cry from yesterdays sunshine, still some time for it to break through. Temperature 17.4c. Wind 8mph S

[Jan_Bromley]

Uniform grey skies here. Oh well, maybe the sun was having a practise run last night so it get's it right for next week

[Nick.F]

Um rain, not what I would call a nice day

[Steve C]

Um rain, not what I would call a nice day

 

I think today was always a dubious one in our area (as alluded to by JP, when he mentioned the troublesome warm front) Tomorrow looks way better.

[Captain Shortwave]

Nice day here, the sun is still out. Warm too at 19C

Edited September 21, 2013 by Captain shortwave

[Neilsouth]

I'm cold, it's cloudy, slight breeze

 

meh

[abruzzi spur]

Well, not been that blistering in Brighton today. About 45 minutes of sunny-ish between 9 and 10am then the cloud filled in and it has remained overcast all day with brief outbreaks of drizzle (can you have an 'outbreak' of something so feeble?). Still, we have been out and about most of the day, picked some blackberries, played very bad pitch and putt, saw a bird of prey, removed hundreds of thistle seeds from the dog, and picked 2 whole sloes!

It's a crazy life I lead.

AS

Edited September 21, 2013 by abruzzi spur

[Tamara]

Its turned from beige to grey through the afternoon, but remained a short sleeve blouse and no cardie day for me whilst out today

[Mark Neal.]

Sun has pushed through and its now even more pleasant out there, wind from the West though at 8mph. Warm though 19c. 

[Methuselah]

Damp and warm, 17.5C...

[abruzzi spur]

Morning all,Off to the jewellery quarter this morning, I may be gone for sometime !- enjoy your weekend peeps :-)

As Captain Oates (almost) said!

[Crepuscular Ray]

According to the MetO, it reached 18.7 C near here. It certainly didn't feel that warm and has been grey all day.

[Steve C]

Clear skies here now and Arcturus is near the western horizon - someone questioned this a few days ago - follow the curve of the handle of the

Plough ( away from the main part of the constellation ) and you'll see it. It's the brightest star visible from our part of the World, apart from Sirius, and is orange in colour, being a red giant star.

 

Very mild too. No more than a t-shirt needed for a late stroll. I'll certainly enjoy the warm weather while it's here.

Edited September 22, 2013 by Steve C

[john pike]

hi all

 

a tad dreary today

 

lets see if we can get some sun in the next few days

 

fax update that i have

 

tomorrow

 

a weak east south easterly

 

after a misty start

 

cloud should ease and there should be some sunny spells

 

however some areas could stay similar to today

 

temps

 

somewhere around 20 degrees

and starting to feel humid late in the day

 

should stay dry but a small chance of some cloud incoming from the south to give some very light drizzly bits

 

overnight dry and fairly warm

 

fog poss on the south coastal and far south east coastal areas

 

 

monday

 

a very weak southerly flow

 

temps

 

this i feel will be our warmest day

 

should be around 22-25 degrees and a better chance of seeing the sun (typical monday )

 

staying dry with less cloud around

 

 

overnight

 

warm dry and misty

 

tuesday

 

a variable flow but mainly southerly

 

staying dry

 

cloud again becoming an issue

 

temps

 

20-22 degrees maybe a shade higher if the sun gets out

 

more to follow

[john pike]

wednesday

 

a mainly variable flow

 

south east -south west

 

looks dry although cannot rule out the odd shower moving up from the south

 

temps

around 18 degrees

 

 

thursday

 

a very weak south to south east flow

 

fog risk on the up again

 

got a feeling this looks cloudy again and watch the front to our north-north east

 

temps

18-22 degrees  spread again due to cloud cover

 

ukmo for 144

long way out and expect adjustments

 

still looks ok for us but looks likely changes are afoot after this

[abruzzi spur]

Just been out for a last minute walk with the dog along the sea front in Brighton, down the quiet end towards the marina, No wind to speak of any more but plenty of trainee sea fog auditioning for its first full-time Autumn and Winter role.  Not doing a bad job, impressively moody, slightly lightweight but with lots of potential. Sea Fog (not the greatest name),,,,,,It's a yes from me!

[Captain Shortwave]

Lovely clear night here at the moment, the moon shining brightly, hope it stays clear too. Somewhere managed 24C today which was unexpected and if the skies are clear tomorrow round here we could easily get higher than that with a little luck 

Also, potential plume at the end of the week?

 

When that low phases with the jet it could send a lot of warm humid air our way and perhaps some thunderstorms???

Very uncertain but worth watching, interesting to see the ECM in particular trying to make the south hold on to the warm air all week.

[abruzzi spur]

Lovely clear night here at the moment, the moon shining brightly, hope it stays clear too. Somewhere managed 24C today which was unexpected and if the skies are clear tomorrow round here we could easily get higher than that with a little luck 

Also, potential plume at the end of the week?

 

When that low phases with the jet it could send a lot of warm humid air our way and perhaps some thunderstorms???

Very uncertain but worth watching, interesting to see the ECM in particular trying to make the south hold on to the warm air all week.

 

Thanks Cap'n, well put and full of optimism, can't ask for much more than that at Saturday midnight!

[2810lollypop]

Just been out to take the doggies walkies .Thick fog but very humid . This may sound strange but for the last few years ive noticed that lady birds ,bugs which ever you prefer come into my house a few weeks before a really cold spell arrives ,and i came home this evening a what do you know ! two lady birds ,bugs in my kitchen ! So there you have have it ,my prediction lol ,2 to 3 weeks time brrrr .Have a great sunday everyone

[Mark Neal.]

Bring on the snow. Was blooming dark at 7:30 this evening. The nights well and truly drawing in. Enjoy the warmth over the next few days, hopefully us SE folk see the cloud thin!

[john pike]

ecm ensembles

 

temps

 

these show

sunday around 20

monday 22-23

tuesday 21

wednesday 18

thursday 18-20

friday 22

saturday around 20

sunday around 15

 

wind

 

 

29th onwards looks like windy conditions en-route

 

rainfall

 

ensembles all over the shop

 

rain could start from the 26th

 

more likely 29th onwards

 

stormy to me looks unlikely as when the jet drops the warmer plume would not get to us

 

however time will tell on this

[Captain Shortwave]

stormy to me looks unlikely as when the jet drops the warmer plume would not get to us

 

however time will tell on this

The only storm chance I think is when the trough to our south west tries to re-engage the jet and move northwards, if it moves favourably then it could bring the warmth back over us and perhaps drag some heavy and thundery weather from the Bay of Biscay, would be nice as I think this is the end of warmth until probably next March/April at the earliest