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Met office 16 to 30 day outlook

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Hopefully we have a cold and wintry Feb to look forward to.

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That longer range of the Met office is screaming LP to our SW with mean winds coming in from the east. Very similar in fact to quite a few of the ensembles from today.

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Both updates are brilliant. Not one mild word in both updates. Get in there 😁😁😁😁😁

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That’s an extremely certain update as the met office 16-30 day forecast goes, very positive.

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3 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

Both updates are brilliant. Not one mild word in both updates. Get in there 😁😁😁😁😁

Very unsettled, lots of cloud and precipitation...But at least it won't be mild!:yahoo:

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28 minutes ago, geoffw said:

what did the ec46 show last night ?

Continuation of cold I think.

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so that’s wonderful update significant snow is on the way WOW. 

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Will keep an eye out on the next update re the word 'significant'.  Can't get much better than that surely in metoffice speak

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2 hours ago, Ed Stone said:

Very unsettled, lots of cloud and precipitation...But at least it won't be mild!:yahoo:

Darren Bett and a few others just died inside a little after reading that.  ☃️

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It points to a protracted cold spell,possibly severe at times and with the deep Euro trough plenty of snow chances.

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6 minutes ago, phil nw. said:

It points to a protracted cold spell,possibly severe at times and with the deep Euro trough plenty of snow chances.

It's absolutely brilliant Phil, Thank god I got my oil tank filed up today so it can do what it wants! 

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14 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

It's absolutely brilliant Phil, Thank god I got my oil tank filed up today so it can do what it wants! 

Yes mate,best output in a January for sometime.The best time of the year for  deep cold to bed in,should be quite a spell.

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UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Feb 2019 to Sunday 17 Feb 2019:

The northwest of the British Isles may see changeable conditions at first, with spells of rain, strong winds and some snow at times. However, it should become drier, brighter but colder here as the period unfolds. Meanwhile further southeast some bright, quiet periods are expected but with some wintry showers too, the detail of which is very uncertain. It is likely to be cold or very cold, and as a result widespread, locally severe frosts are on the cards. The conditions described above could still be interspersed by some milder, wetter interludes, most likely across southern parts of the British Isles, and this would bring an associated risk of significant snow and ice at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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pretty uneventful update - only thing likely is it'll be mostly cold

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2 minutes ago, cobbett said:

pretty uneventful update - only thing likely is it'll be mostly cold

Or very cold.....

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Noteworthy that they say this coming Thu-Fri 'will see' (a very cold N to NE airstream) as opposed to 'looks likely to see' or 'might see' - either that's an oversight by whoever did the updating, or their in-house modelling has remained a lot steadier than ECM and GFS this morning.

Longer-term, 'very cold' is usually reserved for when severe conditions are being indicated with unusually high probability. I'm stocking up on tinned goods already, just to be safe.

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28 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Or very cold.....

or mild

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