Convective / Storm Discussion - 5th August onwards 2013

[Eskimo]

Been bloody active here though!

[Bogman]

 

Been bloody active here though!

 

 

Hehe,

 

Where I live, we do have our own self contained climate. Storms seem to skirt us all the time.

[Eskimo]

Hehe,

 

Where I live, we do have our own self contained climate. Storms seem to skirt us all the time.

Normally storms build just North of us around Royston, July 23rd (?) of this year was the same, we rarely get a direct hit because we are on top of a range of hills. They either slide across the Lee Valley or across the Chalk downs just north of Buntingford. 

[Coast]

A note of concern from this member now as I've just had a look at the NMM precip charts for tonight and Eastbourne/Hastings then into West Kent does not look to fare very well at all:

 

[Eskimo]

Big difference! 

[staplehurst]

Big difference! 

nmm.png

 

But have you any ground reports of the rain actually reaching the ground? As the model output is just precip reaching the ground...

Edited August 23, 2013 by staplehurst

[Biggin]

Sorry If I moan but why oh why is the southeast that always get the best thunderstorms, we've had one in Exeter this year with some rain and a few flashes *sigh*  It's very rare to get a good old fashioned thunderstorm here

 

You lucky so and so's!

We really dont get the best thunderstorms we just get em going for the rest of the country

[Guest William Grimsley]

thick altocumulous castellanus cloud sheet here now, with just the odd chink of sunshine....25C and very muggy but currrently dry.....a nice discrete cell has popped up around 15 miles to my east between Hungerford & Newbury.............as far as the bbq goes, the gazeebo is currently being erected in the back garden, bbq pit covered with a huge fosters parasol that I've knicked from a pub, so whatever the weather this evening, we're good to go, hell, the rain will help the excess beer stay cool!

Lots of altocumulus castellanus here, too! Lovely solid line on a sheet of rain to Newton Poppleford Weather's N, at the moment.

But have you any ground reports of the rain actually reaching the ground? As the model output is just precip reaching the ground...

Hardly an rain is reaching the ground.

A note of concern from this member now as I've just had a look at the NMM precip charts for tonight and Eastbourne/Hastings then into West Kent does not look to fare very well at all:

 

Christ! That's a lot of rain! Still some intense showers in Newton Poppleford Weather's area left later.

Investigative Meteorological Organisations....

 

 

 

 

 

Or it could be In My Opinion?

In my opinion!

[Snow Queen one]

Sorry If I moan but why oh why is the southeast that always get the best thunderstorms, we've had one in Exeter this year with some rain and a few flashes *sigh*  It's very rare to get a good old fashioned thunderstorm here

 

You lucky so and so's!

We don't get them here contrary to popular belief.  I have had 1 storm this year and heard a few rumbles before the last storm and that is it.  The SE is a big area and my area of it is sadly lacking in storms.

[Boro Snow]

Tweet from mr hugo looks good to me

 

Latest UKMO HRES has E & NE Eng at a risk of +SHRA by early evening & then developing further by 2200BST.

 

 

[Coast]

Tweet from mr hugo looks good to me

 

Latest UKMO HRES has E & NE Eng at a risk of +SHRA by early evening & then developing further by 2200BST.

 

 

 

Not to me, I'm under that lot later! 

[davehsug]

Radar has been showing rain here for sometime, but there's nothing reaching the ground. It's still dry.

[multi cellular thunderstorm]

My girlfriend was up at her parents just east of York last night and it sounded like a great storm there yesterday evening.

She reported lots of lightning and loud thunder and a spell of intense rain. I was gutted I wasn't there!

It looks like that area could be in line for more this evening, I'm not going up there until tomorrow night

 

After reading through this thread today I think I'll be waking up in the middle of the night thinking about Newton Popplefield Weather!. Here at Nottingham Weather it's cloudy and warm.

 

I'd take some torrential downpours tomorrow, not expecting much thundery activity but at least there is a chance, something to hold my interest.

 

Good luck everyone.

Edited August 23, 2013 by multi cellular thunderstorm

[Bogman]

Can't be right, ain't the SE

 

 

Tweet from mr hugo looks good to me

 

Latest UKMO HRES has E & NE Eng at a risk of +SHRA by early evening & then developing further by 2200BST.

 

 

[Boro Snow]

Radar has been showing rain here for sometime, but there's nothing reaching the ground. It's still dry.

same here a shower past about an hour ago but nothing reached the ground

[Norfolk Sheep]

Why? 

Because *hushed tone of voice*, it was looking a bit oo and a bit er!  Much pointing at blue bits on the forecast map and looking worried I am now obviously not particularly worried

[Guest William Grimsley]

After reading through this thread today I think I'll be waking up in the middle of the night thinking about Newton Popplefield Weather!. Here at Nottingham Weather it's cloudy and warm.

Offensive?

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Sorry If I moan but why oh why is the southeast that always get the best thunderstorms, we've had one in Exeter this year with some rain and a few flashes *sigh*  It's very rare to get a good old fashioned thunderstorm here

 

You lucky so and so's

I think it could be because of the watering down of the Atlantic that kills any convective stuff over Devon and Cornwall etc. For convection, you need require good amounts of diurnal heating, and to get that, you need a good fetch over a warm landmass or very warm sea, i.e Lincolnshire always getting the daily storm activity due to air becoming unstable whilst crossing the Midlands with a West/Southwesterly and East Anglia and all of Southern England when it gets the Southerlies. 

South East England can be really good for plume activities, as when this occurs, the air has travelled across most of France, thus resulting in very unstable humid air for the trigger of Mesoscale Convective Complexes. (even though we haven't had any good ones for the past 10 years except this year July 23rd coming closest! 

[Guest William Grimsley]

same here a shower past about an hour ago but nothing reached the ground

Maybe radar's should show what reaches the ground so nobody get's unnecessarily excited! LOL  

[Coast]

Maybe radar's should show what reaches the ground so nobody get's unnecessarily excited! LOL

 

That's what the top of your head is for  

[Eskimo]

That's what the top of your head is for

Just got hair on mine. 

[Guest William Grimsley]

That's what the top of your head is for

Eh? LOL

[Guest William Grimsley]

I'm watching this bit of rain closely, as it's heading towards E Devon...

 

[Eskimo]

Starting to get a bit active in Naarth East! 

[Guest William Grimsley]

Starting to get a bit active in Naarth East! 

All that rainfall is error rainfall. I can tell just by looking at it.

Edited August 23, 2013 by William Grimsley