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Met office 16 to 30 day outlook

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Just now, weirpig said:

Indeed  infact the met office 10 day update ( which gav posted)  says wind direction  unsure.   so everything still up in the air.

Exactly mate . Fence sitting for now . Both updates are good 👍

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The update mentions dry periods becoming focused on the NW. That says Easterly to me.

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Just now, Norrance said:

The update mentions dry periods becoming focused on the NW. That says Easterly to me.

Good point. Although that’s for further ahead rather than for next week.

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30 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

UK Outlook for Friday 1 Feb 2019 to Friday 15 Feb 2019:

Cold and sometimes very cold weather will continue as we head through the first half of February. It is likely to remain changeable too, especially at first, bringing strong winds and spells of rain which will turn to snow at times. Snow will mainly affect higher ground in the north, but there is a greater risk to lower levels too with the cold air in place. Some drier and brighter periods are possible as well, perhaps becoming focused across the northwest with time. Occasional milder and wetter interludes may intersperse the generally cold conditions, these most likely in the south but also posing a more significant risk of snow and ice.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

It mentions changeable weather, with indicates a Westerly weather direction but strangely says dries and brighter in the North West indicating an Easterly.

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10 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

It mentions changeable weather, with indicates a Westerly weather direction but strangely says dries and brighter in the North West indicating an Easterly.

But I wouldn't call last year's BFTE 'settled' exactly, MS: a full-on blizzard, one minute; sunshine, the next was, I think, rather 'changeable'?

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First post in here so be gentle lol, according to Wiki, my memory is terrible, last years cold spell (Beast From The East) started on 24th February, looking back to page 78 on this thread, from the 2nd February update is the first time they started mentioning "with a greater chance of easterly winds, potentially bringing some very cold weather" this was for the outlook from 16th Feb 2018 to 2nd March 2018.  

The same mention of easterly winds was in every single day update from the 2nd February to the 16th so they were very confident of this happening.  On the 17th February which was for the period 4th March to 18th March it changed from Easterly to winds originating from continental Europe.  They hardly changed the outlook for 2 weeks wording changing slightly, have we seen anything as consistent in the build up from Met Office to this or will we ?  Is it completely different this time hitting us from all directions etc..

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5 minutes ago, chris55 said:

It wasn't it's yesterday's update

The mid and long range forecasts update once a day late morning or early afternoon

Ignore the time stamp it's a bug from when they update the short range forecast. 

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UK Outlook for Saturday 2 Feb 2019 to Saturday 16 Feb 2019:

The cold weather will continue as we head through the first half of February. There is a greater risk of seeing snow at lower levels as well as on the hills. Some drier and brighter periods are possible in the northwest, but in the south there is a chance of weather fronts approaching which bring a risk of rain, sleet and perhaps significant snow at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

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sounds good, l just hope from an imbyism point of view it delivers to thanet as well this time

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Hopefully we have a cold and wintry Feb to look forward to.

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Very good..

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That longer range of the Met office is screaming LP to our SW with mean winds coming in from the east. Very similar in fact to quite a few of the ensembles from today.

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Both updates are brilliant. Not one mild word in both updates. Get in there 😁😁😁😁😁

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That’s an extremely certain update as the met office 16-30 day forecast goes, very positive.

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3 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

Both updates are brilliant. Not one mild word in both updates. Get in there 😁😁😁😁😁

Very unsettled, lots of cloud and precipitation...But at least it won't be mild!:yahoo:

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28 minutes ago, geoffw said:

what did the ec46 show last night ?

Continuation of cold I think.

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so that’s wonderful update significant snow is on the way WOW. 

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Will keep an eye out on the next update re the word 'significant'.  Can't get much better than that surely in metoffice speak

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2 hours ago, Ed Stone said:

Very unsettled, lots of cloud and precipitation...But at least it won't be mild!:yahoo:

Darren Bett and a few others just died inside a little after reading that.  ☃️

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It points to a protracted cold spell,possibly severe at times and with the deep Euro trough plenty of snow chances.

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