September forecasts -- 2013 C.E.T. Competition

[March Blizzard]

I'll go for the all years average of 13.3C. Thanks. I've a gut feeling we will get a notably chilly spell towards October.

[Thundery wintry showers]

I'm thinking 14.3C- probably a dry sunny month but temperatures not far from the long-term average, like quite a few recent Septembers have been.

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

15.1C

[easy-oasy]

14.9°C for me please.

[Kentish Man]

14.7C cheers

[davehsug]

14.9c please

[DAVID SNOW]

Ok September you can have 14.6 but for the rest of autumn you can be bloody well chilly ok?

[Don]

14.9C please.  The less said the better.....

[Polar Maritime]

13.1c hopefully please.

[Great Plum]

14.6c please

[AderynCoch]

14.5

[J10]

14.2

 

A little above average.

[Dancerwithwings]

2012 was 13c.... So what's the chances of 2013 been the same   What the hell.... 13c for me please

[feb1991blizzard]

14c please.

 

 

Pure luck rather than science if I get anywhere near, no studying involved, been concentrating more on teleconnective issues wrt the forthcoming winter rather than current model output / met monthly forecasts.

Edited August 31, 2013 by feb1991blizzard

[A Winter's Tale]

14.4C

[Aphelion369]

14.6 please

[TonyH]

Whoops a little late! First time..

15.5c please

[Duncan McAlister]

Excuse my lateness! 14.9 please

[virtualsphere]

14.7C please - apologies for being late!

[seabreeze86]

13.4 for me, sorry for being late. 

 

Warm start but well below average after mid month.

[Jack Wales]

late again...  14.0c

[DR Hosking]

^{oops, totally forgot! I will go for 14.6c}

[SomeLikeItHot]

13.3 to the 1st. (-1.6 anomoly) - Not going to last however.

Min today of 12.0 and max looks to be around 21.5. Using Met forecasts out to 5 days would give.

2nd 15.0 (16.75)

3rd 15.3 (15.9)

4th 16.0 (18.0)

5th 16.0 (15.9)

6th 15.6 (13.9)

After that the GFS 0Z ensemble mean would have a trend down to around 14.1- 14.2 mid month which would be pretty close to the 61-90 average to mid month.

[Summer Sun]

15.0 the the 2nd

[SomeLikeItHot]

15.0 the the 2nd

Min 12.7 today and max likely 23. Taking met forecasts to 5 days and GFS 0z ensemble mean after that gives3rd 15.9 (17.6)4th 16.5 (18.3)5th 16.5 (16.5)6th 15.9 (12.8 )7th 15.5 (13.5)After that there is a very slow decline on the GFS ensemble mean towards 15th -18th around 15.2 to 15.1 - which would be a +1.0 anomoly. So much warmer set of ensembles than 1 day ago.