South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 13th August 2013>

[Methuselah]

The North Sea cack seems to be slowly winning the battle...

[Methuselah]

The North Sea cack seems to be slowly winning the battle...

Scratch that: it's almost all gone!

[Eskimo]

I hope the atmosphere is as volatile as the 'Manmade Climate Change Discussion' thread. 

[Coast]

Yesterday's Met Office yellow alert still in force for tomorrow:

 

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html

 

Meteoalarm have more coverage for tomorrow:

 

 

http://www.meteoalarm.eu/en_UK/1/0/UK-United_Kingdom.html

 

 

 

[Captain Shortwave]

Scratch that: it's almost all gone!

Same 

[Mark Neal.]

24.3c here and Sunshine has turned hazy with high level cloud spreading in. Enjoy the warm sunshine you Easterners! 

[Coast]

24.3c here and Sunshine has turned hazy with high level cloud spreading in. Enjoy the warm sunshine you Easterners! 

 

Cheers 'Ox'!

 

We all know what's coming though early evening :unsure: 

 

[Mark Neal.]

Cheers 'Ox'!

 

We all know what's coming though early evening

 

 

 

Yup! Looks like some patchy rain and light showers ahead of the front, the occlusion to come through in the early hours. So a wet Friday night and Saturday it seems! 

[Summer of 76]

Yesterday's Met Office yellow alert still in force for tomorrow:

 

2013-8-24.jpg

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html

 

Meteoalarm have more coverage for tomorrow:

 

Meteoalarm.PNG

 

http://www.meteoalarm.eu/en_UK/1/0/UK-United_Kingdom.html

 

 

I notice for the weather impact matrix on the weather warning page that the confidence seems to have moved up one square since yesterday.

 

This link may work

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/?from=rss&regionName=ee&sn=37958EA9-F884-4337-A498-A53A3F4E494F_3_EE&utm_medium=email&utm_source=govdelivery

 

Sorry you have to go to Saturday and click on the region to get the impact matrix and chief forecasters ideas

Edited August 23, 2013 by chris mantle

[Coast]

I notice for the weather impact matrix on the weather warning page that the confidence seems to have moved up one square since yesterday

 

I guess that's because the time-scale is closer now?

[95 Degrees]

Nice warm day here, 24.1C.

[Mark Neal.]

I guess that's because the time-scale is closer now?

 

I would of thought the same as Coast, since it we are much closer to the rainband coming in, the confidence has increased? 

[RUSH]

afternooon alll

 

nice and warm ,clouding over now ,lets see whot the afternoon brings

[Coast]

I would of thought the same as Coast, since it we are much closer to the rainband coming in, the confidence has increased? 

 

I guess. Meanwhile the temps are pretty good ahead of things later:

 

Benson 23.3 °C

Brize Norton 23.6 °C

Charlwood 26.3 °C

Gravesend 24.4 °C

Heathrow 25.9 °C

Herstmonceux 25.6 °C

High Wycombe 22.7 °C

Kenley 23.8 °C

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/observations/

 

Edited August 23, 2013 by Coast

[Norfolk Sheep]

Afternoon all   A pleasant 23C here but I see cloud encroaching from the west, boo hiss!

[Captain Shortwave]

Afternoon all   A pleasant 23C here but I see cloud encroaching from the west, boo hiss!

Better than cloud encroaching from the east 

[Coast]

Muggy and warm out there with quite a bit of mist up at the seafront. Clouding over a bit now, but the oppressive humidity isn't abating.

[Summer of 76]

I would of thought the same as Coast, since it we are much closer to the rainband coming in, the confidence has increased? 

Or they are playing O's and X's in the office and he is on a winning line

 

Meanwhile the cloud has come over here and the trees seem to moving  a fair bit out there.

[john pike]

http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm

Have a look at the chart for 06 saturday

Storms or not. Torrential rain looks very concerning

[Eskimo]

I notice for the weather impact matrix on the weather warning page that the confidence seems to have moved up one square since yesterday.

 

This link may work

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/?from=rss&regionName=ee&sn=37958EA9-F884-4337-A498-A53A3F4E494F_3_EE&utm_medium=email&utm_source=govdelivery

 

Sorry you have to go to Saturday and click on the region to get the impact matrix and chief forecasters ideas

They must have updated that within the hour, was saying the lowest likelihood at around half 1.  

[Coast]

Torrential rain looks very concerning

 

Now I'm kind of worried as NMM charts (as animated below) show an immense precipitation rate for much of the night through to tomorrow right over Eastbourne in particular. This looks like concerning stuff and the impact of such intensity and for so long could bring quite a bit of local flooding:

 

 

Let me look at how tomorrow pans out for the whole region.

Edited August 23, 2013 by Coast

[Captain Shortwave]

To be honest I know what tomorrows weather is going to be here.

Dry with low cloud and sea fog, like every other day with any wind from the east 

It can say 200mm of rain and we will still get naff all and no thunderstorms at that.

Edited August 23, 2013 by Captain shortwave

[Summer of 76]

Now I'm kind of worried as NMM charts (as animated below) show an immense precipitation rate for much of the night through to tomorrow night over Eastbourne in particular. This looks like concerning stuff and the impact of such intensity and for so long could bring quite a bit of local flooding:

 

 

Let me look at how tomorrow pans out for the whole region.

Interesting how that area of heavy rain seems to rotate back to the north of london, as you say it does look very heavy over a certain area for a long period of time

[Eskimo]

Now I'm kind of worried as NMM charts (as animated below) show an immense precipitation rate for much of the night through to tomorrow right over Eastbourne in particular. This looks like concerning stuff and the impact of such intensity and for so long could bring quite a bit of local flooding:

 

 

Let me look at how tomorrow pans out for the whole region.

Also looks horrendous across Essex London and Herts!

[Coast]

Also looks horrendous across Essex London and Herts!

 

Just check out the pink 'eye' of that lot potentially over this area and see how long that goes for. I can't believe I'm looking at rates of 25mm/hr for about 4 to 6hours!