Winter 2013/2014 Forecasts/Hopes/Discussion Thread

[Conor Sherwin]

is this good or bad 

[Captain Shortwave]

is this good or bad 

Would certainly be wild but not cold. You really need to look at the upper air temperatures and not go by the thickness values which show how unstable the air is.

[Don]

is this good or bad 

 

Not good if you like cold weather.  Good if you like wet and windy weather though!

[cheeky_monkey]

is this good or bad 

Depends what your preference....if like CS says you like gales and rain this is a fantastic chart..if you like cold and snow its a bit of a stinker

[Conor Sherwin]

how do i look if its cold sorry im only starting 

[Methuselah]

how do i look if its cold sorry im only starting 

Have a wee look in here, Conor. There are some tutorials in there somewhere too, I believe...http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/50366-help-to-understand-charts/

[Polar Maritime]

CFS is showing a lovely start to December.... All subject to change as usual.

 

Edited September 27, 2013 by Polar Maritime

[Conor Sherwin]

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoforecasts/daily-ultra-long-range.aspx?region=4&pagenumber=2

[Captain Shortwave]

CFS is showing a lovely start to December.... All subject to change as usual.

 

[cheeky_monkey]

CFS is showing a lovely start to December.... All subject to change as usual.

 

 

Looks toasty in my part of the world

[Conor Sherwin]

cant wait to see what netweathers long rang forecast is

[Buriedundersnow]

maybe any of the more informed on here can give me a little help with this here is the NOAA SST anomalies for 16th, 19th, 23rd and 26th.

 

could this be first tentative signs on the PDO turning -ve or am I wrong

 

Edited September 27, 2013 by Buriedundersnow

[UV-RAY]

 

CFS is showing a lovely start to December.... All subject to change as usual.

 

 

Lol, December 2010 all over again only this time it will last the entire winter. 

[shedhead]

Not sure how long it will take to get here (if at all), but Winter has already arrived in Svalbard....... http://longyearbyen.livecam360.com/flash/main.php

[UV-RAY]

Not sure how long it will take to get here (if at all), but Winter has already arrived in Svalbard....... http://longyearbyen.livecam360.com/flash/main.php

I think it's at least 7-10 earlier than the last few years, although I'm sure someone will correct me if I'm wrong.

[Conor Sherwin]

I think it's at least 7-10 earlier than the last few years, although I'm sure someone will correct me if I'm wrong

[BornFromTheVoid]

maybe any of the more informed on here can give me a little help with this here is the NOAA SST anomalies for 16th, 19th, 23rd and 26th.

 

could this be first tentative signs on the PDO turning -ve or am I wrong

 

anomnight_9_16_2013.gifanomnight_9_19_2013.gifanomnight_9_23_2013.gifanomnight_9_26_2013.gif

 

It's currently -ve (August was -1.04) despite the north Pacific in general being close to record warmth. What those charts show is a shift toward the more classic -ve PDO pattern with the reverse "C" of cold anomalies around the N. Pacific coasts.

Over recent months we've seen much warmer than average central N. Pacific and slightly warmer than average reverse "C", which, while not a classic -ve PDO pattern, still counts.

[Conor Sherwin]

s

ss

so this is cold is it 

[swfc]

s

so this is cold is it

Not really more wet windy and unsettled

[Buriedundersnow]

s

so this is cold is it 

 

 

not on that chart no.

 

the wind direction there is from the west off the atlantic so warm for cold winds would need to be coming from the north, northeast or the east.

 

north

 

 

northeast

 

 

east

 

 

hope this helps

[Conor Sherwin]

not on that chart no.

 

the wind direction there is from the west off the atlantic so warm for cold winds would need to be coming from the north, northeast or the east.

 

north

 

gfs-2010120506-0-78.png

 

northeast

 

gfs-2010112706-0-360.png

 

east

 

gfs-2010112706-0-60.png

 

hope this helps

it dose so atm the charts say its not going to be a white christmas 

[Buriedundersnow]

it dose so atm the charts say its not going to be a white christmas 

 

 

not atm no wont get any idea of that proper till we get into middle of December at earliest and on some occasions could only be a few days before hand

[Summer Sun]

it dose so atm the charts say its not going to be a white christmas 

 

I wouldn't worry about a white Christmas yet to be fair you could be looking at a matter of 5 days or less before we would get a good idea depending on the set up nearer the time

[Buriedundersnow]

not on that chart no.

 

the wind direction there is from the west off the atlantic so warm for cold winds would need to be coming from the north, northeast or the east.

 

north

 

gfs-2010120506-0-78.png

 

northeast

 

gfs-2010112706-0-360.png

 

east

 

gfs-2010112706-0-60.png

 

hope this helps

 

 

low pressure = anticlockwise winds

 

high pressure = clockwise winds

 

reds, yellows, greens = higher dam and higher pressure

 

blues, purples = lower dam and lower pressure

 

white lines = isobars (wind flow) ( closer together = windier) (further apart = less wind)

 

numbers on white lines = pressure (higher number = higher pressure) (lower number =lower pressure)

 

to add a little for you on the charts to help you understand heres the chart you posted to show west winds

 

 

if you look at all the charts the higher numbers on the isobars always go with the greens,yellows and the lower numbers always go with the blues,purples so first look towards the colours for help and if you still having trouble working it out look for numbers in isobars just remember high numbers clockwise and low numbers anticlockwise.

 

try going through this link aswell its gavsweathervids and watch some of the video forecasts he explains quite well how to look at the charts you will learn from there aswell

 

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/forecasts.html

[Dancerwithwings]

low pressure = anticlockwise winds

 

high pressure = clockwise winds

 

reds, yellows, greens = higher dam and higher pressure

 

blues, purples = lower dam and lower pressure

 

white lines = isobars (wind flow) ( closer together = windier) (further apart = less wind)

 

numbers on white lines = pressure (higher number = higher pressure) (lower number =lower pressure)

 

to add a little for you on the charts to help you understand heres the chart you posted to show west winds

 

cfs-0-2136.png

 

if you look at all the charts the higher numbers on the isobars always go with the greens,yellows and the lower numbers always go with the blues,purples so first look towards the colours for help and if you still having trouble working it out look for numbers in isobars just remember high numbers clockwise and low numbers anticlockwise.

 

try going through this link aswell its gavsweathervids and watch some of the video forecasts he explains quite well how to look at the charts you will learn from there aswell

 

http://www.gavsweathervids.com/forecasts.html

  I think you've covered pretty much everything  Next time a newbie needs a little kick start......Your the man