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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013>


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Posted
  • Location: Almeirim de Fazendas, Portugal
  • Location: Almeirim de Fazendas, Portugal

    Beautiful day today and as a local decided to walk back along the beach amongst the weekend visiting DFL's for a while on my way back from a little shopping. It was a shame that the usual Sunday afternoon beach volleyball match that features during the summer wasn't being played though. I love that game!Posted Image

     

    One empty sandy volleyball courtPosted Image

     

    post-18450-0-28795200-1375637335_thumb.j

     

    Its the Summer Carnival week starting here, and its great to see that lots more warm sunshine seems likely through the week to help make it a great atmosphere Posted Image and even tomorrow looks to escape most of the rain in this further SE cornerPosted Image

    Edited by Tamara Road
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    Posted
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic

    Disappointing afternoon here, cloudy, strong wind and feeling cool. Week ahead looks a bit better thankfully (apart from tomorrow).

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    Posted
  • Location: North Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Summer storms, winter snow.
  • Location: North Kent

    Sorry to those in the west and north of our region who had a fairly cloudy day. Here in Kent, being that bit further away from the cloud-bearing fronts, it was gloriously sunny. Put the iPod on and sat in the back garden at 3 "to close my eyes for ten minutes".

    Woke up just over an hour later.........with a nose like Rudolf's.

     

    Still looking as if the far south-east is going to miss the heaviest of tomorrow's rain. I notice in the model thread, however, Captain Shortwave has recently mentioned the possibility of some thundery stuff in this corner on Wednesday. Funnily enough, for the whole weekend the MetO home page has shown "thundery shower day" for my location on Wednesday. But just as CS posts that, it has changed to "light rain"!

     

    Hope everyone has had a great weekend.

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    I am the thunderstorm jinx I think Posted Image

    Last night I commented about the chance of embedded thunderstorms tomorrow.

    Today, bbc says naff all rain in the south east Posted Image

    On the other hand look at Friday, metoffice backed off our chances, then boom!

    Wednesday looks interesting, We need to be looking south east for developments across the channel.

    Edited by Captain shortwave
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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    hi all

     

    fax update time

     

    Posted Image

    tomorrow looks dry and breezy with a southerly wind

     

    by mid afternoon rain will reach most of the region

     

    temps around 22-24

     

    the rain may get heavy late pm with a slim chance of a rumble or 2

     

    Posted Image

    tuesday

     

    should be quite pleasant

     

    v weak westerly flow

     

    looks dry and sunny

     

    temps around 24 degrees

     

    Posted Image

    Posted Image

    wednesday

     

    at present shows dry but would not take much of a shift from that trough to our south to give thundery outbreaks

     

    at presnt it show dry with temps around 22 degrees

     

    worth a watch

     

    waiting the rest to update

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    Posted Image

    thursday

     

    looks dry and fairly warm

     

    temps around 25 degrees

     

    and a mainly weak westerly flow

     

    120 fax late tonight

     

    on ukmo

     

    Posted Image

    looks quite warm

     

    144

     

    Posted Image

    so does that

     

    rain etc is hard to tell

     

    need the fax for that

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    Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK

     

    thursday

     

    looks dry and fairly warm

     

    temps around 25 degrees

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Thanks John, I hope your right about Thursday - I'm planning a day out and a picnic lunch that day and really want it to be perfect in every way but I won't blame you if it all goes belly up Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    Thanks John, I hope your right about Thursday - I'm planning a day out and a picnic lunch that day and really want it to be perfect in every way but I won't blame you if it all goes belly up Posted Image

    hi mk

     

    fingers crossed

     

    will update tomorrow but looks good at present Posted ImagePosted Image

    Posted Image

    finally got friday

     

    a weak westerly flow

     

    could be quite warm but looks wet

     

    however as always at 120 expect changes

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    Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)

    friday at the moment could be interesting

     

    ecm shows this

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

     

    could set off the odd storm

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    Posted
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Not a fan of heatstroke.
  • Location: South Norfolk, 44 m ASL.

    Well, we're back from the concert, and it stayed dry, though the thickest cloud did produce the odd bit of slight drizzle around 9.00 pm.

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    Posted
  • Location: Brentford, West London (from Wales originally)
  • Weather Preferences: Stormy, windy, cold.
  • Location: Brentford, West London (from Wales originally)

    Just back from the iron maiden concert at the 02. Wow! Anyway it has started raining past twenty min, rather refreshing.

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    A bit of rain on it's way later this afternoon?

     

    Posted Image

     

    Quite windy/gusty too as the front moves across our region:

     

    Posted Image

     

    Especially around the East Anglia coastline:

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Here's the one that may be more of interest for some in our region:

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    ESTOFEX:

     

     

     

    post-6667-0-74466300-1375685557_thumb.pn

     

    British Isles, North Sea region, southern Scandinavia
     
    A strong low-level jet will move across the area from the west, associated with warm air advection. Strong QG forcing will also allow for increasing lapse rates that will overlap with rather rich low-level moisture ahead of a cold front and a following trough axis. Models indicate some surface-based instability across the North Sea and over the southern British Isles in the afternoon and evening hours. However, current thinking is that most storms will be elevated due to the rather cool and dry boundary-layer. Nevertheless, storms will likely merge into a squall line crossing the southern North Sea and moving into southern Scandinavia. Additional storms are forecast over the southern British Isles along an approaching convergence line. Due to the strong vertical wind shear, bowing segments are forecast capable of producing severe wind gusts. Additionally, tornadoes are not ruled out.

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Maybe a bit of helical activity later in Cambs/Suffolk/Norfolk as convergence sets up in the gusty winds on North Sea facing areas:

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK

    Morning all,

     

    post-10773-0-10409200-1375687660_thumb.j

     

    Bit of a grey and damp start here this morning but hopefully it will improve, I'm going to be spending at least part of my day off at the mercy of the NHS, it would seem according to the walk in centre (or hobble in my case) that I've managed to tear my Achilles tendon if it's partial then it's business as normal (with a limp) but if it's complete and has ruptured apparently I may end up getting plastered (nothing new there I hear you say Posted Image )

    ......anyway have a good day folks and I'll hop pop back later Posted Image

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Latest obs:

     

    Posted Image

     

    The front should be passing over us from late morning onwards:

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

    Posted Image

     

    Estofex confirm the existence of the triangle of doom Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    Posted Image

     

    Estofex confirm the existence of the triangle of doom Posted Image

    Always the way, Matt...Long live the Triangle of Doom!Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

     

    Estofex confirm the existence of the triangle of doom Posted Image

     

    It's been known about since 1978....

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    Morning all,

     

     

    Damp and overcast here, bit of light rain and 17.8oC in the shed, managed to sleep last night without the window open.

     

     

     

    I've managed to tear my Achilles tendon if it's partial then it's business as normal (with a limp) but if it's complete and has ruptured apparently I may end up getting plastered (nothing new there I hear you say Posted Image )

     

    Good luck with that.

     

    Caused by too much vino collapse'o?

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    Posted
  • Location: North Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Summer storms, winter snow.
  • Location: North Kent

    Morning all,

     

    Still far enough away from the system to the west this morning to be honoured with a dry, sunny start to the day. Current temp = 23.2°. Sunshine has been hazy at times, yes, but a big chunk of contrail-and-cirrus-dotted blue now right above. Through which Lufthansa flight 903 from Heathrow to Frankfurt has just flown at low altitude. (Well, that's the flight it was, according to FlightRadar24!)

     

    What a difference down here so far today compared to the west and north-west.

     

    Interesting finger of heavy rain moving east through the Channel this morning. And it has just given off the first strike of the day. (On the French side, naturally!Posted Image )

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    Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire

    Seems to be getting a bit brighter here now, cloud is thinning a bit.

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