Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 16, 2013 UK Outlook for Sunday 3 Mar 2013 to Sunday 17 Mar 2013:Many areas are likely to be colder than average through much of this period, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK. Nights are then often also likely to be frosty. Also some signs of conditions turning a little more unsettled during the early part of this forecast period, perhaps with a chance of snow. Generally, however, no strong signals regarding precipitation and taking the period as a whole some areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual for the time of year. Finally, towards the middle of March temperatures may recover close to the seasonal norm.Updated: 1159 on Sat 16 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eugene 1,193 Posted February 16, 2013 (edited) Doesn't seem like they are buying the GFS 06Z ensemble mean for early March, can see them changing their 16 to 30 day outlook back and forth Edited February 16, 2013 by Eugene 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 16, 2013 (edited) Doesn't seem like they are buying the GFS 06Z ensembles for early March.Yeah hopefully precipitation will be below average giving everywhere time to dry out, not very nice going on country walks when everywhere is so boggy Edited February 16, 2013 by Gavin. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ed Stone 29,173 Posted February 16, 2013 Doesn't seem like they are buying the GFS 06Z ensemble mean for early March, can see them changing their 16 to 30 day outlook back and forth Do the GFS ensembles go out that far, Eugene? 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eugene 1,193 Posted February 16, 2013 Yes gavin you are right, i just want some prolonged dry weather as like you say unsettled periods are no good for country walking, the reason i favour cold and dry is because the countryside is still very very muddy and until the sun really increases in strength that is the best way to help me on my country walks with firm underfoot conditions after harsh night frost, GFS 06Z ensembles were probably too late for this update, GFS 00Z ensembles were similar for early March though and i didnt see the ensembles for yesterday so maybe they showed mild wet sw'lys too, sounds like you arent that into unsettled weather even if mild. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 16, 2013 Do the GFS ensembles go out that far, Eugene?Yes 3rd Marchhttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png?6767676767 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ed Stone 29,173 Posted February 16, 2013 Yes 3rd Marchhttp://www.wetterzen....png?6767676767Cheers, gav... 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Polar Maritime 12,850 Posted February 16, 2013 Yes gavin you are right, i just want some prolonged dry weather as like you say unsettled periods are no good for country walking, the reason i favour cold and dry is because the countryside is still very very muddy and until the sun really increases in strength that is the best way to help me on my country walks with firm underfoot conditions after harsh night frost, GFS 06Z ensembles were probably too late for this update, GFS 00Z ensembles were similar for early March though and i didnt see the ensembles for yesterday so maybe they showed mild wet sw'lys too, sounds like you arent that into unsettled weather even if mild.Yes I agree, some fantastic walking weather next week on the cards hopefully.. ive been out today and it's a complete shiyt hole, ive even had to wash the dog ! 3 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ARTDEMOLE 261 Posted February 16, 2013 We need a change to a brighter outlook...Both man and beast.... 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Stuart 527 Posted February 16, 2013 some How my last 1 been delete dont khow why so this may got the same way sorry off topic Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Stuart 527 Posted February 17, 2013 UK Outlook for Monday 4 Mar 2013 to Monday 18 Mar 2013:Some areas still a little colder than average at the start of this period, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK. Nights are then often also likely to be frosty. Also some signs of conditions being a little more unsettled during the early part of this forecast period, perhaps with a chance of snow. Generally, however, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, and taking the period as a whole, some areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual for the time of year. Finally, towards the middle of March temperatures may recover close to the seasonal norm.Updated: 1110 on Sun 17 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Stuart 527 Posted February 18, 2013 UK Outlook for Tuesday 5 Mar 2013 to Tuesday 19 Mar 2013:Rather unsettled at times towards the northwest of the UK, but largely dry further south and east. Some areas still a little colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some frosty nights. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual for the time of year.Updated: 1158 on Mon 18 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Don 670 Posted February 18, 2013 (edited) UK Outlook for Tuesday 5 Mar 2013 to Tuesday 19 Mar 2013:Rather unsettled at times towards the northwest of the UK, but largely dry further south and east. Some areas still a little colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some frosty nights. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual for the time of year.Updated: 1158 on Mon 18 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice...st_weather.htmlSeems to be a steady backtrack away from potential wintry conditions for the 1st half of March. Edited February 18, 2013 by Don 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
johnholmes 23,765 Posted February 18, 2013 (edited) One assumes this 'backtrack' as you label it is a scientific assessment of all the data at their disposal to suggest that conditions look now like being less wintry. It would be pretty daft if they did not update do you not think? Not a reply to you but a comment over some responses to the 6-15 and 16-30 day outlook, especially the latter. The posts seem to be a mix of 'its the same story why keep issuing the same' or they change their mind too often to be reliable whatever they do it seems they are wrong by some folk-funny really. Reading back over the last few weeks it really is rather funny.. Edited February 18, 2013 by johnholmes Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Don 670 Posted February 18, 2013 (edited) One assumes this 'backtrack' as you label it is a scientific assessment of all the data at their disposal to suggest that conditions look now like being less wintry. It would be pretty daft if they did not update do you not think?I was merely commenting on a change in their forecast to something less wintry today. Not a criticism and to be honest I was expecting a downgraded wintry outlook from them. Fine by me....... Edited February 18, 2013 by Don 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 19, 2013 UK Outlook for Wednesday 6 Mar 2013 to Wednesday 20 Mar 2013:Some areas still a little colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some frosty nights. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual for the time of year.http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/?tab=regionalForecast Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 20, 2013 UK Outlook for Thursday 7 Mar 2013 to Thursday 21 Mar 2013:Some areas still a little colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some frosty nights. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual for the time of year.Updated: 1143 on Wed 20 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 21, 2013 UK Outlook for Friday 8 Mar 2013 to Friday 22 Mar 2013:Some areas are likely to stay a little colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some more frosty nights to come. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual for the time of year.Updated: 1147 on Thu 21 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 22, 2013 UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Mar 2013 to Saturday 23 Mar 2013:Some areas are likely to stay a little colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some more frosty nights to come. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual for the time of year.Updated: 1159 on Fri 22 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 23, 2013 UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Mar 2013 to Sunday 24 Mar 2013:Most areas are likely to stay colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some more frosty nights to come. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some northwestern areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual, whereas southern and eastern districts will perhaps be wetter than normal.http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/?tab=regionalForecast Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Stuart 527 Posted February 24, 2013 UK Outlook for Monday 11 Mar 2013 to Monday 25 Mar 2013:Most areas are likely to stay colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some more frosty nights to come. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some northwestern areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual, whereas southern and eastern districts will perhaps be wetter than normal.Updated: 1120 on Sun 24 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Stuart 527 Posted February 25, 2013 UK Outlook for Tuesday 12 Mar 2013 to Tuesday 26 Mar 2013:Most areas are likely to stay colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some more frosty nights to come. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some northwestern areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual, whereas southern and eastern districts will perhaps be wetter than normal.Updated: 1208 on Mon 25 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Stuart 527 Posted February 26, 2013 UK Outlook for Wednesday 13 Mar 2013 to Wednesday 27 Mar 2013:Most areas are likely to stay colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some more frosty nights to come. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some northwestern areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual, whereas southern and eastern districts will perhaps be wetter than normal.Updated: 1132 on Tue 26 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Stuart 527 Posted February 27, 2013 UK Outlook for Thursday 14 Mar 2013 to Thursday 28 Mar 2013:Most areas are likely to stay colder than average, perhaps more especially across the eastern side of the UK, with some more frosty nights to come. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, some northwestern areas of the UK will probably end up a little drier than usual, whereas southern and eastern districts will perhaps be wetter than normal.Updated: 1219 on Wed 27 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Summer Sun 24,503 Posted February 28, 2013 UK Outlook for Friday 15 Mar 2013 to Friday 29 Mar 2013:Most areas are likely to be colder than average during the end of March with an east or southeasterly influence most probable. Generally, there are no strong signals regarding precipitation, but taking the period as a whole, in an east or southeasterly regime, some western and northwestern areas of the UK are most likely to be drier and sunnier than normal.Updated: 1206 on Thu 28 Feb 2013http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
