ireland Ireland Regional Discussion - Autumn 2013

[ronan]

Hows it going Baltic. You certainly do. Model outputs have been fantastic for the time of year but the GFS is throwing a bit of a wobbler tonight. It is the pub run so i'm not worrying to much at the minute! Also right out at the end of the run this is showing! Hmmmmm

Edited November 13, 2013 by ronan

[smithyweather]

Well it still shows snow for monday night and tuesday so thats not really a wobbler

[ronan]

Sorry Frosty did i once say that it wasn't showing snow for Monday and Tuesday night?? Maybe if you took the time to have a look at the model thread instead of jumping the gun then you would know what i meant by it taking a wobbler. It is struggling to keep the cold locked it while the Euros want to keep the cold. 

[snowstorm445]

Fairly wet and mild here today, although last night was very clear and reasonably chilly. Looking forward to some interesting weather towards the end of the month hopefully (not that we'll be getting that much down here). I'd say high ground in the north and east should fare well if the cold snap comes to fruition, perhaps even lower levels may see some of the white stuff if we're lucky.

Edited November 13, 2013 by snowstorm445

[smithyweather]

My name is smithyweather not frosty

[smithyweather]

Fairly wet and mild here today, although last night was very clear and reasonably chilly. Looking forward to some interesting weather towards the end of the month hopefully (not that we'll be getting that much down here). I'd say high ground in the north and east should fare well if the cold snap comes to fruition, perhaps even lower levels may see some of the white stuff if we're lucky.

Sorry snow is CERTAIN at low levels. -9c uppers! I don't think so!

[ronan]

My name is smithyweather not frosty

Well we all know you as Frosty so you may change it back to what it used to be.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Its hard to get Snow in Cork especially South West Cork, lets hope you see some snowstorm, its not a party unless everyone is involved

Well we all know you as Frosty so you may change it back to what it used to be.

 Frostyjoe

 

Liking the models shown by you Ronan, hopefully more the same today

[mountain shadow]

Frostyjoe is far more appropriate, and we'll keep calling you it regard less.

Slight model wobble this morning in terms of the longevity of the cold spell, but still looking good for some early season snow next week.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Frostyjoe is far more appropriate, and we'll keep calling you it regard less.Slight model wobble this morning in terms of the longevity of the cold spell, but still looking good for some early season snow next week.

 

As always we have the wobbles MS, we will just enjoy the cold spell next week and fingers crossed for more future one, I fancy a reload from the 24/11 onwards!!

[mountain shadow]

What height are you above sea level again Pom? I think your definitely the highest on here.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

What height are you above sea level again Pom? I think your definitely the highest on here.

 

 

600ft MS  - I think Frostyjoe is wayyyyyyyyyyyyyy higher than me though

[Rocheydub]

Depends on what he's smoking today! 

 

The GFS6z is good so far, in fact better than the 00z during the night… Let's just see what this evening's ECM does though. Interesting day or 2 ahead for model watching!

[ronan]

Oh my! 

[mountain shadow]

Is it my imagination or did I have a post disapear?

Anyhow, pretty stunning early winter weather on offer next week. Initially the North west, North and North East of the Island to benefit but tentative signs that that winds will become more North Easterly giving Eastern counties more of a chance later in the week.

Now obviously it is still mid November so a bit of height and darkness will benefit more and I can't see those right on the coast getting much.

Some hard frosts on offer as well across the Island, snow or no snow.

[ronan]

Not sure about your post disapearing MS but the models are certainly tasty! Really looking forward to the 12z now! Hopefully this won't all go T I T S up as we have seen in previous years but with all major models mostly in agreement then i think we are in for something very wintry! It will be a tense few days! This is model watching at its best!

[gary1365]

looks like the snow might be downgrading and i'm going to miss it

Edited November 14, 2013 by gary1365

[ronan]

Its not downgrading yet Gary!! Important run coming up now from 3.30!!

[ronan]

Cracking run so far lads!! Snow anyone??

 

 

[smithyweather]

WHAT!!

looks like the snow might be downgrading and i'm going to miss it

 

Its amazing how cold its going to be. The cold spell keeps getting upgraded now running from Monday night to Friday.

 

 

Tuesday Max 2c!!

 

 

 

Tuesday Dews

 

Snow!!

 

 

 

-8c uppers.

 

 

515dam!

 

 

0c isotherm is sub 500m

 

 

2c max again on Wednesday

 

 

2c max again on Thursday.

 

Snow will fall everywhere there will be no problem with the precipitation type. If the snow lies I can't see it melting either. So it is very very exciting.

Not one bit of a downgrade and the best we could possibly get to be honest. 

Edited November 14, 2013 by smithyweather

[ronan]

Ha text book stuff!! Reload starting to show as predicted! Took the GFS  a while to get on board and now its leading the pack! Lets hope the other big 2 follow suit!

[ronan]

Oh no Frosyjoe you are right in the middle of that area of sleet!! Maybe jack that hill of yours up another 100m's

[mountain shadow]

Defintely buying a snow shovel this weekend.

[gary1365]

i must be reading the charts wrong then lol. i am a complete newb i suppose.

 

really windy on the coast here took a walk around a few spots on the north coast there. the waves are big enough that i got hit by alot of water on the path on ramore head. only a few of the really big waves are reaching that high.

[ronan]

I may also raise my house up a few feet!! Lol!!