August 2013 C.E.T. Forecasts / Competition

[Roger J Smith]

August CET averages and extremes(all of these are mean daily values, the average of daily max and min)24.9 ... warmest August day (1st, 1995)19.2 ... warmest August, 199518.9 ... second warmest August, 199718.7 ... third warmest August, 1975

18.6 ... fourth warmest August, 194718.3 ... fifth warmest Augusts (tied 1747 and 2003)

18.2 ... seventh warmest August, 1911

18.1 ... eighth warmest August, 1955

18.0 ... ninth warmest August, 1990

 

16.6 ... 2012 mean

16.5 ... average of 2001-201216.4 ... average of 1981-201016.2 ... average of 1971-200015.8 ... average of 1961-1990, and 1701-1800, and 1901-200015.6 ... average of 1659-201215.4 ... average of 1801-190015.1 ... average of 1659-170013.7 ... coldest August since 1956 (1986)13.5 ... coldest August since 1912 (1956)13.0 ... second coldest Augusts (tie) (1694,95)12.9 ... coldest August, 19129.5 ... coldest day to 16th (16th, 1888) ... earliest sub-10 value in August8.8 ... coldest August day (26th, 1864) ... although it was 7.1 C on 1 Sept of 1816

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Enter soon, enter often.

 

Factoid: mean for 1989-2006 was 16.8, for 2007-12 it was 15.9. 

Edited July 23, 2013 by Roger J Smith

[Derp Patrol]

I'll go for an 18.2

 

 

And just for the extra measure, seeing as the average August here is about 18.8 i'll go for 20.5 here. Possibly the first good August in a while?

[Summer Sun]

Going to go for 17.8c

[A Winter's Tale]

18.5 please

[BlueSkies_do_I_see]

17.7  though hoping for more

[BornFromTheVoid]

15.9C thanks

[NeilN]

17.0c - *slightly* warmer and better than 2012, can see a nice warm spell towards the end of the month boosting maxima.

[Lettucing Gutted]

As the nights get longer the heat grows stronger.  20C

 

Interestingly though August post 2004 has been the only month not to record a CET in the "well above average category".  Also post 2004 August has also become the month with the least extremes in monthly CET with both the coolest and warmest CETs finishing within 1C of average.  We have also had our longest run of sub 17C Augusts since the 1960-1974 run.

Edited July 23, 2013 by Craig Evans

[summer blizzard]

My usual method went for 17.4C, my summer forecast went for a range of 17.6C to 18C however my update goes for a range of 15.4C to 15.6C which would be consistent with Augusts since 2004.

Pop me in at 17.6C for now.

[hillbilly]

17.6 deg will be my guess

[virtualsphere]

May as well enter early - 16.9C please.

[CongletonHeat]

16.6

[Roger J Smith]

18.0

[LincolnSnowstorm]

17.5

[SteveB]

I'll go for 17.3c please.

[MP-R]

Nationally I'll go for 17.2C

 

Here I'll go for 18.2C

 

Maybe a similar August temperature wise to 2004 - unexceptional maxes but persistently high minima.

[Polar Gael]

19.0ºC for me please. 

[Static Prevails]

17.3ºC for me please.

[DR(S)NO]

Seriously made an A@?e of my July guess...however im going to stick with 16c for August...slightly below average.

[geoffw]

17.7

[Robbie Garrett]

Strangely, I think we may go the way of July, but from after the first week of August.

 

19.2*C

[AWD]

18.1c please

Edited July 28, 2013 by AWD

[sundog]

17.1c for me please.

[syed2878]

for august i'm going for. 17.3c thanks.

[Milhouse]

16.9c