South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 06/09/13 ------------>

[Mark Neal.]

Thanks for the updates John!

 

I'm off to Maidstone tomorrow staying at the event organiser( my mate) for the Balloon side of the Southern Airshow 2013 at Headcorn Aerodrome. We are hoping to go ballooning tomorrow afternoon before the rain and again on Sat late afternoon, Sunday morning looks the best before the rain and wind sweeps in!  

 

Might see some of you there? 

[HammerJack]

Evening all. Well a pretty rubbish day here until about 4.30. Been grey and cloudy most of the day, and as home time loomed the clouds broke, and we had some sunshine and blue skies. Must say though, that dispute the gloom, it felt pretty warm today. Didn't take any temp readings, but I would hazard a guess at the very high teens, low 20s. Current temp 18c. Look forward to your updates later JP, if I can stay awake 😴very tired after my run tonight.

[HammerJack]

It's all kicking off on the model thread, polar highs, hurricanes being steered towards the uk. Going to be chaos and it's only September!!!

Thats pretty standard winter fare. Only a few months to early 😃. Any toys been thrown around yet? I think I'm going to stay in the safety of this thread for the time being 😉

[john pike]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=72&mode=1&map=0&type=0&archive=0

 

ecm run

 

unsettled and cool

 

easterly set up for winter again ??

[john pike]

hi leigh

 

will update when the fax charts come out later

 

problem is i think they will be late

 

this seems normal now when a tricky pattern needs resolving

 

 

hi mark

 

keep your eye on the upper air flow

 

hopefully ok by may get a tad breezy at height

 

hope you enjoy your flight

[HammerJack]

hi leighwill update when the fax charts come out laterproblem is i think they will be latethis seems normal now when a tricky pattern needs resolvinghi markkeep your eye on the upper air flowhopefully ok by may get a tad breezy at heighthope you enjoy your flight

Cheers JP. I've eaten my dinner and had a energy drink now (whoops beer) buts its high in sugar which after running is good for you ( my excuse) so hopefully I will be up to see your updates. Look forward to them mate, your doing a great job. Edited September 12, 2013 by LeighD

[john pike]

got to pop out for a little while

 

be back before 9

 

talk later

 

and thanks leigh

[Jax]

Evening peeps.

 

Just back from a stroll to the next village, had dinner there with my parents and spent the rest of the evening (after keeping my one year old neice entertained for a while first) out at the stables and paddock feeding the geese, horses and pony, was asked if they should be rugged up, and I was sure that it is way too warm still for that and should be dry till the morning anyway.  Oh how I miss my rural childhood.

[Steve C]

Evening peeps.

 

Just back from a stroll to the next village, had dinner there with my parents and spent the rest of the evening (after keeping my one year old neice entertained for a while first) out at the stables and paddock feeding the geese, horses and pony, was asked if they should be rugged up, and I was sure that it is way too warm still for that and should be dry till the morning anyway.  Oh how I miss my rural childhood.

The horses might get wet tonight though.

 

[Jax]

The horses might get wet tonight though.

 

viewimage (.png

And I did say as I left that they may need a wash

[Steve C]

That's a weird effect!  I guess I should make sure images I post have proper names! I wondered what was happening when I previewed the post and saw the dude blowing bubblegum appear.

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

 

here comes tonights rain

[Jax]

That's a weird effect!  I guess I should make sure images I post have proper names! I wondered what was happening when I previewed the post and saw the dude blowing bubblegum appear.

LOL it sees the BBCODE as read

[Jax]

LOL it sees the BBCODE as read

you have the image as ( 8 ) in it "no spaces" in the name

[Steve C]

you have the image as ( 8 ) in it "no spaces" in the name

 

Yes, I'd seen that. I must make sure I rename images properly to avoid that in future.

[john pike]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

 

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

 

take your pick whether these die or make hurricanes or where they go etc etc

 

the models will only be reliableish up to t120 and maybe lower

 

it all adds to the fun

[Captain Shortwave]

I think Humberto wants to join in the Atlantic fun, I expect mega autumn and late summer runs until the models correctly guess where it's going to go. Which will mean model thread war 

[john pike]

monday

 

a strong north west wind

 

at present it looks like showers rattling through rather than sustained rain

 

i would call a chance of the odd rumble anglia and tod area but a tad too far for specifics

 

temps around 14 degrees

 

but will not feel it in the wind

120 is the tricky one

 

will post when ready

[Jason T]

Shocker? In what way? I'm a cold fan, just to let you know ps I very well thanks, you ?

• The astronomical winter (Northern Hemisphere) 2013 begins on

  Saturday, December 21

  and ends on

  Wednesday, March 19

 

 

Late October, Early November Prediction....Picture.

I think/Believe  Winter will touch base way before the 21st December. 

[Jason T]

 

 

Top right corner is us all. Very tight bars showing from that Low, A bit breezy this weekend, Sorry Bloody Very Wet and Very Windy. enjoy your bbq.

Edited September 12, 2013 by Jason T

[john pike]

tuesday

 

now this is the one that concerns me

 

we have a low to our north and high pressure to our east

 

now the low below ireland is the one way out in the atlantic on the fax before

 

this says to me it must be caught up in the jet stream

 

as it moves further east it could really tighten up the isobars and cause some very strong winds

 

also the risk of some very high rainfall over a short period of time is likely so flash flooding is a risk as well

 

a long way out but i am watching this carefully as could be a nasty little bugger

 

temps probably would be warmer than of late but not important

[john pike]

ecm ensembles

 

temps

 

wind

 

 

rain

 

up to the 19th which is about as far as you can go at present

 

it shows cooler and windy and wet

 

basically autumn

[john pike]

 

 

ecm shows this for wednesday 00

 

more tomorrow

 

goodnight all

[Coast]

Morning peeps.

 

Wet and warm this morning. No perceptible sun but it must be up there somewhere as there is a smidgen of daylight in the gloom, so it hasn't imploded in a huge and horrible Armageddon scenario overnight (which means I still have to pay the utility bills this month )  

 

I wonder if tedious weather is what wiped out the dinosaurs? Perhaps it was boredom and depression that did for them in the end? 

[RUSH]

morning all

 

yes warm & wet this morning ,hope fully get me outside work done before the rain arrives later,got to try and put a shed up this weekend could be fun .lol