South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 13th August 2013>

[john pike]

I think too many people read what they wanted to read John  There were enough caveats mentioned by enough people to provide a realistic enough interpretation

 

true

if you could work your way through the bickering

safer in here

[Tamara]

true

if you could work your way through the bickering

safer in here

I agree with that wholeheartedly . Its a pity though - as someone who is no expert at all, but likes trying to learn,that is the reason I post regularly in there

Edited August 22, 2013 by Tamara Road

[john pike]

Local BBC forecast has got possibly 30C for places in the London area tomorrow, wet for Saturday and a mix of sunshine and cloud Sunday and Monday. 

 

National forecast has 26 for London, heavy rain including thundery stuff for Saturday and then quiet for Sunday and Monday.

 

Don't they work from the same data?

 

hi cp

 

saw that as well

 

i would run with the local forecast as i would expect a better local knowledge

 

although not sure why so different

[john pike]

I agree with that wholeheartedly . Its a pity though - as someone who is no expert at all, but likes trying to learn,that is the reason I post regularly in there

 

hi tam

 

has been like that since i started here

 

you do fine and i do look in there just do not post that often

 

once every 5 years

 

i suppose disagreement is good in a weird sort of way

[Tamara]

hi tam

 

has been like that since i started here

 

you do fine and i do look in there just do not post that often

 

once every 5 years

 

i suppose disagreement is good in a weird sort of way

Sensible guy!   Me maybe not a sensible lady!

[john pike]

Sensible guy!   Me maybe not a sensible lady!

 

wait until winter starts

[john pike]

ukmo at 144

 

not looking to bad

 

just a shame about the wind direction

[Costa Del Fal]

A rather disappointing day in the SE today especially in London with on and off rain today on my visit there. Sun broke through a little later. Didnt stop a good day out though. Weather was far better at home though.

[Captain Shortwave]

ukmo at 144

 

not looking to bad

 

just a shame about the wind direction

GFS looks a little better

 

Less of a north easterly as the high collapses over us. 

Probably have low pressure over us tomorrow for this time given it's the GFS 

[Eskimo]

Looks pretty juicy tomorrow night. 

[Costa Del Fal]

Looks pretty juicy tomorrow night. 

Does it? Doesnt appear to be any real thundery potential - just a few heavy bursts of rain.

[john pike]

ive given up predicting storms now

 

just go on potential

 

the highest risk of seeing anything thundery is

 

unstable air and should still be pretty warm

 

all that i will say is watch the radar

 

there is some pretty heavy rain there as well

[Steve C]

Old matey on BBC News 24 (weatherman - forgotten his name)  has just predicted big thunderstorms, in our locality, on Saturday. 50 - 75 mm of rain in places. Better than just mediocre heavy rain.

Edited August 22, 2013 by Steve C

[john pike]

temps look ok

 

 

a bit of wind but nothing to bad

 

rainfall very high from 24th night to 25th day

 

looks low until 27th but only 1 model shows that

 

the average looks fairly dry

[john pike]

 

would call fi on these the 1st of sept

 

after saturdays deluge it looks like drying up with maybe only the odd shower or 2

 

temps average or just a shade over

 

next week may not be too bad

Edited August 23, 2013 by john pike

[john pike]

off to bed now

 

goodnight all

 

same again tomorrow

[Mesoscale]

I found a Olive coloured newt on one of the outdoor dogs beds which is 3/4 metres away from our natural pond (we have a natural tad polepond and a large elevated wooden pond), I picked it up and it didn't move much and was pretty lifeless all though I could see its eyes open so I decided to wet my hands and pick it up and put it in the tadpole pond as it felt dry and was totally exposed to animals and the surroundings. Was putting it in the water the right move? When I put it back in it didn't move much and it sank straight down. I now feel like it might drown? I now feel really bad.

Heres a picture of it in my hand.

[Summer of 76]

Morning everyone, nice blue sky this morning which may be different tomorrow morning if the forecasts are correct. The temperature is already at 16c this morning so it looks like it could be a warm one day today

[abruzzi spur]

Morning all

Off to the test match today, been invited to a box so am hoping it's not full of people only there for the hospitality and that they are actually interested in the cricket, otherwise I'll be the only one watching the game! Weather looks like it will be pretty warm later. BBC breakfast forecast is suggesting some very heavy showers tonight and then tomorrow is looking pretty grim. Will West be best next week? As we are off to North Pembrokeshire on Sunday for a week, on this occasion for purely selfish reasons I hope so!

Have a good day.

AS

[Summer of 76]

Morning all

Off to the test match today, been invited to a box so am hoping it's not full of people only there for the hospitality and that they are actually interested in the cricket, otherwise I'll be the only one watching the game! Weather looks like it will be pretty warm later. BBC breakfast forecast is suggesting some very heavy showers tonight and then tomorrow is looking pretty grim. Will West be best next week? As we are off to North Pembrokeshire on Sunday for a week, on this occasion for purely selfish reasons I hope so!

Have a good day.

AS

AS, Hope you have checked the type of box, if it's cardboard you could get wet later.

 

Have a great time

[abruzzi spur]

AS, Hope you have checked the type of box, if it's cardboard you could get wet later.

 

Have a great time

thanks Chris, I hear it's quite flash so am expecting Tupperware at the very least!

AS

Edited August 23, 2013 by abruzzi spur

[Coast]

Looks pretty juicy tomorrow night. 

 

Rainy??? :lol: 

Old matey on BBC News 24 (weatherman - forgotten his name)  has just predicted big thunderstorms, in our locality, on Saturday. 50 - 75 mm of rain in places. Better than just mediocre heavy rain.

 

Just had a look at all this on the convective thread and I have to say I'm not seeing anything but the rain for tomorrow currently (but a lot of that)

 

 

The East of our region will probably float away into the North Sea:

 

[Heisenberg]

So tomorrow rain, but how is sunday day looking for the southend area? Ive got my bootsale running and one site tells me one thing and another site something different....any help? ta

L

[Coast]

So tomorrow rain, but how is sunday day looking for the southend area? Ive got my bootsale running and one site tells me one thing and another site something different....any help? ta

 

 

 

 

August Bank Holiday getaway begins in torrential rain... but the sun will shine with temperatures hitting 27C say forecasters

[*]Friday expected to be hottest day then cooler thereafter

[*]Best temperatures to be found in the South East

[*]At least 16million drivers will be on Britain's roads over holiday weekend

The August Bank Holiday is kicking off with a somewhat soggier start than first expected - with torrential rain hitting late on Friday and throughout Saturday.  But Britain's sizzling summer is set for one final flourish on Sunday, as temperatures hit a predicted 27 degrees in the South East.

 

For those staying at home the best of the weather is likely be in south east England, where temperatures could reach as high as 27C (81F) on Friday before dipping to around 22C (72F) for the rest of the long weekend. Other areas may get showers or longer periods of rain. Motoring and traffic organisations forecast that Friday will be the busiest day on the roads, with the AA reckoning as many as 16 million drivers will be out over the holiday period.

 

 

 

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2400170/August-Bank-Holiday-weather--torrential-rain-turn-sun-temperatures-hit-27C.html#ixzz2cmA9ymCl 

 

Sunday drier than Saturday:

 

(but still raining a little first thing)

 

[Heisenberg]

Thanks mate....Well lets hope it doesnt last on Sunday....I need good weather.