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Met office 16 to 30 day outlook

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6 minutes ago, phil nw. said:

It points to a protracted cold spell,possibly severe at times and with the deep Euro trough plenty of snow chances.

It's absolutely brilliant Phil, Thank god I got my oil tank filed up today so it can do what it wants! 

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14 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

It's absolutely brilliant Phil, Thank god I got my oil tank filed up today so it can do what it wants! 

Yes mate,best output in a January for sometime.The best time of the year for  deep cold to bed in,should be quite a spell.

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UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Feb 2019 to Sunday 17 Feb 2019:

The northwest of the British Isles may see changeable conditions at first, with spells of rain, strong winds and some snow at times. However, it should become drier, brighter but colder here as the period unfolds. Meanwhile further southeast some bright, quiet periods are expected but with some wintry showers too, the detail of which is very uncertain. It is likely to be cold or very cold, and as a result widespread, locally severe frosts are on the cards. The conditions described above could still be interspersed by some milder, wetter interludes, most likely across southern parts of the British Isles, and this would bring an associated risk of significant snow and ice at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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pretty uneventful update - only thing likely is it'll be mostly cold

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2 minutes ago, cobbett said:

pretty uneventful update - only thing likely is it'll be mostly cold

Or very cold.....

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Noteworthy that they say this coming Thu-Fri 'will see' (a very cold N to NE airstream) as opposed to 'looks likely to see' or 'might see' - either that's an oversight by whoever did the updating, or their in-house modelling has remained a lot steadier than ECM and GFS this morning.

Longer-term, 'very cold' is usually reserved for when severe conditions are being indicated with unusually high probability. I'm stocking up on tinned goods already, just to be safe.

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28 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Or very cold.....

or mild

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19 minutes ago, cobbett said:

or mild

Your taking it out of context, but you know that.:cold:

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UK Outlook for Monday 4 Feb 2019 to Monday 18 Feb 2019:

Changeable conditions are most likely at first, with spells of rain, strong winds and some snow at times. However, very cold conditions are more likely to develop through this period with a greater chance of northerly and easterly winds. This brings an enhanced risk of snow and widespread frosts, however there is currently a large amount of uncertainty. The driest and brightest weather is likely to be in the northwest. The conditions described above could still be interspersed by some milder and wetter interludes, most likely across southern parts of the British Isles, and this would bring a risk of significant snow and ice at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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So not much change , seems first half of Feb will be winter best chance

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Fantastic update all things considered. 

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Pretty good. The mid term update isn’t bad either - Plenty of wintry interest but some milder blips.

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That looks to me like they think they know what coming but they have no idea how it actually arrives or when it arrives .....

 

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1 minute ago, Harsh Climate said:

Rather underwhelming weather for week ahead. ''Milder weather from friday..''

what did is say for tues

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1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

That looks to me like they think they know what coming but they have no idea how it actually arrives or when it arrives .....

 

needs to get a move on now, becuase the clock it ticking /!

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1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

what did is say for tues

Says the front is one to watch, but didn't mention much in the way of snow apart from mainly high ground in wales and over the continent.

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Good so bitter north easterlies and heavy snow showers arriving for Feb, by the sound of thar update, just get next week over then its BOOM  looking forward to sledging in the downs in just over a weeks time. WINTER 2018/2019 took your time ⛸️⛸️⛸️❄️❄️❄️❄️😂😂😂😂😂

 

Edited by SLEETY
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13 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

Good so bitter north easterlies and heavy snow showers arriving for Feb, by the sound of thar update, just get next week over then its BOOM  looking forward to sledging in the downs in just over a weeks time. WINTER 2018/2019 took your time ⛸️⛸️⛸️❄️❄️❄️❄️😂😂😂😂😂

 

The METO update sounds like they have covered all bases and don’t want to commit to anything. 

Could be mild, could be dry, could see snow, probably frosty. Very poor IMO. 

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They should really be 100% certain at more than 2 weeks out...

Edited by MattStoke

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